How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo 2 Coritiba 1 -0.3
-5.5
+5.4
-1.0
Fluminense 0 Corinthians 1 -0.1
+0.2
-0.3
+0.1
Santos 3 Bahia 0 -0.2
-0.4
Atletico-GO 1 Botafogo 1 +0.1
-0.2
Vitoria 1 Chapecoense 2 -0.2
*-0.1
Avai 1 Cruzeiro 0 +0.2
+0.5
Atletico-PR 0 Ponte Preta 2 -0.1
Atletico-MG 1 Vasco da Gama 2 -0.1
Sport Recife 0 Palmeiras 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sao Paulo vs Gremio+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.7-0.2-0.6
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 7/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba vs Atletico-MG+0.2-0.1-0.1
+5.3-1.7-4.2
-7.7+1.5+6.7
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Sao Paulo vs Coritiba-0.1-0.1+0.2
-4.1-1.7+5.2
+6.9+1.4-7.9
-1.0-0.3+1.2
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Corinthians vs Flamengo+0.3+0.1-0.4
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Gremio+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.6-0.2-0.4
Gremio vs Santos+0.1+0.2-0.2
Santos vs Flamengo*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Palmeiras vs Avai-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.5-0.2+0.6
Botafogo vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.3-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Botafogo vs Sao Paulo-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.4-0.2+0.5
Bahia vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.4-0.2-0.3
Sport Recife vs Fluminense-0.2+0.2+0.0
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-PR-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.3-0.2+0.5
Cruzeiro vs Vitoria-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.3-0.3+0.5
Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Vitoria vs Ponte Preta+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.4-0.3-0.2
Chapecoense vs Atletico-GO-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.3+0.2
Ponte Preta vs Fluminense-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
Chapecoense vs Bahia-0.1+0.2*+0.0
-0.1-0.2+0.2
Atletico-PR vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.4+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Coritiba finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8522-0-099.7%Yes1000No51,942
82-83YesYes100No8*
8120-0-295.7Yes964No23
8020-1-196.4Yes964No84
7919-0-391.4Yes919No140*
7819-1-292.8Yes9370No405
7719-2-190.0Yes90100No910*
7618-1-386.3Yes86130No2,086*
7518-2-283.0Yes83170No4,620*
7417-1-476.9Yes77221No9,178*
7317-2-370.3Yes702820No18,204*
7217-3-262.5Yes623520No34,717*
7116-2-454.5Yes5441400No62,697*
7016-3-345.7Yes4647700No111,383*
6916-4-236.9Yes37511210No189,312*
6815-3-428.0Yes285318200No311,245*
6715-4-320.2Yes205224300No502,786*
6614-3-513.4100.0%1347327100No782,793*
6514-4-48.0100.084038122000No1,179,673*
6414-5-34.3100.043142194000No1,746,194*
6313-4-52.099.922140288100No2,495,117*
6213-5-40.899.711234341530000No3,472,994*
6113-6-30.298.70625362471000No4,723,172*
6012-5-50.195.8021532311540000No6,251,077*
5912-6-40.088.601723332492000No8,072,293*
5811-5-60.074.70031328311861000No10,164,494*
5711-6-50.054.000151830271441000No12,462,872*
5611-7-4No31.300282230241130000No14,937,428*
5510-6-6No13.5000311243021920000No17,458,395*
5410-7-5No4.10001413252919720000No19,894,573*
5310-8-4No0.8000141426281861000No22,149,311*
529-7-6No0.100015162728166100000.0%24,053,704*
519-8-5No0.00001617282715510000.025,469,151*
509-9-4No0.000001718292614410000.126,336,622*
498-8-6No0.00000282029251230000.526,563,609*
488-9-5NoNo0000292230241020002.626,120,619*
478-10-4NoNo000031125312181009.225,069,535*
467-9-6NoNo000141428301751022.923,425,662*
457-10-5NoNo00016193228122042.721,339,835*
447-11-4NoNo00002102534236163.418,951,916*
436-10-6NoNo000416323214280.216,361,758*
426-11-5NoNo00018253824590.813,745,034*
416-12-4NoNo0003163734996.311,237,983*
405-11-6NoNo0001931421798.78,919,030*
395-12-5NoNo000524462699.66,875,945*
385-13-4NoNo000216463699.95,135,145*
374-12-6NoNo0001104247100.03,722,612*
364-13-5NoNo0063658100.02,604,895*
354-14-4NoNo0033067100.01,761,599*
343-13-6NoNo0022375100.01,149,665*
333-14-5NoNo011782Yes720,748*
323-15-4NoNo001387Yes434,620*
312-14-6NoNo00991Yes250,975*
302-15-5NoNo0694Yes138,991*
292-16-4NoNo0496Yes72,167*
281-15-6NoNo0397Yes35,637*
271-16-5NoNo199Yes16,519*
261-17-4NoNo199Yes7,183*
251-18-3NoNo199Yes2,965*
240-17-5NoNo0100Yes986*
230-18-4NoNo0100Yes367*
20-22NoNo100Yes135*
190-22-0NoNo0100Yes51,942
Total:0.2%12.2%0122345566677788776323.4%417,667,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship