How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma vs Coritiba-1.4-0.7+1.9
-5.0-1.9+6.2
+4.1+0.8-4.7
-1.0-0.3+1.1
Parana vs Bragantino+0.2+0.1-0.2
*+0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.3*+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
CRB vs Guarani-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.2+0.2
Vitoria vs Cuiaba*+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Coritiba finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
82-102YesYes100No838*
8122-3-599.5%Yes991No192*
8021-5-499.7Yes1000No332*
7921-4-598.9Yes991No537*
7820-6-499.0Yes991No891*
7720-5-598.1Yes982No1,431*
7620-4-697.1Yes973No2,271*
7519-6-595.2Yes9550No3,362*
7419-5-693.2Yes9370No5,069*
7319-4-791.2Yes9180No7,366*
7218-6-687.1Yes87121No10,364*
7118-5-781.6Yes821710No14,644*
7017-7-675.7Yes762220No20,304*
6917-6-768.4100.0%6828400No27,348*
6817-5-858.4100.058347100No35,867*
6716-7-748.299.9484011100No46,671*
6616-6-837.399.8374217300No59,804*
6516-5-927.199.2274324610No74,145*
6415-7-817.897.818393011200No91,331*
6315-6-910.594.4113135185100No109,808*
6214-8-85.388.0522352610200No129,624*
6114-7-92.176.121330311851000No151,436*
6014-6-100.758.816203226123000No173,162*
5913-8-90.238.4021125312182000No193,197*
5813-7-100.020.2014152828176100No213,076*
5713-6-110.07.90017182926144100No230,283*
5612-8-10No2.10028202924123100No245,148*
5512-7-11No0.30002102229231030000No255,409*
5412-6-12No0.0000311232921102000No261,504*
5311-8-11No0.0000131224292192000No262,595*
5211-7-12NoNo001412242920820000.0%259,028*
5111-6-13NoNo001413252819820000.0250,981*
5010-8-12NoNo001414262818710000.2239,042*
4910-7-13NoNo000151527281761001.2222,591*
4810-6-14NoNo00016172827155105.4203,009*
479-8-13NoNo00282029251230015.8182,266*
469-7-14NoNo00031023312392033.3160,147*
459-6-15NoNo0014142831185154.1138,525*
448-8-14NoNo001619322811272.8117,457*
438-7-15NoNo00211273421486.396,588*
428-6-16NoNo00151935311094.178,228*
417-8-15NoNo0021131381797.762,678*
407-7-16NoNo01624422799.348,935*
397-6-17NoNo00316433899.837,184*
386-8-16NoNo00110394999.927,476*
376-7-17NoNo0063361100.019,784*
366-6-18NoNo032770Yes14,244*
355-8-17NoNo022078Yes9,696*
345-7-18NoNo11584Yes6,522*
335-6-19NoNo01089Yes4,296*
324-8-18NoNo892Yes2,698*
314-7-19NoNo0694Yes1,666*
304-6-20NoNo0397Yes1,042*
293-8-19NoNo0199Yes600*
283-7-20NoNo298Yes310*
273-6-21NoNo199Yes176*
12-26NoNo100Yes742*
Total:4.2%20.3%4556666666665555443213.5%4,813,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship