How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza 2 Brasil de Pelotas 0 -0.5
-0.5
-0.2
Boa Esporte 0 Avai 2 -0.2
-0.6
-0.2
Paysandu 0 CSA 0 +0.2
+0.4
Vila Nova 0 Atletico-GO 0 +0.1
+0.3
-0.1
CRB 2 Ponte Preta 0 +0.1
+0.2
+0.2
Oeste 2 Criciuma 2 +0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Ponte Preta vs CSA+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Avai vs Guarani-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.4+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Goias vs Juventude+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Criciuma-0.1+0.1*-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza vs Coritiba-2.4-0.8+2.9
-6.5-2.2+7.9
+2.6+0.6-2.9
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Coritiba vs Figueirense+2.6-0.8-2.1
+8.0-2.2-6.6
-3.0+0.5+2.6
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Fortaleza vs Oeste-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.2
CSA vs Vila Nova-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.3+0.4+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Juventude vs Goias-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
CRB vs Paysandu+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Paysandu vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.3*+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Sao Bento vs Londrina-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Londrina vs Sampaio Correa+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.2-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Criciuma vs Atletico-GO+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Oeste+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.1*-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Coritiba finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
86-99YesYes100No77,452*
8521-4-299.8%Yes1000No2,749*
8421-3-399.9Yes1000No5,224*
8320-5-299.8Yes1000No10,040*
8220-4-399.8Yes1000No18,530*
8120-3-499.7Yes1000No32,812*
8019-5-399.4Yes991No57,096*
7919-4-499.1Yes991No96,744*
7819-3-598.6Yes9910No159,666*
7718-5-497.9Yes9820No254,221*
7618-4-596.8Yes9730No399,711*
7517-6-495.2Yes95500No612,040*
7417-5-593.0Yes93700No914,683*
7317-4-690.0100.0%9010000No1,338,958*
7216-6-585.9Yes861400No1,912,370*
7116-5-680.7100.08118100No2,673,910*
7016-4-774.2100.07424200No3,661,168*
6915-6-666.2100.066304000No4,905,403*
6815-5-756.9100.057367000No6,439,517*
6714-7-646.8100.0474111100No8,283,057*
6614-6-736.399.83644173000No10,419,309*
6514-5-826.199.42644245100No12,847,552*
6413-7-717.198.3174031102000No15,531,482*
6313-6-810.095.61033361740000No18,400,309*
6213-5-95.089.8524362591000No21,355,786*
6112-7-82.179.321432321641000No24,292,385*
6012-6-90.763.1172333251020000No27,100,553*
5912-5-100.243.20313283119610000No29,621,774*
5811-7-90.023.90151830271441000No31,742,711*
5711-6-100.010.000282130241130000No33,341,576*
5611-5-110.02.9000311243021920000No34,307,369*
5510-7-100.00.60001413252919820000No34,599,959*
5410-6-11No0.10001414262818710000No34,187,094*
5310-5-12No0.0000151527281761000No33,089,684*
529-7-11No0.000016162727166100000.0%31,373,390*
519-6-12NoNo00016172727165100000.029,124,826*
508-8-11NoNo0001717282615510000.126,465,600*
498-7-12NoNo00002719282614410000.723,537,758*
488-6-13NoNo0000282029251230003.720,485,507*
477-8-12NoNo00003102230231020012.217,426,066*
467-7-13NoNo000131225302071028.314,505,484*
457-6-14NoNo000015162929164049.211,789,436*
446-8-13NoNo0002821322610169.39,363,245*
436-7-14NoNo0000312283419484.27,247,752*
426-6-15NoNo0016203629893.15,483,135*
415-8-14NoNo00021232381597.44,038,935*
405-7-15NoNo001725432599.12,900,570*
395-6-16NoNo000318433699.72,022,811*
384-8-15NoNo00111404799.91,373,706*
374-7-16NoNo0063559100.0905,823*
364-6-17NoNo0032869100.0578,870*
354-5-18NoNo0022177100.0357,697*
343-7-17NoNo011684Yes213,348*
333-6-18NoNo001188Yes123,678*
323-5-19NoNo00892Yes68,724*
312-7-18NoNo0595Yes36,614*
302-6-19NoNo0397Yes18,730*
292-5-20NoNo0298Yes9,099*
282-4-21NoNo199Yes4,196*
271-6-20NoNo0100Yes1,773*
261-5-21NoNo199Yes744*
251-4-22NoNo0100Yes303*
18-24NoNo100Yes75,046*
Total:5.7%28.0%678877766655444332217.2%602,225,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship