How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba vs Boa Esporte+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
CRB vs Coritiba-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Avai vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sao Bento vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Coritiba finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
90-114YesYes100No137,764*
8928-5-599.9%Yes1000No2,315*
8828-4-6YesYes100No3,973*
8727-6-599.9Yes1000No7,168*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No11,965*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No19,692*
8426-6-6100.0Yes1000No32,132*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No51,534*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No81,804*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No126,031*
8024-8-699.6Yes1000No192,524*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No288,552*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No426,084*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No618,548*
7623-7-897.4Yes9730No883,711*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No1,243,050*
7422-8-894.3Yes94600No1,720,314*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No2,347,781*
7222-6-1088.3100.0%8811000No3,149,955*
7121-8-983.7100.08415100No4,163,422*
7021-7-1077.7100.078202000No5,425,603*
6920-9-970.3100.070263000No6,967,883*
6820-8-1061.5100.061326000No8,813,564*
6720-7-1151.599.95138101000No10,979,127*
6619-9-1040.799.841421520000No13,479,941*
6519-8-1130.099.330432251000No16,313,291*
6419-7-1220.298.12040281020000No19,469,406*
6318-9-1112.195.21233341641000No22,888,885*
6218-8-126.389.162435249200000No26,555,839*
6118-7-132.778.1315303016510000No30,338,193*
6017-9-120.961.6172231241130000No34,169,951*
5917-8-130.241.503122630198200000No37,944,178*
5816-10-120.022.401516282716510000No41,508,799*
5716-9-130.09.0002719282513410000No44,778,273*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000No47,622,735*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No49,920,944*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%51,557,528*
5315-8-15No0.0000131123282193000000.052,479,862*
5214-10-14No0.000014122328219200000.052,681,901*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.052,094,080*
5014-8-16NoNo00001413242820820000.350,748,783*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.748,720,643*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.046,079,706*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.242,930,771*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213025112038.039,381,030*
4512-9-17NoNo00003122531217159.035,591,079*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.831,670,550*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253524688.727,737,446*
4211-9-18NoNo0000141634331295.223,909,827*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.220,291,414*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.416,934,707*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.813,903,499*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.011,222,820*
379-10-19NoNo00053164100.08,909,987*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.06,956,141*
359-8-21NoNo00011980100.05,331,197*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.04,015,459*
338-9-21NoNo00990Yes2,967,619*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes2,151,568*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes1,529,688*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes1,068,938*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes730,379*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes490,493*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes321,400*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes206,150*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes129,148*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes78,833*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes47,428*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes27,411*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes15,562*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes8,579*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes4,580*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes2,418*
173-8-27NoNo0100Yes1,202*
0-16NoNo100Yes136,123*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%1,085,750,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship