How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense 1 Sport Recife 2 -0.1
-0.4
-0.5
Londrina 2 Coritiba 1 +0.3
+0.4
Operario-PR 2 Ponte Preta 1 -0.1
Parana 0 Cuiaba 0 +0.3
Vitoria 0 Guarani 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sport Recife vs America-MG-0.5-0.2+0.6
-3.9-1.7+4.9
+4.9+1.0-5.5
-1.1-0.3+1.3
Bragantino vs Londrina-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3*-0.1+0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Criciuma vs Atletico-GO+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.6-0.2-0.5
Vila Nova vs Botafogo-SP+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.5-0.2-0.4
Guarani vs Parana+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.6-0.2-0.5
Cuiaba vs Oeste-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.3-0.2+0.4
Coritiba vs CRB-0.1+0.3-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Figueirense-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.3+0.4
Sao Bento vs Vitoria+0.1-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.6-0.2-0.4
+4.6-1.6-3.6
-5.8+0.9+5.2
+1.3-0.3-1.1
Figueirense vs Bragantino+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.7-0.2-0.5
Vitoria vs Atletico-GO+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.6-0.2-0.5
Londrina vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.3*-0.0-0.3
Vila Nova vs CRB+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.6-0.2-0.5
Cuiaba vs Coritiba*+0.0+0.3-0.2
Parana vs Ponte Preta-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Operario-PR*-0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Oeste vs Sao Bento*+0.0-0.3+0.2
Guarani vs Criciuma+0.1-0.4+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the America-MG finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
7716-0-099.8%Yes1000No961
74-75YesYes100No45*
7314-2-098.5Yes982No66
7214-1-197.2Yes973No217
7113-3-087.8Yes8812No362*
7013-2-187.4Yes87120No955
6913-1-281.6Yes821710No2,000*
6812-3-171.3Yes712720No3,513*
6712-2-262.5Yes623350No6,913*
6612-1-351.2Yes514081No11,924*
6511-3-238.599.9%38451520No19,511*
6411-2-326.799.7274623500No32,312*
6310-4-216.598.716413210100No48,520*
6210-3-38.795.793237184000No72,590*
6110-2-43.888.8421372710200No105,141*
609-4-31.275.5111303418510No142,925*
599-3-40.355.404183328133000No192,171*
589-2-50.032.801823332392000No249,355*
578-4-40.014.7003122731207100No307,088*
568-3-50.04.50014152829175100No371,584*
557-5-4No0.80015162928165100No210,530
8-2-6No1.00016182927144100No223,209*
547-4-5No0.10016183027144100No486,085*
537-3-6No0.00017193026133000No532,234*
526-5-5NoNo0017193026123000No295,201
7-2-7NoNo0028213025113000No266,399*
516-4-6NoNo0002821312511300000.0%569,795*
506-3-7NoNo00292231241020000.0353,382
5-6-5NoNo00028223125112000.0212,524*
495-5-6NoNo000292331231020000.2294,091
6-2-8NoNo00021024312282000.2243,993*
485-4-7NoNo00031125312181001.6494,598*
475-3-8NoNo0031327311961007.3440,576*
464-5-7NoNo00141529301651021.1378,305*
454-4-8NoNo00016193127123042.4310,273*
444-3-9NoNo00292433238165.1247,419*
433-5-8NoNo000314303317382.8188,204*
423-4-9NoNo0016213628893.1137,771*
413-3-10NoNo0021232381697.797,028*
402-5-9NoNo01623432899.464,703*
392-4-10NoNo00214424199.940,767*
382-3-11NoNo0183656100.024,432*
371-5-10NoNo042868Yes14,057*
361-4-11NoNo012078Yes7,445*
351-3-12NoNo001486Yes3,669*
341-2-13NoNo0793Yes1,570*
330-4-12NoNo595Yes631*
320-3-13NoNo199Yes228*
30-31NoNo100Yes88*
290-0-16NoNo0100Yes960
Total:0.7%8.5%1234456778888766543112.3%7,708,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship