Club Athletico Paranaense Title Chances 50/50Beat America-MG 3-2, title odds up 0.4 to 0.7% 48 points 13-9-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Botafogo 1 Athletico-PR 1 | -0.4 | | -3.2 | | | | -0.2 | | Athletico-PR 3 America-MG 2 | +0.3 | | +13.7 | | | | +0.9 | | Bragantino 1 Fluminense 0 | -0.1 | | +0.9 | | | | | | Flamengo 1 Vasco 0 | | | -1.1 | | | | -0.1 | | Bragantino 1 Atletico-MG 2 | | | -1.9 | | | | -0.1 | | Sao Paulo 3 Gremio 0 | | | +1.1 | | | | +0.0 | | Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 2 | | | -1.8 | | | | -0.1 | | Palmeiras 5 Sao Paulo 0 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | Atletico-MG 0 Cruzeiro 1 | | | +1.4 | | | | +0.1 | | Bahia 2 Fortaleza 0 | | | +1.5 | | | | +0.1 | | Fluminense 5 Goias 3 | | | -2.0 | | | | -0.1 | | Cuiaba 1 Goias 1 | | | +0.3 | | | | | | Internacional 7 Santos 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Gremio vs Flamengo | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | -1.4+0.8+0.9 | | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Cuiaba vs Corinthians | | | -0.5+0.2+0.3 | | | | | | Vasco vs Internacional | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo | +0.7-0.3-0.5 | | +13.6-2.7-11.8 | | No-0.0+0.0 | | +0.8-0.2-0.7 | | Corinthians vs Athletico-PR | -0.5-0.3+0.7 | | -11.5-2.9+13.4 | | +0.0-0.0No | | -0.7-0.2+0.8 | | Botafogo vs Cuiaba | -0.4+0.1+0.3 | | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | | | | | | Botafogo vs Palmeiras | -0.4+0.1+0.3 | | +1.1+0.2-1.2 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Goias vs Bragantino | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.7+0.1-0.8 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Flamengo vs Santos | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -1.0+0.2+0.9 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Flamengo vs Bragantino | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.3+0.3+0.1 | | | | | | Palmeiras vs Bahia | | | -1.2+0.3+1.0 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Coritiba vs Gremio | | | +1.9+0.6-2.3 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | America-MG vs Gremio | | | +1.9+0.6-2.3 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Atletico-MG vs Fluminense | | | -0.4+1.3-0.4 | | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza | | | -0.8+1.3*+0.0 | | | | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | Bahia vs Fluminense | | | +1.9+0.7-2.3 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro | | | -1.8+0.7+1.3 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Cuiaba vs Vasco | | | -0.5+0.2+0.4 | | | | | | Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro | | | -0.2+0.3+0.1 | | | | | | Internacional vs Coritiba | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Internacional vs America-MG | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Athletico-PR finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 75 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 68.6 | % | Yes | 69 | 31 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35,326 | | 73 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 48.1 | | Yes | 48 | 51 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 114,262 | | 72 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 40.3 | | Yes | 40 | 57 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 178,924 | | 71 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 27.4 | | Yes | 27 | 66 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 291,654 | | 70 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 19.6 | | Yes | 20 | 69 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 914,841 | | 69 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 13.7 | | Yes | 14 | 67 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 716,246 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 11.0 | | Yes | 11 | 67 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 436,109 | | 68 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 6.3 | | Yes | 6 | 61 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,043,178 | | 67 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 3.2 | | Yes | 3 | 51 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,202,494 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 2.6 | | Yes | 3 | 46 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 417,045 | | 66 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 1.0 | | 100.0 | % | 1 | 34 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,610,041 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 1.5 | | 100.0 | | 1 | 37 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,670,961 | | 65 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.3 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 22 | 45 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,136,016 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.2 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 19 | 44 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 266,503 | | 64 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | 99.9 | | 0 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,405,244 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | 99.9 | | 0 | 10 | 36 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,085,681 | | 63 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 99.5 | | 0 | 4 | 24 | 40 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,532,549 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 99.6 | | 0 | 5 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,505,879 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | 99.5 | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 41 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 113,543 | | 62 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 97.9 | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,231,715 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 97.7 | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,066,697 | | 61 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 92.8 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,010,089 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 92.2 | | | 0 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,201,059 | * | 60 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 80.1 | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,703,984 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 81.6 | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,507,131 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | No | 80.2 | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 340,319 | | 59 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 60.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,223,035 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 60.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,603,366 | * | 58 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 37.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 6,404,315 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 36.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,171,691 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | No | 38.2 | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,734 | | 57 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 17.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 6,533,935 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 18.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,672,418 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | 18.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 340,978 | * | 56 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 5.8 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 6,137,132 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 6.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,072,011 | * | 55 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 1.4 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,200,871 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 1.4 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 2,117,285 | * | 54 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0.2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,612,898 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 0.3 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 715,462 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | 0.2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 112,836 | | 53 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,042,333 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 266,483 | | 52 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 914,485 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 418,436 | | 51 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 434,524 | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 178,821 | | 50 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 291,960 | | 49 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 113,968 | | 48 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.6 | | 35,293 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.7 | % | 65.9 | % | 1 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 123,413,760 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |