How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO 1 Athletico-PR 1 -0.1
-1.2
+2.1
-0.3
Corinthians 1 Flamengo 5 -0.1
-0.6
+0.0
Internacional 2 Vasco da Gama 0 -0.4
+0.0
Sao Paulo 0 Gremio 0 +0.2
Bahia 3 Atletico-MG 1 +0.9
-0.1
Coritiba 1 Santos 2 -0.2
-0.5
Fluminense 2 Ceara 2 +0.2
-0.2
Bragantino 2 Sport Recife 0 +0.1
+0.5
Fortaleza 2 Palmeiras 0 *-0.1
Botafogo 0 Goias 0 -0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PR-0.1-0.1+0.1
-2.7-1.2+3.5
+7.6+2.3-9.1
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Goias vs Sao Paulo+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.8-0.3-0.6
Ceara vs Sao Paulo+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.2-0.5
Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.2-0.3
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.2+0.2
Gremio vs Goias-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.3+0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR vs Gremio+0.1-0.1-0.1
+3.5-1.2-2.7
-9.5+2.2+8.1
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Atletico-MG vs Sport Recife-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.5-0.1+0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Fluminense vs Santos-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Bahia vs Fortaleza+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.5-0.2-0.4
Atletico-GO vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.3+0.3
Ceara vs Coritiba-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.4+0.4
Bragantino vs Goias+0.2-0.5+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Athletico-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8222-0-0100.0%Yes1000No1,116,261
79-80YesYes100No172*
7820-2-099.2Yes991No473
7720-1-199.2Yes991No1,401
7619-3-098.6Yes991No3,022*
7519-2-197.1Yes9730No9,104
7419-1-295.1Yes9550No20,102*
7318-3-192.7Yes9370No44,231*
7218-2-288.9Yes891100No99,667*
7117-4-183.8Yes841510No195,755*
7017-3-277.4Yes772120No389,387*
6917-2-369.2Yes6928300No746,387*
6816-4-259.8Yes60346000No1,336,492*
6716-3-349.1Yes494010100No2,389,069*
6616-2-438.0Yes384416200No4,071,679*
6515-4-327.4100.0%2745235000No6,694,694*
6415-3-417.9100.018413091000No10,818,648*
6314-5-310.5100.0103436163000No16,797,561*
6214-4-45.399.9525382471000No25,371,139*
6114-3-52.399.721534321430000No37,494,164*
6013-5-40.898.818253523710000No53,549,762*
5913-4-50.295.8031531311540000No74,684,175*
5813-3-60.088.20172233251020000No101,618,781*
5712-5-50.073.300212273219610000No134,324,143*
5612-4-60.051.4001416302915410000No173,437,834*
5511-6-50.028.1000172031261230000No218,429,530*
5411-5-6No11.10002923312310200000No267,838,398*
5311-4-7No2.90000311253021820000No321,003,903*
5210-6-6No0.500003132629197200000.0%375,212,566*
5110-5-7No0.000014142629187100000.0427,521,595*
5010-4-8No0.000015152728176100000.0475,990,356*
499-6-7No0.0000015162728165100000.1516,885,546*
489-5-8No0.000001617282715510000.9547,388,523*
479-4-9NoNo0000171929261341004.4566,059,399*
468-6-8NoNo0000282130251130014.2570,822,929*
458-5-9NoNo000031024312281032.0561,321,832*
448-4-10NoNo00014142831185054.3538,536,411*
437-6-9NoNo00001619322912274.4503,476,547*
427-5-10NoNo0000210263522588.1458,573,712*
417-4-11NoNo000141735331195.4407,041,108*
406-6-10NoNo00001929411998.5351,584,680*
396-5-11NoNo0000421443199.6295,462,432*
386-4-12NoNo000213424399.9241,504,439*
375-6-11NoNo000173755100.0191,725,753*
365-5-12NoNo00042967100.0147,742,314*
355-4-13NoNo00022276100.0110,441,832*
344-6-12NoNo0011683100.079,944,822*
334-5-13NoNo0001189100.055,990,738*
324-4-14NoNo00793Yes37,884,070*
313-6-13NoNo00495Yes24,716,328*
303-5-14NoNo00397Yes15,511,913*
293-4-15NoNo0298Yes9,352,551*
282-6-14NoNo0199Yes5,402,651*
272-5-15NoNo0199Yes2,967,202*
262-4-16NoNo00100Yes1,556,471*
251-6-15NoNo0100Yes772,113*
241-5-16NoNo0100Yes358,437*
231-4-17NoNo0100Yes154,737*
221-3-18NoNo0100Yes61,589*
210-5-17NoNo0100Yes22,518*
16-20NoNo100Yes1,126,112*
Total:0.2%6.8%00112234455667889910937.0%8,975,600,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship