How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana vs Bragantino-5.0-1.7+6.1
-7.5-2.0+8.7
+0.9+0.1-1.0
-0.7-0.2+0.9
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.5+0.3-0.7
+0.4+0.3-0.6
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.6+0.4+0.4
-0.5+0.4+0.2
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.4+0.3-0.6
+0.3+0.3-0.5
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.3+0.3*+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.3+0.3+0.1
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.3-0.4
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.2
*+0.1+0.3-0.3
CRB vs Guarani-0.2*+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
*-0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Cuiaba*+0.1+0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bragantino finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
88-109YesYes100No1,020*
8721-5-499.4%Yes991No326*
83-86YesYes100No5,010*
8219-6-599.8Yes1000No3,475*
8119-5-699.7Yes1000No5,140*
8019-4-799.7Yes1000No7,390*
7918-6-699.4Yes991No10,442*
7818-5-799.1Yes9910No14,537*
7717-7-698.8Yes991No20,224*
7617-6-798.0Yes982No26,994*
7517-5-897.0Yes9730No36,173*
7416-7-795.5Yes9540No46,935*
7316-6-893.1Yes9370No59,686*
7216-5-989.9Yes901000No74,061*
7115-7-885.9Yes861310No91,134*
7015-6-980.5Yes801810No110,531*
6914-8-873.1100.0%7324300No130,442*
6814-7-965.0100.06530500No151,511*
6714-6-1054.8100.055368100No173,331*
6613-8-944.099.9444113200No194,698*
6513-7-1032.999.63343204000No213,236*
6413-6-1122.598.62341278100No230,102*
6312-8-1013.796.3143633143000No243,824*
6212-7-117.491.272635227100No255,098*
6112-6-123.381.43173229144100No261,025*
6011-8-111.265.71924322392000No262,949*
5911-7-120.345.7031428291861000No259,004*
5811-6-130.125.60161829261441000No250,746*
5710-8-120.010.60029212924113100No237,603*
5610-7-130.03.1000311232922103000No222,281*
5510-6-14No0.600131224292092000No203,508*
549-8-13No0.10014132528198200No182,183*
539-7-14No0.00014132528198200No160,802*
529-6-15NoNo001414252818720000.0%138,304*
518-8-14NoNo00151426281871000.0117,641*
508-7-15NoNo000151526281761000.296,710*
498-6-16NoNo00151627271761001.278,807*
487-8-15NoNo00016182827155105.362,566*
477-7-16NoNo000282029251230016.148,707*
467-6-17NoNo00021023312392033.536,885*
456-8-16NoNo014142730185154.827,221*
446-7-17NoNo01619312812273.819,872*
436-6-18NoNo00211253422586.514,111*
425-8-17NoNo0151835311094.39,618*
415-7-18NoNo021131391898.06,514*
405-6-19NoNo01624422799.34,281*
394-8-18NoNo0317413999.82,699*
384-7-19NoNo019395199.91,642*
374-6-20NoNo063361Yes1,021*
363-8-19NoNo142472Yes576*
353-7-20NoNo12277Yes358*
343-6-21NoNo11683Yes196*
332-8-20NoNo694Yes87*
322-7-21NoNo2296Yes46*
30-31NoNo100Yes33*
292-4-24NoNo2575Yes4
19-27NoNo100Yes600*
Total:21.3%55.5%211411976554332221111001.9%4,813,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship