How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma 0 Bragantino 2 +7.5
+8.9
-0.4
+0.8
Oeste 0 Coritiba 2 -1.5
-0.7
-0.1
Vila Nova 0 Sport Recife 2 -0.8
-0.6
Parana 0 Atletico-GO 0 +0.7
+0.5
America-MG 2 Cuiaba 1 +0.4
+0.5
Sao Bento 2 Parana 1 +0.3
+0.4
Cuiaba 3 Figueirense 0 -0.3
-0.3
Ponte Preta 0 CRB 1 +0.2
Operario-PR 1 Guarani 0 -0.2
-0.4
Londrina 1 Criciuma 1 +0.2
+0.2
Sport Recife 3 Botafogo-SP 0 *+0.1
-0.1
Botafogo-SP 2 Londrina 1 -0.1
Brasil de Pelotas 2 Sao Bento 1 -0.1
Vitoria 0 America-MG 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino vs Coritiba+10.0-2.0-8.8
+8.6-1.6-7.6
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
+0.7-0.1-0.6
CRB vs Bragantino-7.2-2.3+8.7
-7.5-1.7+8.5
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.6-0.1+0.7
Coritiba vs Vitoria-2.0+0.7+1.6
-0.7+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Brasil de Pelotas-1.1+0.4+0.8
-0.6+0.4+0.4
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife+0.3+0.6-0.7
*-0.0+0.5-0.3
Sport Recife vs Atletico-GO-0.2+0.8-0.3
-0.1+0.4-0.2
Botafogo-SP vs Parana-0.6+0.4+0.3
-0.4+0.4+0.1
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SP*+0.0+0.6-0.4
-0.1+0.6-0.2
Figueirense vs CRB+0.4+0.3-0.6
+0.4+0.3-0.6
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.4+0.3-0.6
Guarani vs Londrina+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.5+0.2-0.6
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2+0.4-0.5
Londrina vs Sao Bento-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.6+0.2+0.4
Parana vs Criciuma-0.3*+0.1+0.3
-0.4+0.2+0.3
Vitoria vs Operario-PR+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.2-0.5
Operario-PR vs Figueirense-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.4+0.3+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bragantino finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
84-97YesYes100No2,539*
8315-4-299.9%Yes1000No1,613*
8215-3-399.9Yes1000No2,961*
8115-2-4100.0Yes1000No4,614*
8014-4-399.9Yes1000No7,473*
7914-3-499.8Yes1000No11,558*
7813-5-399.7Yes1000No17,878*
7713-4-499.5Yes1000No26,503*
7613-3-599.2Yes991No37,555*
7512-5-498.8Yes9910No52,319*
7412-4-597.8Yes9820No70,976*
7312-3-696.5Yes9640No93,860*
7211-5-594.3Yes9460No119,545*
7111-4-691.2Yes91900No150,175*
7011-3-787.1Yes871200No182,327*
6910-5-680.9Yes811810No216,480*
6810-4-773.1100.0%7324200No250,763*
679-6-663.5100.06431500No283,849*
669-5-752.1100.052389100No310,729*
659-4-840.199.9404315200No333,200*
648-6-728.299.42843235100No348,393*
638-5-817.698.118393011200No355,061*
628-4-99.594.4103135195100No351,260*
617-6-84.386.44213527112000No339,760*
607-5-91.572.32112832207100No319,431*
597-4-100.452.004173028154100No292,710*
586-6-90.130.2018213125113000No260,804*
576-5-100.013.2002112430229200No226,526*
566-4-110.03.90003132629197200No190,849*
555-6-10No0.70014142729186100No156,636*
545-5-11No0.10015152728176100No122,965*
535-4-12No0.00015162828165100No95,597*
524-6-11NoNo001516282715510000.0%71,095*
514-5-12NoNo001617282715510No51,345*
504-4-13NoNo00161829261441000.135,722*
493-6-12NoNo0017192926134100.624,007*
483-5-13NoNo0028202925123003.315,501*
473-4-14NoNo002102330231020012.19,614*
462-6-13NoNo0131126302071028.75,748*
452-5-14NoNo015163029164049.03,148*
442-4-15NoNo0282031289270.91,719*
432-3-16NoNo0312263421485.4916*
421-5-15NoNo05203729894.3438*
411-4-16NoNo1833411798.8172*
401-3-17NoNo1325403198.568*
390-5-16NoNo214831Yes29*
380-4-17NoNo2971Yes7*
370-3-18NoNo6733Yes3
360-2-19NoNo100Yes1
340-0-21NoNo01089Yes678
Total:32.6%73.2%331913975432211100000000.2%5,457,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship