Clube de Regatas do Flamengo Title Chances 50/50Plays at Gremio, title odds up 0.2 to 4.6% 50 points 14-8-6 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Flamengo 1 Vasco 0 | +1.8 | | +8.4 | | No | | +0.7 | | Bragantino 1 Atletico-MG 2 | +0.3 | | -0.8 | | | | +0.0 | | Botafogo 1 Athletico-PR 1 | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | +0.0 | | Bragantino 1 Fluminense 0 | -0.2 | | +0.6 | | | | -0.0 | | Palmeiras 5 Sao Paulo 0 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | -0.1 | | Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 2 | -0.1 | | -1.1 | | | | -0.1 | | Athletico-PR 3 America-MG 2 | | | -0.9 | | | | -0.1 | | Sao Paulo 3 Gremio 0 | | | +0.7 | | | | +0.1 | | Atletico-MG 0 Cruzeiro 1 | | | +1.0 | | | | +0.1 | | Bahia 2 Fortaleza 0 | | | +1.1 | | | | +0.1 | | Fluminense 5 Goias 3 | | | -0.9 | | | | -0.1 | | Cuiaba 1 Goias 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | Internacional 7 Santos 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Gremio vs Flamengo | -2.3-1.2+3.1 | | -7.3-0.3+7.5 | | | | -0.6-0.1+0.7 | | Cuiaba vs Corinthians | | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Vasco vs Internacional | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Flamengo vs Bragantino | +3.4-1.2-2.6 | | +7.0-0.8-6.5 | | | | +0.7-0.1-0.7 | | Flamengo vs Santos | +3.1-1.2-2.3 | | +6.7-1.0-6.0 | | | | +0.6-0.1-0.5 | | Botafogo vs Cuiaba | -2.1+0.5+1.8 | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Botafogo vs Palmeiras | -2.1+0.7+1.6 | | +0.5+0.1-0.6 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Goias vs Bragantino | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Palmeiras vs Bahia | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.6+0.2+0.5 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Corinthians vs Athletico-PR | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.9+0.3-1.1 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -1.0+0.4+0.7 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Coritiba vs Gremio | | | +1.0+0.3-1.2 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | America-MG vs Gremio | | | +1.0+0.3-1.2 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza | | | -0.4+0.6*+0.0 | | | | | | Atletico-MG vs Fluminense | | | -0.2+0.6-0.2 | | | | | | Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro | | | -0.9+0.3+0.7 | | | | | | Bahia vs Fluminense | | | +1.0+0.3-1.2 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Cuiaba vs Vasco | | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Internacional vs Coritiba | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | | | | Internacional vs America-MG | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Flamengo finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 95.4 | % | Yes | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,866 | | 78 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 87.5 | | Yes | 87 | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 48,194 | | 77 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 84.6 | | Yes | 85 | 15 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 75,600 | | 76 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 74.6 | | Yes | 75 | 25 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 138,538 | | 75 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 68.3 | | Yes | 68 | 32 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 434,323 | | 74 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 60.4 | | Yes | 60 | 40 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 575,053 | * | 73 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 48.6 | | Yes | 49 | 51 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,106,188 | | 72 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 40.8 | | Yes | 41 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,734,279 | | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 37.8 | | Yes | 38 | 61 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 263,427 | | 71 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 28.7 | | Yes | 29 | 68 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,650,369 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 33.6 | | Yes | 34 | 64 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 903,525 | | 70 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 20.7 | | Yes | 21 | 73 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,076,023 | * | 69 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 14.6 | | Yes | 15 | 73 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,047,995 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 12.6 | | Yes | 13 | 75 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,578,532 | | 68 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 7.4 | | Yes | 7 | 70 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,949,732 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 9.5 | | Yes | 9 | 69 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,690,286 | * | 67 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 3.8 | | Yes | 4 | 60 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,748,461 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 3.5 | | Yes | 4 | 61 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,008,496 | | 66 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 1.8 | | 100.0 | % | 2 | 47 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,068,296 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 1.4 | | 100.0 | | 1 | 47 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,990,056 | * | 65 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.5 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 31 | 45 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,249,281 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0.7 | | 100.0 | | 1 | 32 | 44 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,900,838 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.5 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 32 | 45 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 429,919 | | 64 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 17 | 41 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,690,769 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 18 | 42 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,028,681 | * | 63 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 99.7 | | 0 | 8 | 31 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,063,619 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 99.7 | | 0 | 8 | 31 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,390,058 | * | 62 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 98.3 | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,253,087 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 98.3 | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,586,160 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 98.7 | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 38 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 646,176 | * | 61 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 93.0 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,750,560 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 94.1 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,036,494 | * | 60 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 80.9 | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,048,298 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 81.9 | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,070,258 | * | 59 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 59.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,953,392 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 60.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 904,157 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | 63.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 431,962 | * | 58 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 34.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,873,334 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 37.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,020,344 | * | 57 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 15.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 35 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,771,822 | * | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 15.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 35 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 1,581,938 | | 56 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 4.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 1,649,402 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | 5.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 38 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 446,829 | * | 55 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | 0.8 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 40 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 1,308,470 | * | 54 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 434,199 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 263,004 | | 53 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 311,699 | * | 52 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 137,931 | | 51 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 48,081 | | 50 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 22,759 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 4.6 | % | 87.5 | % | 5 | 26 | 20 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 123,413,760 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |