How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians 1 Flamengo 5 +6.3
+7.0
-0.2
+0.7
Bahia 3 Atletico-MG 1 +1.8
+0.0
Internacional 2 Vasco da Gama 0 -1.3
Sao Paulo 0 Gremio 0 +0.4
+0.3
Coritiba 1 Santos 2 -0.3
-0.5
Fluminense 2 Ceara 2 +0.2
+0.4
Fortaleza 2 Palmeiras 0 *-0.1
Bragantino 2 Sport Recife 0 +0.3
Atletico-GO 1 Athletico-PR 1 +0.2
Botafogo 0 Goias 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PR-1.9+0.6+1.5
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Goias vs Sao Paulo+0.8+0.4-1.0
+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Ceara vs Sao Paulo+0.7+0.4-0.9
+0.1+0.2-0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1+0.3-0.2
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.0
Gremio vs Goias-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional vs Flamengo-8.2-1.8+9.4
-4.8-1.0+5.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.6-0.1+0.7
Atletico-MG vs Sport Recife-1.9+0.6+1.5
-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-1.0+0.4+0.7
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Fluminense vs Santos-0.0+0.4-0.2
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Bahia vs Fortaleza+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Atletico-GO vs Palmeiras+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.3-0.1
Athletico-PR vs Gremio+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Ceara vs Coritiba-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Bragantino vs Goias-0.1+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Flamengo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
90-97YesYes100No1,149,057*
8918-1-2100.0%Yes1000No44,930*
8817-3-1100.0Yes1000No96,076*
8717-2-2100.0Yes1000No213,564*
8616-4-1100.0Yes1000No409,735*
8516-3-2100.0Yes1000No796,175*
8416-2-399.9Yes1000No1,494,566*
8315-4-299.9Yes1000No2,610,597*
8215-3-399.9Yes1000No4,551,417*
8115-2-499.8Yes10000No7,588,652*
8014-4-399.7Yes10000No12,139,074*
7914-3-499.5Yes9910No19,141,787*
7813-5-399.1Yes9910No28,964,326*
7713-4-498.6Yes99100No42,583,516*
7613-3-597.8Yes98200No61,261,751*
7512-5-496.5Yes96300No85,123,797*
7412-4-594.6Yes95500No115,343,690*
7312-3-691.9Yes928000No152,530,306*
7211-5-588.2Yes8811000No195,575,749*
7111-4-683.2Yes8316100No244,850,941*
7010-6-576.9Yes7721200No298,909,715*
6910-5-669.1Yes69283000No354,790,818*
6810-4-759.9100.0%603460000No411,202,233*
679-6-649.6100.05040101000No464,496,264*
669-5-738.8100.03944152000No510,658,557*
659-4-828.3100.028452240000No548,117,563*
648-6-718.9100.019423081000No573,199,301*
638-5-811.3100.01136361530000No583,606,874*
628-4-95.9100.0626382361000No579,622,087*
617-6-82.699.831735311320000No560,436,410*
607-5-90.998.919273521610000No527,506,317*
597-4-100.296.2041732301430000No483,605,868*
586-6-90.088.9018233324920000No431,185,493*
576-5-100.074.100313283119610000No373,732,381*
566-4-110.051.8001517302815410000No315,043,342*
555-6-100.028.00001720302612300000No257,803,071*
545-5-11No10.8000292230241130000No204,586,885*
535-4-12No2.70002102330221020000No157,538,788*
524-6-11No0.400003112429219200000.0%117,403,053*
514-5-12No0.000003122429208200000.084,578,799*
504-4-13No0.000014122429208200000.058,906,859*
493-6-12No0.00001413252919820000.239,518,235*
483-5-13No0.000001414262919710001.625,517,861*
473-4-14NoNo000151527281761007.015,820,611*
462-6-13NoNo000161728281541020.19,389,981*
452-5-14NoNo00027203026123040.75,312,977*
442-4-15NoNo0002102432238163.12,859,033*
431-6-14NoNo001415303216381.01,457,423*
421-5-15NoNo00017223627792.0696,710*
411-4-16NoNo0031332371597.2311,751*
401-3-17NoNo0001625432599.1128,733*
390-5-16NoNo00317433899.848,316*
380-4-17NoNo01103950100.015,912*
370-3-18NoNo0053263100.04,733*
360-2-19NoNo32573Yes1,073
350-1-20NoNo31978Yes159
340-0-21NoNo001288Yes1,116,268
Total:27.0%86.6%2720151186432111000000000.1%8,975,600,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship