"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/21100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo 3 Gremio 0 +3.8
-3.9
+1.0
Palmeiras 5 Sao Paulo 0 -4.9
+1.7
-0.9
Bragantino 1 Atletico-MG 2 -0.6
-0.1
Bragantino 1 Fluminense 0 +0.3
+0.0
Botafogo 1 Athletico-PR 1 +0.2
Flamengo 1 Vasco 0 -0.4
-0.3
Athletico-PR 3 America-MG 2 -0.8
-0.1
Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 2 -0.7
-0.1
Fluminense 5 Goias 3 -0.7
-0.3
Atletico-MG 0 Cruzeiro 1 +0.6
+0.3
Bahia 2 Fortaleza 0 +0.3
+0.5
Cuiaba 1 Goias 1 +0.1
-0.2
+0.1
Internacional 7 Santos 1 -0.0
Corinthians 1 America-MG 1 -0.1
+0.0
Cruzeiro 3 Bahia 0 +0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Gremio vs Flamengo-0.2+0.1+0.1
Cuiaba vs Corinthians-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.3-0.1+0.4
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Vasco vs Internacional+0.4-0.2-0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Santos vs Coritiba+0.5-0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/29100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo-2.1-1.2+2.9
+2.5+0.2-2.7
-0.8-0.3+1.0
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro+2.6-1.1-1.9
-2.8+0.1+2.7
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Botafogo vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Palmeiras+0.2+0.0-0.2
Palmeiras vs Bahia-0.2+0.0+0.2
-0.3-0.1+0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Goias vs Bragantino+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.2-0.5
Corinthians vs Athletico-PR+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.5-0.1-0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Coritiba vs Gremio+0.3+0.1-0.4
America-MG vs Gremio+0.3+0.1-0.4
Bahia vs Fluminense+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza-0.2+0.3*-0.0
Atletico-MG vs Fluminense-0.1+0.3-0.1
Flamengo vs Santos-0.2+0.0+0.2
-0.5-0.2+0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cuiaba vs Vasco-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.4-0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Internacional vs America-MG+0.2-0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Internacional vs Coritiba+0.2-0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Corinthians vs Santos-0.0-0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Goias vs Vasco+0.1-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
659-0-01.1%Yes138441520No35,053
638-1-00.099.8%011353615300No114,323
628-0-10.098.904223827810No178,346
617-2-0No94.5110293620510No292,133
607-1-1No83.803163431133000No913,677
597-0-2No64.60162236268100No716,249
6-3-0No59.700520342811200No435,053
586-2-1No35.700192635226100No2,045,589
576-1-2No17.000314323315300No3,202,134
5-4-0No12.700211293519400No417,621
565-3-1No4.0000417353111100No2,611,725
6-0-3No5.800152137278100No1,672,863
555-2-2No0.900172638234000No6,135,810
4-5-0No0.5015233926500No266,398
545-1-3No0.200215363511100No6,408,333
4-4-1No0.100111333915200No2,083,499
534-3-2No0.000042041277100No6,526,434
5-0-4No0.000062540235000No2,506,478
3-6-0No0.00031941287100No114,079
524-2-3No0.0001103337163000No10,226,560
3-5-1No0.000183139183000No1,066,891
514-1-4No0.00004213927810000.0%8,005,412
3-4-2NoNo00218383010100No4,199,316*
503-3-3NoNo000727372161000.08,703,106
4-0-5NoNo001930361940000.02,507,504
2-6-1NoNo00726372361000.0339,164
493-2-4NoNo0021533321430000.010,227,589
2-5-2NoNo0021332331630000.01,605,063*
483-1-5NoNo001622352691000.16,408,329
2-4-3NoNo005203528112000.14,171,180
1-7-1NoNo004193528112000.162,259
472-3-4NoNo00192635227100.86,533,391
3-0-6NoNo002102834205100.61,670,453
1-6-2NoNo0182535237101.0341,174*
462-2-5NoNo0003143132163003.46,136,810
1-5-3NoNo002133033174004.21,070,081*
452-1-6NoNo00162135279109.83,202,239
1-4-4NoNo0005193529111012.12,117,283*
441-3-5NoNo00192737224026.42,613,642
2-0-7NoNo002102936193022.8716,635
0-6-3NoNo00182537245028.7113,756
431-2-6NoNo0003163634110044.72,045,721
0-5-4NoNo00214353612048.6266,085
421-1-7NoNo00172843211063.8916,198
0-4-5NoNo00162543241068.1417,990
410-3-6NoNo0021543382083.0435,182
1-0-8NoNo00031744352080.2178,789
400-2-7NoNo01736525092.2290,899
390-1-8NoNo003266110097.0114,009
380-0-9NoNo01156618199.235,253
Total:0.0%3.0%00001235913151412107531003.7%123,413,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship