Sao Paulo Futebol Clube Title Chances 50/50Lost to Palmeiras 0-5, title odds down 0.003 to 0.0003% 38 points 10-8-11 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/21 | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Sao Paulo 3 Gremio 0 | +3.8 | | -3.9 | | +1.0 | | Palmeiras 5 Sao Paulo 0 | -4.9 | | +1.7 | | -0.9 | | Bragantino 1 Atletico-MG 2 | -0.6 | | | | -0.1 | | Bragantino 1 Fluminense 0 | +0.3 | | | | +0.0 | | Botafogo 1 Athletico-PR 1 | +0.2 | | | | | | Flamengo 1 Vasco 0 | -0.4 | | -0.3 | | | | Athletico-PR 3 America-MG 2 | -0.8 | | | | -0.1 | | Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 2 | -0.7 | | | | -0.1 | | Fluminense 5 Goias 3 | -0.7 | | -0.3 | | | | Atletico-MG 0 Cruzeiro 1 | +0.6 | | +0.3 | | | | Bahia 2 Fortaleza 0 | +0.3 | | +0.5 | | | | Cuiaba 1 Goias 1 | +0.1 | | -0.2 | | +0.1 | | Internacional 7 Santos 1 | | | | | -0.0 | | Corinthians 1 America-MG 1 | | | -0.1 | | +0.0 | | Cruzeiro 3 Bahia 0 | | | +0.1 | | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Gremio vs Flamengo | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Cuiaba vs Corinthians | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Vasco vs Internacional | | | +0.4-0.2-0.3 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | Santos vs Coritiba | | | +0.5-0.2-0.4 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo | -2.1-1.2+2.9 | | +2.5+0.2-2.7 | | -0.8-0.3+1.0 | | Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro | +2.6-1.1-1.9 | | -2.8+0.1+2.7 | | +1.1-0.2-0.9 | | Botafogo vs Cuiaba | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Botafogo vs Palmeiras | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | | | | | | Palmeiras vs Bahia | -0.2+0.0+0.2 | | -0.3-0.1+0.3 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Goias vs Bragantino | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.7-0.2-0.5 | | | | Corinthians vs Athletico-PR | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | +0.5-0.1-0.4 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Coritiba vs Gremio | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | | | | | America-MG vs Gremio | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | | | | | Bahia vs Fluminense | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | +0.3-0.1-0.3 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza | -0.2+0.3*-0.0 | | | | | | Atletico-MG vs Fluminense | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | | | | | | Flamengo vs Santos | -0.2+0.0+0.2 | | -0.5-0.2+0.6 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Cuiaba vs Vasco | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.4-0.2+0.5 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | Internacional vs America-MG | | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Internacional vs Coritiba | | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Corinthians vs Santos | | | -0.0-0.2+0.2 | | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | Goias vs Vasco | | | +0.1-0.3+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 65 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.1 | % | Yes | 1 | 38 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35,053 | | 63 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | 99.8 | % | 0 | 11 | 35 | 36 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 114,323 | | 62 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 98.9 | | 0 | 4 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 178,346 | | 61 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 94.5 | | | 1 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 292,133 | | 60 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 83.8 | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 913,677 | | 59 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 64.6 | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 716,249 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 59.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 435,053 | | 58 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 35.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 2,045,589 | | 57 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 17.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,202,134 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 12.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 417,621 | | 56 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 4.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 2,611,725 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | 5.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 1,672,863 | | 55 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0.9 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 6,135,810 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | 0.5 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 266,398 | | 54 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0.2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 6,408,333 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 2,083,499 | | 53 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 6,526,434 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,506,478 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 114,079 | | 52 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 10,226,560 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 1,066,891 | | 51 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 8,005,412 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 38 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 4,199,316 | * | 50 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 8,703,106 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 2,507,504 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 339,164 | | 49 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 10,227,589 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 1,605,063 | * | 48 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 6,408,329 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 4,171,180 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 35 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 62,259 | | 47 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.8 | | 6,533,391 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.6 | | 1,670,453 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | 1.0 | | 341,174 | * | 46 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.4 | | 6,136,810 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 4.2 | | 1,070,081 | * | 45 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 9.8 | | 3,202,239 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | 12.1 | | 2,117,283 | * | 44 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 4 | 0 | | 26.4 | | 2,613,642 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | 22.8 | | 716,635 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 5 | 0 | | 28.7 | | 113,756 | | 43 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 44.7 | | 2,045,721 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | 12 | 0 | | 48.6 | | 266,085 | | 42 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 43 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 63.8 | | 916,198 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 68.1 | | 417,990 | | 41 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 43 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 83.0 | | 435,182 | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 80.2 | | 178,789 | | 40 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 92.2 | | 290,899 | | 39 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 97.0 | | 114,009 | | 38 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 66 | 18 | 1 | 99.2 | | 35,253 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 3.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.7 | % | 123,413,760 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |