How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo+2.0-0.6-1.6
+6.9-1.9-5.7
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Goias vs Sao Paulo-1.6-0.6+2.0
-5.7-1.9+6.9
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Botafogo vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Athletico-PR vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo+2.0-0.6-1.6
+6.9-1.9-5.7
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Gremio vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
89-114YesYes100No100,077*
8827-7-499.9%Yes1000No2,783*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No4,956*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No8,269*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No13,732*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No22,547*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No36,081*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No56,731*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No88,030*
8024-8-699.6Yes1000No134,435*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No201,379*
7824-6-899.0Yes9910No297,446*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No432,754*
7623-7-897.5Yes9720No618,779*
7523-6-996.3Yes9640No870,052*
7422-8-894.5Yes94500No1,208,046*
7322-7-992.0Yes92800No1,649,870*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No2,212,591*
7121-8-983.9Yes8415100No2,936,011*
7021-7-1078.1Yes7820200No3,831,167*
6920-9-970.8Yes71263000No4,919,797*
6820-8-1062.0Yes62326000No6,230,466*
6720-7-1152.0100.0%523891000No7,771,955*
6619-9-1041.3100.04141152000No9,561,552*
6519-8-1130.6100.031432151000No11,583,480*
6419-7-1220.7100.0214028920000No13,825,351*
6318-9-1112.5100.01234331641000No16,278,963*
6218-8-126.699.87253524920000No18,890,022*
6117-10-112.999.1315313016510000No21,604,348*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No24,353,058*
5917-8-130.391.00313263019720000No27,065,553*
5816-10-120.078.201517282715510000No29,631,402*
5716-9-130.057.7002820292513410000No32,004,484*
5616-8-140.033.50002921292311310000No34,058,131*
5515-10-130.014.1000031122282210300000No35,721,754*
5415-9-14No4.0000131123282193000000.0%36,924,203*
5315-8-15No0.7000141224282092000000.037,624,163*
5214-10-14No0.1000014122428209200000.037,782,429*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.037,367,480*
5014-8-16No0.000001413252819820000.336,434,470*
4913-10-15No0.0000001514262818710001.634,995,363*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151627271761006.833,100,930*
4713-8-17NoNo00000171828261441018.730,860,684*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213024112037.428,321,773*
4512-9-17NoNo000013122631206158.425,607,253*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.322,781,011*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253523688.419,966,269*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.117,218,304*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.214,617,295*
4010-10-18NoNo00001521433099.412,196,963*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424199.810,016,561*
389-11-18NoNo00193753100.08,083,175*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.06,422,878*
369-9-20NoNo00032572100.05,015,631*
359-8-21NoNo00011980100.03,840,696*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.02,888,798*
338-9-21NoNo0001090100.02,136,785*
328-8-22NoNo00793Yes1,548,966*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes1,103,275*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes766,875*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes524,889*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes352,629*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes230,447*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes147,502*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes92,831*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes56,492*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes33,805*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes19,619*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes11,173*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes6,180*
0-19NoNo100Yes103,351*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%777,427,200

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship