How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos vs Fluminense-1.6-0.6+2.0
-5.7-1.9+6.9
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Fluminense vs Goias+2.0-0.6-1.6
+6.9-1.9-5.7
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Cruzeiro vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Athletico-PR vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio vs Fluminense-1.6-0.6+2.0
-5.7-1.9+6.9
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Cruzeiro vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
89-114YesYes100No100,272*
8827-7-499.9%Yes1000No2,817*
8727-6-5YesYes100No4,857*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No8,210*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No13,484*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No22,164*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No35,758*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No56,889*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No87,097*
8024-8-699.5Yes1000No134,607*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No201,424*
7824-6-899.0Yes9910No298,289*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No432,154*
7623-7-897.5Yes9820No618,878*
7523-6-996.3Yes96400No870,194*
7422-8-894.5Yes945000No1,206,505*
7322-7-991.9Yes92800No1,647,542*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No2,217,194*
7121-8-984.0Yes8415100No2,928,982*
7021-7-1078.1Yes7820200No3,827,977*
6920-9-970.8Yes71263000No4,919,723*
6820-8-1062.0100.0%623260000No6,230,291*
6720-7-1152.0100.0523891000No7,773,811*
6619-9-1041.3100.04141152000No9,553,320*
6519-8-1130.5100.031432151000No11,577,159*
6419-7-1220.7100.021402892000No13,834,290*
6318-9-1112.5100.01334331641000No16,286,503*
6218-8-126.699.87253524920000No18,889,587*
6117-10-112.999.1315313016510000No21,599,629*
6017-9-121.096.9182231241030000No24,355,432*
5917-8-130.390.90313263019720000No27,065,591*
5816-10-120.078.201517282715510000No29,637,089*
5716-9-130.057.7002820292513410000No31,999,560*
5616-8-140.033.50002921292311310000No34,047,202*
5515-10-130.014.1000031122282210300000No35,719,363*
5415-9-14No4.0000131123282193000000.0%36,914,458*
5315-8-15No0.700014122428209200000.037,628,531*
5214-10-14No0.10000141224282092000000.037,762,765*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.037,372,953*
5014-8-16No0.0000014132528198200000.336,429,964*
4913-10-15No0.000001514262818710001.634,988,479*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151627271761006.833,121,013*
4713-8-17NoNo00000171828271441018.730,864,906*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213024112037.428,328,885*
4512-9-17NoNo00013122631206158.425,602,235*
4412-8-18NoNo0001517313014276.322,804,504*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253523688.419,969,864*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.117,209,287*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.214,611,436*
4010-10-18NoNo001522433099.412,202,023*
3910-9-19NoNo000215424199.810,018,562*
389-11-18NoNo000193753100.08,095,860*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.06,417,740*
369-9-20NoNo00032572100.05,010,574*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.03,843,363*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.02,891,463*
338-9-21NoNo001090Yes2,136,196*
328-8-22NoNo00793Yes1,549,678*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes1,101,453*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes769,444*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes526,132*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes351,613*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes229,129*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes147,215*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes93,124*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes56,870*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes33,621*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes19,402*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes11,067*
0-20NoNo100Yes109,547*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%777,427,200

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship