How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense 1 Avai 0 +3.2
-12.7
+1.3
Chapecoense 0 Flamengo 1 -0.4
-0.8
+0.0
Atletico-GO 1 Palmeiras 3 -0.2
-0.8
+0.0
Coritiba 0 Gremio 1 -0.2
-0.9
+0.1
Sport Recife 1 Atletico-MG 1 +0.1
-0.2
Bahia 2 Corinthians 0 -0.1
+0.8
-0.1
Santos 2 Vitoria 2 +0.1
-0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.0No
+4.7-1.8-3.5
-9.0+0.9+8.4
+1.3-0.3-1.1
Corinthians vs Gremio+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Avai vs Botafogo+0.6+0.2-0.7
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Atletico-GO vs Vasco da Gama+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.6-0.2-0.4
Flamengo vs Bahia-0.6+0.3+0.4
-0.5-0.1+0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.7-0.1+0.8
Coritiba vs Cruzeiro+0.2+0.1-0.3
+1.0-0.3-0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Palmeiras vs Ponte Preta-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.9-0.3+1.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vitoria vs Atletico-PR+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.3-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Sport Recife vs Santos+0.7-0.1-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense vs FluminenseNo-0.0+0.0
-3.5-1.8+4.6
+8.7+0.8-9.3
-1.1-0.3+1.3
Botafogo vs Corinthians-0.7+0.2+0.6
Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.7-0.3+0.9
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo+0.4+0.3-0.6
+0.7-0.1-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG+0.1+0.2-0.2
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Sport Recife-0.2+0.2+0.0
*-0.0-0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Gremio vs Palmeiras+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Santos vs Atletico-GO-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Bahia vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.3-0.2+0.4
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Ponte Preta vs Avai*+0.0-0.5+0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
6510-0-02.9%Yes336441520No1,576
639-1-00.2Yes0113638132No3,214
629-0-10.0100.0%05263925500No5,099
618-2-0No99.9112333615200No9,422
608-1-1No99.305233826610No29,478
598-0-2No97.30211323616300No39,201*
587-2-1No90.9004193929810No74,847
577-1-2No77.7019303719300No117,439
6-4-0No74.9017293821400No18,000
566-3-1No54.300216363311100No111,716
7-0-3No58.70031837301010No61,263
556-2-2No32.00062538236100No274,796*
546-1-3No14.500213323415300No273,986
5-4-1No13.100112323616300No107,119
535-3-2No4.000419362911200No335,290
6-0-4No4.900520362710200No114,780*
525-2-3No0.80172535238100No524,493
4-5-1No0.80182636227100No67,879
515-1-4No0.1002112833206100No410,812
4-4-2No0.1002112933195100No269,697*
504-3-3No0.000031429311751000.0%558,392
5-0-5No0.00031429301751000.0128,594
3-6-1No0.000416313015300No29,326
494-2-4No0.000041530301641000.0655,437
3-5-2No0.00015173129143000.0136,958*
484-1-5NoNo00151630291540000.5410,699
3-4-3NoNo0015183128133000.4365,029*
473-3-4NoNo0015183128133003.2558,616
4-0-6NoNo0016183128133003.5107,663
2-6-2NoNo01721322611202.443,755*
463-2-5NoNo00161932281220014.6524,850
2-5-3NoNo00172132261020012.3137,946*
453-1-6NoNo0017213427101037.8273,817
2-4-4NoNo001722342591035.1274,522*
442-3-5NoNo000192636226064.2335,244
3-0-7NoNo00192535236064.461,378
1-6-3NoNo002112735205060.129,361*
432-2-6NoNo000212313616285.8262,024
1-5-4NoNo00313333515283.868,781*
422-1-7NoNo0004193831896.0116,741
1-4-5NoNo004203929795.4109,539*
411-3-6NoNo001832421799.1111,741
2-0-8NoNo01931421899.030,179*
401-2-7NoNo00320453299.988,222*
391-1-8NoNo0194050100.029,469
0-4-6NoNo01114147100.017,867
380-3-7NoNo043264Yes21,013*
370-2-8NoNo012078Yes9,414
360-1-9NoNo01387Yes3,268
350-0-10NoNo694Yes1,568
Total:0.0%6.3%0000123689101010998753216.8%8,351,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship