How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo 1 Athletico-PR 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Athletico-PR 3 America-MG 2 +0.1
+8.2
+0.5
Bragantino 1 Fluminense 0 +1.1
Bragantino 1 Atletico-MG 2 -2.7
-0.1
Flamengo 1 Vasco 0 -0.8
-0.1
Sao Paulo 3 Gremio 0 +1.7
+0.1
Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 2 -1.3
-0.1
Palmeiras 5 Sao Paulo 0 -0.9
-0.1
Atletico-MG 0 Cruzeiro 1 +2.0
+0.1
Fluminense 5 Goias 3 -1.8
-0.1
Bahia 2 Fortaleza 0 +1.8
+0.1
Cuiaba 1 Goias 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Gremio vs Flamengo-2.0+0.6+1.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Cuiaba vs Corinthians-0.2+0.1+0.2
Vasco vs Internacional+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians vs Athletico-PR-0.2-0.1+0.2
-12.5-4.4+10.4
+0.0NoNo
-0.7-0.3+0.6
Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo+0.2-0.1-0.2
+10.4-4.4-12.7
NoNo+0.0
+0.6-0.3-0.7
Botafogo vs Cuiaba-0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.4
Botafogo vs Palmeiras-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.7*+0.0-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Goias vs Bragantino+0.7+0.2-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Flamengo vs Bragantino-0.3+0.2+0.2
Flamengo vs Santos-0.6+0.4+1.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Palmeiras vs Bahia-0.9+0.5+1.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
America-MG vs Gremio+2.9+1.5-1.7
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza-1.3+1.3+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Gremio+2.9+1.4-1.8
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Bahia vs Fluminense+2.3+1.0-2.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro-1.3+0.7+1.2
Atletico-MG vs Fluminense-0.5+1.4-0.4
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Cuiaba vs Vasco-0.2+0.1+0.2
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Internacional vs Coritiba-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Athletico-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
759-0-027.5%Yes287120No288,480
738-1-012.0Yes128080No1,204,131
728-0-18.2Yes8781300No1,557,641
717-2-03.7Yes4712320No2,618,995
707-1-12.0Yes26232400No6,742,976
697-0-21.0Yes15041800No4,329,149
6-3-00.6Yes14743900No3,310,142
686-2-10.2100.0%0344717200No12,762,601
676-1-20.1100.00224627500No16,352,377
5-4-00.1100.00194629500No2,684,664
665-3-10.0100.0010383812100No13,781,750
6-0-30.0100.0012393611100No6,970,222
655-2-20.099.805274223400No26,436,406
4-5-00.099.804254324400No1,449,715
645-1-30.099.00215383410100No22,478,951
4-4-10.098.90114383511100No9,284,824
634-3-20.096.00062741224000No23,709,944
5-0-40.096.6007294020300No7,143,160
3-6-00.096.2005274222400No521,740
624-2-3No88.70215383410100No30,180,299
3-5-1No88.6021438341010No3,997,715
614-1-4No75.4017284021400No19,152,308
3-4-2No74.4006274122400No12,733,756
2-7-0No75.8006284221300No120,149
603-3-3No54.700215383410100No21,589,825
4-0-5No58.00021739329100No4,854,173
2-6-1No55.70021539341010No1,078,364
593-2-4No34.000062741214000No20,521,761
2-5-2No34.20006284121300No4,119,573*
583-1-5No18.000216383310100No10,368,175
2-4-3No17.100215393410100No8,669,867
1-7-1No18.4002164033900No164,545
572-3-4No6.70006284121300No10,967,718
3-0-6No8.20018294020300No2,179,953
1-6-2No7.3007294219200No733,823*
562-2-5No2.10021539359100No8,304,976
1-5-3No2.10021640347000No1,865,969*
552-1-6No0.5017284319300No3,537,205*
1-4-4No0.40007294318300No2,930,603
541-3-5No0.10021541329100No2,954,949
2-0-7No0.1002164131810No625,139
0-6-3No0.1021743307100No165,734
531-2-6No0.0006284021400No1,857,211
0-5-4No0.0006304019400No313,601
521-1-7No0.000215373312200No663,831
0-4-5No0.000215373312200No393,021
510-3-6NoNo0052338257100No434,185*
500-2-7NoNo0110293619400No176,655
490-1-8NoNo03153432132000.0%55,185
480-0-9NoNo00520352810100.149,704
Total:0.2%72.1%07131718171384200000000.0%339,387,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship