Club Athletico Paranaense Title ChancesBeat America-MG 3-2, title odds up 0.1 to 0.2% 48 points 13-9-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Botafogo 1 Athletico-PR 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | -0.0 | | Athletico-PR 3 America-MG 2 | +0.1 | | +8.2 | | | | +0.5 | | Bragantino 1 Fluminense 0 | | | +1.1 | | | | | | Bragantino 1 Atletico-MG 2 | | | -2.7 | | | | -0.1 | | Flamengo 1 Vasco 0 | | | -0.8 | | | | -0.1 | | Sao Paulo 3 Gremio 0 | | | +1.7 | | | | +0.1 | | Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 2 | | | -1.3 | | | | -0.1 | | Palmeiras 5 Sao Paulo 0 | | | -0.9 | | | | -0.1 | | Atletico-MG 0 Cruzeiro 1 | | | +2.0 | | | | +0.1 | | Fluminense 5 Goias 3 | | | -1.8 | | | | -0.1 | | Bahia 2 Fortaleza 0 | | | +1.8 | | | | +0.1 | | Cuiaba 1 Goias 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Gremio vs Flamengo | | | -2.0+0.6+1.3 | | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Cuiaba vs Corinthians | | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Vasco vs Internacional | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Libertadores | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Corinthians vs Athletico-PR | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | | -12.5-4.4+10.4 | | +0.0NoNo | | -0.7-0.3+0.6 | | Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | +10.4-4.4-12.7 | | NoNo+0.0 | | +0.6-0.3-0.7 | | Botafogo vs Cuiaba | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | +0.1+0.0-0.4 | | | | | | Botafogo vs Palmeiras | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | +0.7*+0.0-1.2 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Goias vs Bragantino | | | +0.7+0.2-0.4 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Flamengo vs Bragantino | | | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | | | | | Flamengo vs Santos | | | -0.6+0.4+1.0 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Palmeiras vs Bahia | | | -0.9+0.5+1.3 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | America-MG vs Gremio | | | +2.9+1.5-1.7 | | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza | | | -1.3+1.3+0.6 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | Coritiba vs Gremio | | | +2.9+1.4-1.8 | | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | Bahia vs Fluminense | | | +2.3+1.0-2.2 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro | | | -1.3+0.7+1.2 | | | | | | Atletico-MG vs Fluminense | | | -0.5+1.4-0.4 | | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Cuiaba vs Vasco | | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro | | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | | Internacional vs Coritiba | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Athletico-PR finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 75 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 27.5 | % | Yes | 28 | 71 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 288,480 | | 73 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 12.0 | | Yes | 12 | 80 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,204,131 | | 72 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 8.2 | | Yes | 8 | 78 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,557,641 | | 71 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 3.7 | | Yes | 4 | 71 | 23 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,618,995 | | 70 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2.0 | | Yes | 2 | 62 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,742,976 | | 69 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 1.0 | | Yes | 1 | 50 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,329,149 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.6 | | Yes | 1 | 47 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,310,142 | | 68 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | 100.0 | % | 0 | 34 | 47 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,762,601 | | 67 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 22 | 46 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,352,377 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 19 | 46 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,684,664 | | 66 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 10 | 38 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,781,750 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 12 | 39 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,970,222 | | 65 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 99.8 | | 0 | 5 | 27 | 42 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,436,406 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | 99.8 | | 0 | 4 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,449,715 | | 64 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 99.0 | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,478,951 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 98.9 | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,284,824 | | 63 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 96.0 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,709,944 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 96.6 | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,143,160 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | 96.2 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 42 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 521,740 | | 62 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 88.7 | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,180,299 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 88.6 | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,997,715 | | 61 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 75.4 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,152,308 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 74.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,733,756 | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | No | 75.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 120,149 | | 60 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 54.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,589,825 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 58.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 39 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,854,173 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | No | 55.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,078,364 | | 59 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 34.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 41 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 20,521,761 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 34.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 41 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,119,573 | * | 58 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 18.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 10,368,175 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 17.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 8,669,867 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | No | 18.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 164,545 | | 57 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 6.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 41 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 10,967,718 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 8.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 2,179,953 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | 7.3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 42 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 733,823 | * | 56 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 2.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 8,304,976 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 2.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 1,865,969 | * | 55 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0.5 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 43 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 3,537,205 | * | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.4 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 43 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 2,930,603 | | 54 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 2,954,949 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 625,139 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 43 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 165,734 | | 53 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 1,857,211 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 313,601 | | 52 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 663,831 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 393,021 | | 51 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 434,185 | * | 50 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 176,655 | | 49 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 55,185 | | 48 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.1 | | 49,704 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.2 | % | 72.1 | % | 0 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 339,387,840 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |