How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR 1 Internacional 0 +0.1
+4.0
-6.5
+1.0
Chapecoense 1 Atletico-MG 2 -0.2
-0.5
Corinthians 1 CSA 0 -0.2
-0.3
Cruzeiro 0 Botafogo 0 +0.1
-0.1
Fluminense 1 Ceara 1 +0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
CSA vs Athletico-PR-0.1-0.1+0.1
-4.5-2.2+4.6
+4.0+0.9-3.5
-0.8-0.3+0.8
Ceara vs Palmeiras-0.1+0.0+0.0
+0.4*-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Botafogo vs Santos-0.4+0.2+0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Corinthians vs Flamengo-0.2+0.2*-0.0
Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza-0.2+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Avai vs Goias+0.5+0.2-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.1
Internacional vs Gremio-0.2+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.3-0.1+0.5
Corinthians vs Goias-0.1+0.3-0.1
Bahia vs Cruzeiro-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.4
Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Athletico-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
9728-0-0100.0%Yes1000No23,508
85-90YesYes100No105*
8423-2-396.7Yes973No122*
8322-4-292.8Yes937No263*
8222-3-389.5Yes89100No503*
8121-5-287.2Yes87130No1,048*
8021-4-382.9Yes83170No1,927*
7921-3-476.3Yes76231No3,670*
7820-5-371.5Yes722710No6,535*
7720-4-464.6Yes653320No11,604*
7620-3-557.1Yes573940No19,643*
7519-5-449.1Yes494470No32,393*
7419-4-540.8Yes41491000No52,834*
7318-6-433.1Yes33511510No83,914*
7218-5-525.7Yes26522120No130,348*
7118-4-619.0Yes195027400No197,114*
7017-6-513.0Yes134634700No292,986*
6917-5-68.6100.0%9403912100No425,616*
6817-4-75.1100.05324318300No605,916*
6716-6-62.8100.032443255000No842,860*
6616-5-71.399.91164032101000No1,149,392*
6515-7-60.699.71103337163000No1,532,099*
6415-6-70.299.1052538247100No2,005,833*
6315-5-80.197.402163531122000No2,572,206*
6214-7-70.093.50192835206100No3,230,196*
6114-6-80.086.0005193428112000No3,977,542*
6014-5-90.073.90021128331961000No4,798,457*
5913-7-80.057.50015193227123000No5,689,334*
5813-6-9No39.30021126322071000No6,597,089*
5713-5-10No22.900151730281441000No7,507,002*
5612-7-9No11.00002923312392000No8,380,243*
5512-6-10No4.20004142830176100No9,167,828*
5411-8-9No1.30017203126123000No9,833,269*
5311-7-10No0.3000021125312181000No10,338,310*
5211-6-11No0.000014152929165100No10,662,946*
5110-8-10No0.0000172131251120000.0%10,772,831*
5010-7-11No0.0000312263120710000.010,674,013*
4910-6-12No0.0000151730291440000.010,360,763*
489-8-11NoNo00028233224920000.19,855,652*
479-7-12NoNo00031429311751000.79,184,045*
469-6-13NoNo000162032271120002.48,372,441*
458-8-12NoNo00021127322061006.57,474,101*
448-7-13NoNo00151932281220014.76,538,011*
438-6-14NoNo00021027342161027.35,592,528*
427-8-13NoNo0015183329122043.24,675,287*
417-7-14NoNo0002102835205059.93,817,506*
407-6-15NoNo00152035299174.53,051,392*
396-8-14NoNo000212313616285.62,377,894*
386-7-15NoNo0016243925592.71,811,700*
376-6-16NoNo0003163834996.81,343,141*
365-8-15NoNo0011033411498.7971,838*
355-7-16NoNo000526462299.6683,951*
345-6-17NoNo00319473199.9469,160*
334-8-16NoNo01134541100.0312,685*
324-7-17NoNo0084151100.0201,659*
314-6-18NoNo00053561100.0126,600*
303-8-17NoNo022869Yes76,816*
293-7-18NoNo012277Yes45,076*
283-6-19NoNo011683Yes25,539*
273-5-20NoNo01288Yes13,796*
262-7-19NoNo0892Yes7,081*
252-6-20NoNo595Yes3,585*
242-5-21NoNo397Yes1,735*
231-7-20NoNo397Yes778*
221-6-21NoNo199Yes338*
211-5-22NoNo199Yes143*
13-20NoNo100Yes23,580*
Total:0.2%15.3%012345678899887643219.4%189,040,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship