How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras 0 Goiás 1 +2.4
+6.3
-4.7
+1.1
Fluminense 0 Corinthians 0 *+0.1
*+0.2
Vasco da Gama 1 Internacional 1 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
São Paulo 3 Joinville 0 -0.1
-0.1
Sport Recife 1 Coritiba 0 *-0.1
*-0.1
Cruzeiro 1 Ponte Preta 1 *+0.2
*-0.1
Atlético-PR 1 Atlético-MG 0 *-0.1
Avaí 2 Flamengo 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife vs Goiás-2.6-1.0+3.3
-6.0-2.0+7.3
+3.2+0.7-3.6
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Goiás vs Grêmio+3.2-1.0-2.5
+7.2-2.0-5.9
-3.7+0.7+3.2
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Corinthians vs Palmeiras-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Santos vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Grêmio vs Corinthians+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Atlético-PR vs Figueirense-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Joinville vs Atlético-PR+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chapecoense vs Joinville-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
São Paulo vs Santos-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.3*-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Internacional vs São Paulo+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Ponte Preta vs Chapecoense*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.3-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Ponte Preta+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Flamengo vs Fluminense+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Palmeiras vs Internacional+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Atlético-MG vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Coritiba vs Avaí-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Coritiba-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avaí vs Atlético-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Goiás finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
89-112YesYes100No72,932*
8825-4-6100.0%Yes1000No4,351*
8725-5-5100.0Yes1000No7,625*
8625-6-499.9Yes1000No12,953*
8524-5-699.9Yes1000No21,755*
8424-6-599.9Yes1000No34,976*
8323-5-799.9Yes1000No55,797*
8223-6-699.8Yes1000No87,318*
8123-7-599.7Yes1000No134,135*
8022-6-799.6Yes1000No202,344*
7922-7-699.4Yes9910No299,812*
7822-8-599.1Yes9910No436,509*
7721-7-798.6Yes9910No623,901*
7621-8-697.9Yes9820No877,314*
7520-7-896.7Yes9730No1,213,642*
7420-8-795.2Yes95500No1,651,563*
7320-9-692.9Yes93700No2,207,073*
7219-8-889.7100.0%9010000No2,904,129*
7119-9-785.5100.08614100No3,759,829*
7019-10-680.0100.08019100No4,793,722*
6918-9-873.0100.073243000No6,009,070*
6818-10-764.5100.065305000No7,414,173*
6717-9-954.7100.0553681000No9,008,896*
6617-10-843.999.94441132000No10,773,288*
6517-11-733.099.533432040000No12,682,029*
6416-10-922.798.623412781000No14,705,793*
6316-11-814.096.21435331430000No16,774,773*
6216-12-77.591.18273522710000No18,832,303*
6115-11-93.481.3317322914410000No20,843,687*
6015-12-81.265.8192432239200000No22,691,117*
5915-13-70.345.80414282917610000No24,316,199*
5814-12-90.125.801618292614410000No25,656,177*
5714-13-80.011.000292129241131000No26,673,172*
5614-14-70.03.200031123292210300000No27,260,556*
5513-13-90.00.600013122428209200000No27,440,858*
5413-14-8No0.10001413242820820000No27,195,762*
5313-15-7No0.0000141325281982000000.0%26,507,271*
5212-14-9No0.0000141325281982000000.025,432,275*
5112-15-8No0.0000014132528198200000.024,000,941*
5011-14-10NoNo00001514252818720000.222,290,575*
4911-15-9NoNo00001515262818610001.420,349,878*
4811-16-8NoNo0000161627271651006.318,278,773*
4710-15-10NoNo0000271829261440017.916,148,018*
4610-16-9NoNo000029223024102036.614,011,888*
4510-17-8NoNo00013122631206157.911,955,377*
449-16-10NoNo00001517312914276.210,025,283*
439-17-9NoNo000029253523688.48,258,409*
429-18-8NoNo000141734331295.16,678,962*
418-17-10NoNo00021029402098.25,297,601*
408-18-9NoNo001521433099.44,127,059*
398-19-8NoNo000214424299.83,155,504*
387-18-10NoNo000193753100.02,362,213*
377-19-9NoNo00053164100.01,736,511*
367-20-8NoNo0032473100.01,248,577*
356-19-10NoNo0011880100.0880,341*
346-20-9NoNo0011386100.0607,149*
336-21-8NoNo00991Yes409,509*
325-20-10NoNo00694Yes270,325*
315-21-9NoNo00496Yes173,172*
305-22-8NoNo0397Yes108,313*
295-23-7NoNo0298Yes66,502*
284-22-9NoNo0199Yes39,583*
274-23-8NoNo199Yes22,966*
264-24-7NoNo0100Yes12,890*
253-23-9NoNo0100Yes6,945*
243-24-8NoNo0100Yes3,747*
233-25-7NoNo0100Yes1,909*
222-24-9NoNo0100Yes929*
7-21NoNo100Yes68,192*
Total:8.9%30.7%9877666555544444333210.7%542,217,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship