How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Goias vs Figueirense+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Avai vs Goias-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Fortaleza vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO vs Goias-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Vila Nova vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Goias finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
88-114YesYes100No144,236*
8727-6-5100.0%Yes1000No6,936*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No11,905*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No19,772*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No32,155*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No51,479*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No81,386*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No126,311*
8024-8-699.5Yes1000No193,378*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No289,268*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No425,935*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No618,543*
7623-7-897.5Yes9720No883,791*
7523-6-996.2Yes9640No1,241,834*
7422-8-894.3Yes94600No1,718,212*
7322-7-991.7Yes92800No2,347,242*
7222-6-1088.3100.0%8811000No3,149,382*
7121-8-983.7100.08415100No4,164,615*
7021-7-1077.7100.07820200No5,423,371*
6920-9-970.3100.070263000No6,966,206*
6820-8-1061.5100.061326000No8,810,203*
6720-7-1151.599.95138101000No10,975,269*
6619-9-1040.799.84142152000No13,487,550*
6519-8-1130.099.330432251000No16,325,297*
6419-7-1220.298.12040281020000No19,476,810*
6318-9-1112.195.21233341641000No22,898,324*
6218-8-126.389.16243524920000No26,543,035*
6118-7-132.778.1315303016510000No30,332,562*
6017-9-121.061.61722312411300000No34,165,949*
5917-8-130.241.50312263019720000No37,937,040*
5816-10-120.022.4015162827165100000No41,515,972*
5716-9-130.09.00027192825134100000No44,780,805*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000No47,617,344*
5515-10-130.00.400003102228221031000000.0%49,916,266*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.051,558,110*
5315-8-15No0.0000131123282193000000.052,502,071*
5214-10-14No0.0000014122328219200000.052,681,807*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.052,092,376*
5014-8-16NoNo00001413242820820000.350,738,326*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.748,709,667*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.046,073,807*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.242,915,689*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213025112038.039,387,290*
4512-9-17NoNo000003122531217159.035,596,470*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.831,673,296*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253524688.727,737,878*
4211-9-18NoNo0000141734331295.223,919,548*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.220,282,572*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.416,941,595*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.813,908,939*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.011,231,196*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.08,911,971*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.06,950,879*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.05,328,817*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.04,012,017*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.02,968,082*
328-8-22NoNo000693100.02,151,631*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes1,532,276*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes1,069,212*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes728,227*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes489,192*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes321,936*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes206,153*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes129,191*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes78,761*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes47,145*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes27,731*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes15,756*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes8,600*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes4,547*
0-18NoNo100Yes139,736*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%1,085,750,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship