"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
ABC vs Goias-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Internacional vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Luverdense vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma vs Goias-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Goias vs Londrina+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Vila Nova vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Luverdense vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs ABC-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
ABC vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Goias finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
87-114YesYes100No33,392*
8627-6-599.9%Yes1000No2,664*
8526-5-7100.0Yes1000No4,320*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No7,118*
8326-7-599.9Yes1000No11,454*
8225-6-799.8Yes1000No18,117*
8125-7-699.7Yes1000No27,805*
8024-6-899.5Yes10000No42,714*
7924-7-799.2Yes9910No63,889*
7824-8-698.9Yes9910No94,267*
7723-7-898.3Yes9820No137,100*
7623-8-797.4Yes9730No195,783*
7523-9-696.2Yes96400No275,273*
7422-8-894.4Yes94600No381,103*
7322-9-791.8Yes92800No518,363*
7222-10-688.2100.0%8811000No697,337*
7121-9-883.8Yes841510No921,744*
7021-10-777.7100.07821200No1,202,992*
6920-9-970.4100.070263000No1,543,040*
6820-10-861.5100.061326000No1,950,398*
6720-11-751.499.95138101000No2,429,980*
6619-10-940.799.841421520000No2,988,801*
6519-11-830.099.330432251000No3,615,577*
6419-12-720.298.12040291020000No4,313,288*
6318-11-912.195.21233341641000No5,072,097*
6218-12-86.389.16243524920000No5,881,600*
6118-13-72.778.131530301651000No6,720,378*
6017-12-90.961.6172231241130000No7,568,938*
5917-13-80.241.40312263019820000No8,395,011*
5816-12-100.022.401516282716510000No9,194,691*
5716-13-90.09.0002719282513410000No9,918,350*
5616-14-80.02.50002921282312310000No10,546,525*
5515-13-100.00.4000031022282210310000No11,055,367*
5415-14-9No0.000013112328211030000No11,418,827*
5315-15-8No0.0000131123282193000000.0%11,623,899*
5214-14-10No0.000014122328219200000.011,671,299*
5114-15-9NoNo00014122428209200000.011,533,295*
5014-16-8NoNo00001413242820820000.311,244,184*
4913-15-10NoNo0001414252819720001.710,791,414*
4813-16-9NoNo0000151527281761007.010,208,942*
4713-17-8NoNo0000161828271441019.29,509,669*
4612-16-10NoNo000029213025112038.08,724,957*
4512-17-9NoNo000003122531217159.07,881,081*
4412-18-8NoNo00001517313014276.77,016,682*
4311-17-10NoNo000029253524688.76,145,083*
4211-18-9NoNo000141734331295.25,297,261*
4111-19-8NoNo00021029402098.24,493,478*
4010-18-10NoNo001521433099.43,747,170*
3910-19-9NoNo000214424299.83,079,831*
3810-20-8NoNo00193753100.02,486,786*
379-19-10NoNo00053163100.01,974,082*
369-20-9NoNo0032573100.01,542,200*
359-21-8NoNo0011980100.01,180,099*
348-20-10NoNo0011486100.0889,724*
338-21-9NoNo001090Yes658,420*
328-22-8NoNo00693Yes475,707*
317-21-10NoNo0496Yes339,137*
307-22-9NoNo0397Yes236,193*
297-23-8NoNo0298Yes161,455*
286-22-10NoNo0199Yes108,850*
276-23-9NoNo0199Yes71,209*
266-24-8NoNo0100Yes45,950*
255-23-10NoNo0100Yes28,669*
245-24-9NoNo0100Yes17,425*
235-25-8NoNo0100Yes10,407*
224-24-10NoNo0100Yes6,159*
214-25-9NoNo0100Yes3,418*
204-26-8NoNo0100Yes1,885*
0-19NoNo100Yes31,917*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%240,486,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship