How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Ceará 1 CRB 1 +0.2
Tupi 2 Vasco da Gama 2 -0.2
+0.0
Criciúma 0 Joinville 1 +0.1
+0.8
Bahia 3 Paraná 0 -0.1
-0.2
Luverdense 4 Bragantino 0 -0.1
-0.1
Vila Nova 0 Náutico 2 -0.1
-0.2
Oeste 1 Paysandu 0 +0.3
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Goiás vs Criciúma+0.3-0.1-0.2
+2.9-1.0-2.2
-8.1+1.5+7.0
+1.3-0.3-1.0
Vasco da Gama vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.6-0.1+0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atlético-GO vs Ceará-0.0+0.2-0.1
CRB vs Oeste-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3*-0.1+0.3
Bragantino vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.2+0.1-0.3
+1.0-0.3-0.8
Joinville vs Bahia+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.9-0.3-0.7
Náutico vs Londrina-0.1+0.2-0.1
Paysandu vs Tupi-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.3+0.5
Avaí vs Luverdense*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Paraná vs Sampaio Corrêa+0.4-0.3-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Goiás vs Ceará+0.3-0.1-0.2
+3.1-1.0-2.3
-7.9+1.5+6.7
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Goiás-0.2-0.1+0.3
-2.3-1.0+3.0
+6.8+1.5-7.9
-1.0-0.3+1.3
Vasco da Gama vs Oeste-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.3*-0.1+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Bahia vs Vasco da Gama+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1*-0.0
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Vila Nova vs Atlético-GO+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.7-0.1-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Luverdense-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Ceará vs Avaí-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.6-0.1+0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
CRB vs Vila Nova-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5-0.1+0.6
Criciúma vs CRB+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.3*-0.0-0.2
Londrina vs Joinville-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.7-0.3+0.9
Paysandu vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4*-0.1-0.4
Sampaio Corrêa vs Náutico+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.2-0.2
Paraná vs Londrina+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.5-0.2-0.4
Náutico vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.1
Oeste vs Paraná-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2-0.2+0.4
Avaí vs Criciúma+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.2-0.3
Luverdense vs Paysandu+0.1-0.2*+0.1
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa+0.8-0.5-0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Tupi vs Bragantino+0.1-0.5+0.3
Joinville vs Tupi+0.3-0.5+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Goiás finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
7717-0-099.7%Yes1000No798
7516-0-150.0Yes5050No2
73-74YesYes100No20*
7215-1-189.5Yes8911No38
7114-0-388.2Yes8812No93*
7014-1-289.6Yes9010No240
6914-2-179.7Yes80200No493*
6813-1-369.7Yes70282No987*
6713-2-262.0Yes623440No2,053*
6612-1-449.7Yes504271No3,620*
6512-2-339.6100.0%40451410No6,460*
6412-3-226.799.6274623400No11,010*
6311-2-416.898.8174231910No18,078*
6211-3-39.096.19343717400No28,790*
6111-4-23.889.742237269100No43,810*
6010-3-41.376.41123033185100No63,887*
5910-4-30.356.90519332812300No90,674*
589-3-50.034.30192432239200No123,760*
579-4-40.015.3003122731197100No164,191*
569-5-30.04.80014152829176100No209,448*
558-4-5No0.90015162928155100No260,437*
548-5-4No0.100161829271551000No312,979*
538-6-3No0.00016182926144100No361,458*
527-5-5NoNo0017182926144100No405,833*
517-6-4NoNo00171929261341000.0%441,319*
506-5-6NoNo0017192926134000.0227,617
7-7-3NoNo0028203025123000.0238,499*
496-6-5NoNo00028203025113000.3471,583*
486-7-4NoNo000292231241020002.0465,713*
475-6-6NoNo0021025322271008.3227,514
6-8-3NoNo0031126322071007.6217,712*
465-7-5NoNo0031429321740021.1407,844*
455-8-4NoNo0015193429112041.2363,188*
444-7-6NoNo00192636225062.8311,602*
434-8-5NoNo00316353311180.2256,917*
424-9-4NoNo0018284021391.2204,628*
413-8-6NoNo003184033696.7155,554*
403-9-5NoNo0011035421298.9113,138*
393-10-4NoNo00527482099.779,404*
382-9-6NoNo0218503099.953,236*
372-10-5NoNo01114741100.033,711*
362-11-4NoNo0064252100.020,116*
352-12-3NoNo033462Yes11,467*
341-11-5NoNo12871Yes5,996*
331-12-4NoNo11980Yes2,985*
321-13-3NoNo11386Yes1,352*
310-12-5NoNo0991Yes549*
300-13-4NoNo595Yes228*
27-29NoNo100Yes91*
260-17-0NoNo0100Yes798
Total:0.3%4.5%0112334566778899875220.9%6,421,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship