How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ceara 0 Goias 1 +0.6
+3.5
-8.1
+1.2
America-MG 4 Figueirense 2 -0.1
-0.2
-0.6
Londrina 0 Nautico 0 +0.1
-0.2
Vila Nova 2 Internacional 1 -0.1
+0.1
Criciuma 2 ABC 1 -0.2
-0.2
Santa Cruz 1 Boa Esporte 1 +0.1
*-0.1
Luverdense 1 Parana 1 +0.1
-0.3
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Goias vs CRB+0.9-0.3-0.7
+4.8-1.5-3.8
-6.5+1.3+5.7
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Oeste vs Juventude+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Guarani vs Londrina-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2*+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
CRB vs Guarani+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.2-0.1
Juventude vs America-MG*+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Figueirense vs Vila Nova+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.6-0.2-0.5
Nautico vs Criciuma+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.3*-0.0
Internacional vs Oeste-0.2+0.2*+0.0
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Parana vs Santa Cruz*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Luverdense-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2-0.3+0.3
ABC vs Brasil de Pelotas*+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.4*+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Paysandu*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Paysandu vs Ceara+0.1-0.2*+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Internacional vs Goias-0.7-0.4+0.9
-3.8-1.5+4.7
+5.8+1.2-6.5
-1.0-0.3+1.2
Figueirense vs Juventude+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3*+0.1-0.3
+0.7-0.3-0.5
America-MG vs Londrina-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1*+0.1
-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Luverdense vs Guarani+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.6*-0.1-0.5
Vila Nova vs Nautico-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Parana vs CRB*+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Oeste vs ABC-0.2*+0.1+0.2
-0.2-0.2+0.3
Ceara vs Criciuma*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Boa Esporte*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Paysandu-0.1+0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Goias finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
76-86YesYes100No470*
7517-1-498.4%Yes982No63*
7417-2-398.7Yes991No151*
7317-3-296.1Yes964No283*
7216-2-495.8Yes964No521*
7116-3-391.1Yes9190No900*
7016-4-286.8Yes87130No1,527*
6915-3-483.6Yes84151No2,404*
6815-4-376.8Yes77212No3,818*
6714-3-567.7Yes682930No6,057*
6614-4-456.5Yes563671No9,308*
6514-5-345.599.9%45411220No13,484*
6413-4-533.099.6334419400No19,430*
6313-5-421.998.9224227810No26,792*
6213-6-312.896.5133633153000No36,540*
6112-5-56.390.8625362481000No48,649*
6012-6-42.579.52153131164100No62,467*
5911-5-60.861.017213225113000No78,599*
5811-6-50.138.502112531218200No96,425*
5711-7-40.018.4004142829176100No114,984*
5610-6-60.06.20015162827165100No134,753*
5510-7-5No1.30016182827145100No153,020*
5410-8-4No0.200017182926144100No170,043*
539-7-6No0.00017182826144100No184,832*
529-8-5NoNo0027182826144100No195,726*
519-9-4NoNo002719282613410No201,950*
508-8-6NoNo00271929261341000.0%203,506*
498-9-5NoNo00028202925123000.4199,299*
488-10-4NoNo00029223024102002.4191,602*
477-9-6NoNo00031124312181009.1179,680*
467-10-5NoNo00141428311750022.7163,207*
457-11-4NoNo0016183229122042.8144,459*
446-10-6NoNo000292535226063.5124,736*
436-11-5NoNo000416333313180.2105,150*
426-12-4NoNo0018263822490.785,702*
415-11-6NoNo004183932796.168,292*
405-12-5NoNo011034411398.753,025*
395-13-4NoNo00526472199.639,504*
384-12-6NoNo0219483199.928,498*
374-13-5NoNo01124641100.019,916*
364-14-4NoNo074251Yes13,639*
353-13-6NoNo043561Yes8,937*
343-14-5NoNo022969Yes5,629*
333-15-4NoNo012276Yes3,407*
322-14-6NoNo011882Yes2,007*
312-15-5NoNo01387Yes1,080*
302-16-4NoNo01189Yes521*
291-15-6NoNo0793Yes308*
281-16-5NoNo397Yes115*
271-17-4NoNo298Yes65*
261-18-3NoNo496Yes27*
20-25NoNo100Yes413*
Total:1.4%10.3%1234455566677777764218.8%3,205,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship