How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama vs Goiás-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Fluminense vs Joinville*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Chapecoense vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Sport Recife vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Atlético-PR vs Internacional*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Palmeiras vs Atlético-MG-0.0+0.1*-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Grêmio vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Avaí vs Santos*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Corinthians-0.1+0.2-0.1
São Paulo vs Flamengo-0.1+0.2*-0.0
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goiás vs Atlético-PR+2.1-0.6-1.6
+5.8-1.6-4.6
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Ponte Preta vs São Paulo*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.2+0.1
Flamengo vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Internacional vs Avaí-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Corinthians vs Chapecoense*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Joinville vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Coritiba vs Grêmio-0.1+0.2-0.1
Atlético-MG vs Fluminense*-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.2+0.1
Santos vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Figueirense vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Goiás finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
83-114YesYes100No2,207*
8225-7-699.6%Yes1000No470*
8125-6-7YesYes100No845*
8024-8-699.6Yes1000No1,274*
7924-7-799.6Yes1000No1,990*
7823-9-699.5Yes991No2,914*
7723-8-799.2Yes9910No4,298*
7623-7-898.3Yes982No6,237*
7522-9-797.5Yes973No9,201*
7422-8-896.3Yes9640No13,026*
7322-7-994.7Yes9550No17,914*
7221-9-891.9Yes9280No24,672*
7121-8-988.7Yes891100No33,419*
7020-10-884.0Yes841510No44,756*
6920-9-978.0Yes782020No58,537*
6820-8-1070.7100.0%7126300No74,960*
6719-10-961.5100.062326000No95,373*
6619-9-1051.299.9513810100No119,726*
6519-8-1140.499.8404215300No146,932*
6418-10-1029.599.33042225100No178,400*
6318-9-1119.697.920392910200No214,018*
6217-11-1011.594.81133341741000No250,983*
6117-10-115.988.26233425102000No292,688*
6017-9-122.576.321429301751000No335,088*
5916-11-110.858.817203125123100No377,046*
5816-10-120.238.10211243021920000No418,530*
5716-9-130.019.60141526281872000No458,976*
5615-11-120.07.300161727261551000No494,095*
5515-10-130.01.8000271828251451000No524,475*
5415-9-14No0.3000281928241341000No549,668*
5314-11-13No0.0000292028241341000No565,505*
5214-10-14No0.00002920282412410000.0%573,852*
5114-9-15No0.000002920282412410000.0572,074*
5013-11-14NoNo00002920282412410000.1562,812*
4913-10-15NoNo000292128231231000.6545,743*
4812-12-14NoNo0003102229231130003.2520,892*
4712-11-15NoNo0001311232921920011.3489,897*
4612-10-16NoNo000141326291971026.8451,645*
4511-12-15NoNo00016172928154047.7411,373*
4411-11-16NoNo0002821322510168.3369,155*
4311-10-17NoNo000313283319483.6323,957*
4210-12-16NoNo0016203529992.6280,531*
4110-11-17NoNo00031231371697.2238,495*
4010-10-18NoNo001724422699.0199,798*
399-12-17NoNo00317423799.7164,528*
389-11-18NoNo0111394999.9133,103*
379-10-19NoNo00063360100.0105,411*
368-12-18NoNo0032770100.081,541*
358-11-19NoNo0022078100.063,549*
348-10-20NoNo011585Yes47,137*
337-12-19NoNo001089Yes34,528*
327-11-20NoNo0793Yes24,984*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes17,833*
306-12-20NoNo0397Yes12,152*
296-11-21NoNo0298Yes8,350*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes5,412*
275-12-21NoNo199Yes3,505*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes2,254*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes1,379*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes843*
0-23NoNo100Yes2,564*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%11,567,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship