How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo 0 Goias 0 -0.0
-0.6
+2.5
-0.3
Corinthians 1 Flamengo 5 -0.6
+0.0
Bahia 3 Atletico-MG 1 +0.8
-0.1
Internacional 2 Vasco da Gama 0 -0.4
Coritiba 1 Santos 2 -0.1
-0.4
Sao Paulo 0 Gremio 0 +0.1
*-0.1
Fluminense 2 Ceara 2 *+0.1
-0.2
Bragantino 2 Sport Recife 0 +0.1
+0.5
Atletico-GO 1 Athletico-PR 1 -0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Goias vs Sao Paulo+1.4-0.5-1.1
-9.3+2.7+7.6
+0.9-0.3-0.7
Gremio vs Goias-1.1-0.5+1.4
+8.0+2.7-9.7
-0.7-0.3+0.9
Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PR-0.7-0.2+0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Ceara vs Sao Paulo+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.4
Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.2-0.3
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino vs Goias-1.0-0.5+1.4
+8.4+2.5-10.0
-0.8-0.2+0.9
Atletico-MG vs Sport Recife-0.5-0.1+0.6
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Bahia vs Fortaleza+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.4
Fluminense vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Atletico-GO vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Ceara vs Coritiba-0.1-0.4+0.4
Athletico-PR vs Gremio+0.4-0.3-0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.1-0.3+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Goias finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8023-0-099.8%Yes1000No1,116,255
77-78YesYes100No56*
7621-2-098.9Yes991No188
7521-1-197.8Yes982No598
7420-3-095.5Yes964No1,323*
7320-2-192.2Yes9280No3,832
7220-1-288.0Yes88120No8,870*
7119-3-183.5Yes831610No20,108*
7019-2-276.8Yes772220No45,780*
6918-4-168.4Yes6828300No92,242*
6818-3-259.4Yes5935600No189,232*
6718-2-348.9Yes494010100No366,394*
6617-4-237.9Yes384416200No674,932*
6517-3-327.5100.0%2745235000No1,236,100*
6417-2-418.0100.018423091000No2,150,500*
6316-4-310.6100.0113536163000No3,623,258*
6216-3-45.4100.052538247100No5,990,864*
6115-5-32.399.72163432133000No9,529,807*
6015-4-40.898.91826352271000No14,766,758*
5915-3-50.296.2031632311430000No22,373,080*
5814-5-40.089.001723332492000No32,810,824*
5714-4-50.074.60031228321961000No46,982,943*
5614-3-60.052.700151730281441000No65,673,167*
5513-5-50.029.1000172131251130000No89,293,526*
5413-4-6No11.600029233123920000No118,632,323*
5312-6-5No3.10000311253021820000No153,821,867*
5212-5-6No0.500003132629197200000.0%194,428,824*
5112-4-7No0.000014142629187100000.0240,233,582*
5011-6-6No0.0000014142628186100000.0289,815,246*
4911-5-7No0.0000015152728176100000.1341,209,510*
4811-4-8No0.000001516272716510001.1392,847,236*
4710-6-7NoNo0000161728271551005.4441,525,094*
4610-5-8NoNo0000271929261330016.8484,680,881*
4510-4-9NoNo0000029223124102036.4519,988,509*
449-6-8NoNo00003122631216159.4544,710,658*
439-5-9NoNo00001516313115378.6557,224,356*
428-7-8NoNo000018233526790.7556,820,748*
418-6-9NoNo000031433361496.7543,047,318*
408-5-10NoNo0001725422599.0516,854,232*
397-7-9NoNo0000317433799.7480,200,254*
387-6-10NoNo000110385199.9435,064,144*
377-5-11NoNo000053163100.0384,293,159*
366-7-10NoNo00022474100.0330,864,966*
356-6-11NoNo0011782100.0277,415,550*
346-5-12NoNo0001188100.0226,393,092*
335-7-11NoNo000793100.0179,787,939*
325-6-12NoNo00496Yes138,717,276*
315-5-13NoNo000298100.0103,939,791*
304-7-12NoNo00199Yes75,564,170*
294-6-13NoNo0199Yes53,203,307*
284-5-14NoNo00100Yes36,253,267*
273-7-13NoNo00100Yes23,884,805*
263-6-14NoNo00100Yes15,167,072*
253-5-15NoNo0100Yes9,268,286*
243-4-16NoNo0100Yes5,438,155*
232-6-15NoNo0100Yes3,058,571*
222-5-16NoNo0100Yes1,639,601*
212-4-17NoNo0100Yes835,459*
201-6-16NoNo0100Yes401,624*
191-5-17NoNo0100Yes181,596*
181-4-18NoNo0100Yes76,014*
11-17NoNo100Yes1,161,041*
Total:0.0%2.3%0000111223344567911152560.0%8,975,600,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship