How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goiás 1 Fluminense 2 -0.7
-3.4
+5.6
-0.9
Figueirense 3 Goiás 1 -0.4
-2.4
+6.7
-0.9
Palmeiras 4 São Paulo 0 +0.1
+0.2
+0.3
Sport Recife 3 Internacional 0 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Chapecoense 1 Sport Recife 1 +0.1
+0.2
*-0.1
Atlético-MG 1 Joinville 0 -0.1
-0.2
-0.3
Grêmio 1 Cruzeiro 0 -0.1
-0.2
-0.3
Atlético-MG 2 Coritiba 0 -0.2
-0.4
Avaí 1 Grêmio 2 -0.1
Ponte Preta 2 Atlético-PR 1 +0.1
Vasco da Gama 1 Avaí 0 +0.1
+0.3
Atlético-PR 2 São Paulo 1 +0.1
Palmeiras 2 Chapecoense 0 +0.1
Corinthians 2 Figueirense 1 -0.1
*-0.1
Coritiba 1 Cruzeiro 0 *+0.1
+0.3
Joinville 0 Flamengo 1 +0.1
Vasco da Gama 1 Flamengo 0 *+0.1
Internacional 1 Santos 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Fluminense vs Santos-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2*-0.1+0.3
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 7/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goiás vs Corinthians+0.4-0.1-0.3
+2.3-0.8-1.8
-8.2+2.1+6.8
+1.0-0.3-0.9
Goiás vs Santos+0.3-0.1-0.3
+2.3-0.8-1.8
-8.6+1.9+7.4
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Avaí vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5*-0.2-0.4
Chapecoense vs Grêmio*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.4*-0.1-0.3
Internacional vs Atlético-MG+0.4-0.2-0.3
Cruzeiro vs Atlético-PR+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.5*-0.1-0.4
Santos vs Grêmio+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.4
Fluminense vs Cruzeiro-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3*-0.2+0.4
Coritiba vs Ponte Preta+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.4
Palmeiras vs Avaí-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2-0.2+0.3
Figueirense vs Joinville-0.1*+0.0+0.1
*+0.0-0.3+0.2
Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo+0.5*-0.2-0.4
Coritiba vs Joinville+0.2-0.5*+0.1
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama*-0.1-0.3+0.3
Flamengo vs Figueirense+0.2-0.3*-0.0
Internacional vs Flamengo*-0.1-0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Goiás finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
76-93YesYes100No367*
7521-4-397.1%Yes973No69*
7420-3-586.7Yes8713No105*
7320-4-490.3Yes9091No185*
7220-5-390.2Yes90100No326*
7119-4-579.4Yes79191No514*
7019-5-472.9Yes732520No839*
6918-4-666.3Yes663030No1,373*
6818-5-557.099.9%5735800No2,093*
6718-6-446.799.947411120No3,166*
6617-5-637.399.737431730No4,660*
6517-6-526.299.1264225610No6,696*
6417-7-416.197.316383112200No9,359*
6316-6-69.593.61030351961000No12,753*
6216-7-54.586.5521352611200No16,713*
6115-6-71.773.92122832196100No22,438*
6015-7-60.555.61519312713410No29,097*
5915-8-50.135.1021024302310200No36,959*
5814-7-70.017.60041326291871000No45,622*
5714-8-60.06.30015162827165100No55,646*
5614-9-5No1.60017192926134100No66,219*
5513-8-7No0.20028202924124100No78,129*
5413-9-6No0.000029222923113000No89,761*
5313-10-5NoNo00310222922103000No99,944*
5212-9-7NoNo003112329219200No110,696*
5112-10-6NoNo0131224292182000.0%119,926*
5011-9-8NoNo00141325291972000.2127,236*
4911-10-7NoNo00151527281861001.3131,698*
4811-11-6NoNo00016172827155105.4135,010*
4710-10-8NoNo00272030261230015.5135,387*
4610-11-7NoNo00021023312392032.7133,160*
4510-12-6NoNo0014142831184053.1127,590*
449-11-8NoNo001720332711172.3121,289*
439-12-7NoNo000311283419485.6111,738*
429-13-6NoNo0016203629893.5100,694*
418-12-8NoNo0021233381597.589,411*
408-13-7NoNo001626432499.278,168*
398-14-6NoNo00318443599.865,919*
387-13-8NoNo001124145100.054,618*
377-14-7NoNo0173656100.044,497*
367-15-6NoNo0042967100.035,192*
356-14-8NoNo022475Yes27,324*
346-15-7NoNo011782Yes20,574*
336-16-6NoNo01287Yes15,259*
325-15-8NoNo0991Yes10,987*
315-16-7NoNo0694Yes7,733*
305-17-6NoNo496Yes5,337*
294-16-8NoNo397Yes3,565*
284-17-7NoNo298Yes2,298*
274-18-6NoNo298Yes1,432*
264-19-5NoNo199Yes801*
253-18-7NoNo0100Yes460*
243-19-6NoNo0100Yes278*
232-18-8NoNo199Yes152*
9-22NoNo100Yes458*
Total:0.5%4.8%11122334455667788910936.7%2,401,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship