How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
São Paulo 0 Chapecoense 1 +0.2
+0.3
+0.2
Figueirense 0 Grêmio 1 -0.1
-0.4
-0.2
Atlético-MG 1 Bahia 1 +0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Goiás vs Sport Recife+2.5-0.8-2.0
+7.5-2.0-6.0
-3.5+0.6+3.1
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.1+0.3-0.3
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Vitória vs Corinthians+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Fluminense vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Atlético-PR vs Criciúma-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2+0.3-0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goiás vs São Paulo+2.6-0.8-2.0
+7.5-2.0-6.0
-3.5+0.6+3.0
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Cruzeiro vs Figueirense-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.6+0.2+0.4
-0.3-0.1+0.3
Grêmio vs Coritiba-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.2+0.4
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Corinthians vs Palmeiras-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Santos vs Chapecoense-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Bahia vs Internacional+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Sport Recife vs Atlético-MG-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.3-0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Criciúma vs Vitória-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Atlético-PR vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Flamengo vs Botafogo+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Goiás finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
85-100YesYes100No29,959*
8421-5-299.9%Yes1000No1,008*
8321-4-3100.0Yes1000No2,019*
8221-3-499.9Yes1000No3,731*
8120-5-399.8Yes1000No6,853*
8020-4-499.8Yes1000No12,062*
7919-6-399.7Yes1000No20,710*
7819-5-499.5Yes991No35,015*
7719-4-599.1Yes991No58,156*
7618-6-498.6Yes9910No92,979*
7518-5-597.8Yes9820No145,335*
7417-7-496.5Yes9730No222,850*
7317-6-594.7Yes95500No335,246*
7217-5-692.1Yes92800No488,762*
7116-7-588.4100.0%8811000No700,624*
7016-6-683.5100.08316100No982,734*
6916-5-776.9100.07721200No1,350,258*
6815-7-668.8100.069283000No1,813,276*
6715-6-759.0100.059346100No2,389,916*
6614-8-648.199.94840111000No3,085,892*
6514-7-736.699.73743173000No3,893,896*
6414-6-825.699.126422571000No4,822,885*
6313-8-716.197.3163831122000No5,848,030*
6213-7-88.893.0929352061000No6,957,162*
6113-6-94.184.541933281230000No8,108,844*
6012-8-81.570.011026322182000No9,268,295*
5912-7-90.450.4041629281551000No10,371,193*
5812-6-100.129.70182130251231000No11,378,925*
5711-8-90.013.400311232922920000No12,238,872*
5611-7-100.04.2001413252919820000No12,899,739*
5510-9-90.00.90001514262818710000No13,313,950*
5410-8-10No0.10001516272717610000No13,476,619*
5310-7-11No0.00000161727271651000No13,353,765*
529-9-10No0.00001617282615510000.0%12,962,424*
519-8-11NoNo0001718282614410000.012,324,652*
509-7-12NoNo00002719292513410000.011,472,034*
498-9-11NoNo000282129241230000.410,440,414*
488-8-12NoNo00002102330231020002.59,311,818*
478-7-13NoNo000031225302071009.08,111,625*
467-9-12NoNo000151528291751022.36,910,467*
457-8-13NoNo00017193127123041.55,754,921*
447-7-14NoNo00002102532227161.84,683,282*
436-9-13NoNo0001516313114278.43,715,029*
426-8-14NoNo00029253624689.52,878,493*
416-7-15NoNo00041735331195.52,173,628*
405-9-14NoNo00021030401998.31,596,949*
395-8-15NoNo001522432999.41,145,703*
385-7-16NoNo00215424099.8797,753*
374-9-15NoNo001103851100.0539,918*
364-8-16NoNo00063262100.0355,462*
354-7-17NoNo0032671100.0225,582*
343-9-16NoNo012079Yes138,832*
333-8-17NoNo011485Yes82,834*
323-7-18NoNo001090Yes47,688*
313-6-19NoNo0793Yes26,196*
302-8-18NoNo0496Yes13,979*
292-7-19NoNo0397Yes7,144*
282-6-20NoNo298Yes3,369*
271-8-19NoNo199Yes1,546*
261-7-20NoNo199Yes646*
16-25NoNo100Yes29,452*
Total:5.5%24.4%566666666665554433218.7%233,461,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)