Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 0.2%

71 points 32 32-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ottawa 2 San Jose 1			-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit vs Arizona	+0.2+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1		+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.0-0.0-0.3
Tampa Bay vs Florida			-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

93	11	0		-	0	88.3	%	No				0	1	22	28	37	11	0							1,928
92	10	0		-	1	68.8		No					0	7	16	46	27	4	0						1,897
91	10	1		-	0	40.2		No						6	5	30	42	16	2	0					13,880
	9	0		-	2	36.7		No						4	4	29	43	17	3	0					1,428
90	9	1		-	1	15.7		No						1	1	13	38	33	11	1	0				22,149	*
89	9	2		-	0	4.3		No						1	0	4	23	39	26	7	1	0			80,293
	8	1		-	2	3.6		No						0	0	3	21	38	28	8	1	0			14,848	*
88	8	2		-	1	0.6		No						0	0	1	7	27	37	22	5	0			110,313
	7	1		-	3	0.5		No						0		0	7	25	37	24	6	1			5,933	*
87	8	3		-	0	0.0		No						0		0	2	12	31	36	17	2	0		277,730
	7	2		-	2	0.0		No						0		0	1	11	31	37	18	3			67,290
	6	1		-	4	Out		No									1	9	29	38	19	3			1,570	*
86	7	3		-	1	0.0		No								0	0	3	16	37	35	10	0		337,451
	6	2		-	3	Out		No									0	2	15	37	36	10	0		23,829	*
85	7	4		-	0	Out		No									0	0	5	25	45	25	0	0	634,079
	6	3		-	2	Out		No									0	0	5	24	45	26	0	0	179,043
	5	2		-	4	Out		No									0	0	4	22	46	27	0		5,410	*
84	6	4		-	1	Out		No										0	1	10	40	46	3	0	673,325
	5	3		-	3	Out		No										0	1	9	40	47	3	0	53,397
	4	2		-	5	Out		No											0	11	40	46	3		812	*
83	6	5		-	0	Out		No										0	0	3	27	63	7	0	1,014,470
	5	4		-	2	Out		No											0	3	26	63	8	0	302,473
	4	3		-	4	Out		No											0	3	25	63	9	0	10,143	*
82	5	5		-	1	Out		No											0	0	12	65	22	1	914,782
	4	4		-	3	Out		No											0	0	11	64	24	2	75,579
	3	3		-	5	Out		No												0	11	61	27	1	1,180	*
81	5	6		-	0	Out		No											0	0	4	59	33	3	1,150,039
	4	5		-	2	Out		No												0	4	57	35	4	342,836
	3	4		-	4	Out		No												0	4	54	37	5	11,169	*
80	4	6		-	1	Out		No												0	1	37	50	12	859,772
	3	5		-	3	Out		No													1	34	51	14	67,702
	2	4		-	5	Out		No													1	33	50	17	967	*
79	4	7		-	0	Out		No												0	0	26	53	21	925,356
	3	6		-	2	Out		No													0	23	53	23	255,002
	2	5		-	4	Out		No													0	20	54	26	7,447	*
78	3	7		-	1	Out		No													0	9	48	43	549,235
	2	6		-	3	Out		No													0	8	45	47	37,864	*
77	3	8		-	0	Out		No													0	5	40	55	519,605
	2	7		-	2	Out		No														4	37	59	121,387
	1	6		-	4	Out		No														4	33	63	2,794	*
76	2	8		-	1	Out		No														1	21	78	229,415
	1	7		-	3	Out		No														1	19	80	11,909	*
75	2	9		-	0	Out		No														0	14	85	193,444
	1	8		-	2	Out		No														0	12	88	34,196	*
74	1	9		-	1	Out		No														0	4	96	56,526
	0	8		-	3	Out		No															4	96	1,597
73	1	10		-	0	Out		No														0	2	98	42,004
	0	9		-	2	Out		No															2	98	4,103
72	0	10		-	1	Out		No															0	100	6,153
71	0	11		-	0	Out		No															0	100	5,186

Total:						0.2	%	No				0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	14	36	25	15	10,260,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Toronto 2 Minnesota 3 (so)	+0.0
Calgary 4 Colorado 3 (so)	+0.0
Ottawa 2 San Jose 1	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit vs Arizona	-0.7-0.6-0.6+0.0+0.0+0.6
Tampa Bay vs Florida	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1
NY Islanders vs Minnesota	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

93	11	0		-	0								0		1	12	10	27	1	37		11	0
92	10	0		-	1										0	4	4	14	2	45	0	27	4	0
91	10	1		-	0											1	4	3	1	29	1	42	16	2	0
	9	0		-	2											1	3	3	1	28	1	43	17	3	0
90	9	1		-	1											0	1	0	1	12	1	38	34	11	2	0
89	9	2		-	0											0	1	0	0	3	1	22	38	26	8	1	0
	8	1		-	2											0	0	0	0	2	1	20	37	29	9	1	0
88	8	2		-	1												0		0	0	0	6	24	36	25	7	1	0
	7	1		-	3												0			0	0	5	22	36	27	8	1	0	0
87	8	3		-	0												0			0	0	1	9	26	35	22	7	1	0
	7	2		-	2												0			0	0	1	7	24	35	24	8	1	0
	6	1		-	4																	1	6	22	33	27	9	2	0
86	7	3		-	1																0	0	1	7	23	34	25	9	1	0
	6	2		-	3																	0	1	7	21	34	26	9	1	0
85	7	4		-	0																	0	0	1	8	25	35	24	6	0	0
	6	3		-	2																	0	0	1	7	23	35	26	7	0	0
	5	2		-	4																		0	1	6	22	35	27	9	0
84	6	4		-	1																		0	0	1	7	25	40	25	2	0	0
	5	3		-	3																		0	0	1	6	24	40	26	2	0
	4	2		-	5																				1	7	22	41	26	3
83	6	5		-	0																			0	0	1	11	36	44	7	0	0
	5	4		-	2																			0	0	1	10	35	46	8	0	0
	4	3		-	4																				0	1	10	33	47	9	1
82	5	5		-	1																				0	0	2	17	54	24	3	0	0
	4	4		-	3																				0	0	2	16	53	25	4	0	0
	3	3		-	5																						2	14	51	27	5	0
81	5	6		-	0																					0	0	7	47	36	9	1	0
	4	5		-	2																					0	0	6	46	37	10	1	0	0
	3	4		-	4																					0	0	5	44	39	11	1	0
80	4	6		-	1																						0	1	24	43	26	6	0	0
	3	5		-	3																						0	1	22	43	27	7	1	0
	2	4		-	5																							1	22	40	29	7	1
79	4	7		-	0																						0	0	13	37	35	13	2	0	0
	3	6		-	2																						0	0	12	36	36	14	2	0
	2	5		-	4																							0	10	35	37	15	2	0
78	3	7		-	1																							0	3	18	38	31	9	1	0
	2	6		-	3																							0	2	16	37	33	10	1	0
77	3	8		-	0																								1	9	30	39	18	3	0
	2	7		-	2																								1	8	29	39	19	3	0
	1	6		-	4																								1	7	28	40	21	3	0
76	2	8		-	1																								0	2	12	36	37	12	1
	1	7		-	3																								0	1	11	36	39	13	1
75	2	9		-	0																								0	0	6	26	43	22	2
	1	8		-	2																								0	0	5	25	43	24	3
74	1	9		-	1																									0	1	9	37	42	11
	0	8		-	3																										0	8	35	44	13
73	1	10		-	0																										0	4	27	49	20
	0	9		-	2																										0	3	24	49	24
72	0	10		-	1																											1	9	44	46
71	0	11		-	0																											0	5	36	60

Total:													0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	12	24	19	13	8	4	2	0