Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Lost to Winnipeg 5-6 (so), playoff odds unchanged at 100%

92 points 41 22-10

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Edmonton 5 Winnipeg 6 (so)	-1.3		-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Vancouver vs Winnipeg	-0.8-0.8-0.8+0.3+0.2+1.1		-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Florida	+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0
Columbus vs Anaheim	-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in	Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs	Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

110	9	0		-	0	In	63.5	%	81		19														64,479
109	8	0		-	1	In	49.3		69		31														51,763
108	8	1		-	0	In	28.0		54		46														389,837
	7	0		-	2	In	25.8		50		50														18,172
107	7	1		-	1	In	17.1		40		60														279,247
	6	0		-	3	In	14.7		34		66														3,823
106	7	2		-	0	In	6.2		25	0	74	0													1,051,360
	6	1		-	2	In	5.5		23	0	77	0													86,342
	5	0		-	4	In	5.0		19		81														460
105	6	2		-	1	In	2.5		16	0	83	0	0												652,785
	5	1		-	3	In	1.9		13	0	86		0												15,077
	4	0		-	5	In	No		12		82		6												51
104	6	3		-	0	In	0.4		8	1	91	0	1												1,639,589
	5	2		-	2	In	0.3		6	1	92	0	1												171,192
	4	1		-	4	In	0.2		6	1	92	0	1												1,671
	3	0		-	6	In	No				100														2
103	5	3		-	1	In	0.1		4	1	91	0	4												864,147
	4	2		-	3	In	0.1		3	1	91	0	5												24,983
	3	1		-	5	In	No		1		95		4												123
102	5	4		-	0	In	0.0		1	1	90	2	6												1,627,335
	4	3		-	2	In	0.0		1	1	89	2	8												186,719
	3	2		-	4	In	No		1	0	89	3	8												2,133
	2	1		-	6	In	No					50	50												2
101	4	4		-	1	In	0.0		0	0	78	4	18	0											710,062
	3	3		-	3	In	0.0		0	0	74	4	22												21,712
	2	2		-	5	In	No				77	2	22												111
100	4	5		-	0	In	No		0	0	65	10	25	0											1,072,335
	3	4		-	2	In	No		0	0	61	10	28	0											122,963
	2	3		-	4	In	No		0		59	9	31												1,433
	1	2		-	6	In	No				40	20	40												5
99	3	5		-	1	In	No		0	0	42	12	46	0											369,941
	2	4		-	3	In	No			0	37	12	51	0											10,566
	1	3		-	5	In	No				30	5	65												43
98	3	6		-	0	In	No			0	26	19	54	0											464,487
	2	5		-	2	In	No			0	23	18	59	0											47,190
	1	4		-	4	In	No				18	17	64	0											445
97	2	6		-	1	In	No			0	11	14	73	2											119,242
	1	5		-	3	In	No				9	13	76	3											2,713
	0	4		-	5	In	No						100												3
96	2	7		-	0	In	No				5	13	76	5	0										128,673
	1	6		-	2	In	No				4	11	80	5	0										10,145
	0	5		-	4	In	No				3	3	88	5											60
95	1	7		-	1	In	No				1	5	78	15	1										21,875
	0	6		-	3	In	No				1	5	78	15	1										275
94	1	8		-	0	In	No				0	4	69	24	3	0									20,527
	0	7		-	2	In	No				0	2	69	25	4										896
93	0	8		-	1	In	No					1	53	38	7	0									1,658
92	0	9		-	0	In	No					0	35	47	17	1									2,288

Total:						In	3.2	%	10	0	73	4	12	0	0	0									10,260,940

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Why are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs!

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton 5 Winnipeg 6 (so)	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Winnipeg	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Columbus vs Anaheim	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Florida	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

110	9	0		-	0	63	18			19
109	8	0		-	1	49	20			31	0
108	8	1		-	0	28	25			46	0
	7	0		-	2	26	24			50	0
107	7	1		-	1	17	23			59	0
	6	0		-	3	15	20			65	0
106	7	2		-	0	6	19	0	0	73	1	0
	6	1		-	2	6	17	0	0	76	1	0
	5	0		-	4	5	14			80	1
105	6	2		-	1	3	14	0	0	79	4	0		0
	5	1		-	3	2	11	0	0	82	4			0
	4	0		-	5		12			80	2			6
104	6	3		-	0	0	7	1	0	82	8	0	0	1	0
	5	2		-	2	0	6	1	0	83	9	0		1
	4	1		-	4	0	6	1	0	82	10	0		1
	3	0		-	6					100
103	5	3		-	1	0	4	1	0	72	20	0	0	4	0
	4	2		-	3	0	3	0	0	71	20	0		5
	3	1		-	5		1			75	20			4
102	5	4		-	0	0	1	0	0	59	31	2	0	6	0
	4	3		-	2	0	1	0	0	56	32	2	0	8	0
	3	2		-	4		1	0	0	55	33	3	0	8	0
	2	1		-	6							50		50
101	4	4		-	1	0	0	0	0	34	44	3	0	18	0	0
	3	3		-	3	0	0	0	0	31	43	3	0	22	0
	2	2		-	5					25	51	2		22
100	4	5		-	0		0	0	0	17	47	9	2	23	1	0
	3	4		-	2		0	0	0	15	46	8	2	27	2	0
	2	3		-	4		0			15	45	8	2	29	2
	1	2		-	6						40	20		40
99	3	5		-	1		0	0	0	4	37	8	5	39	6	0
	2	4		-	3				0	4	33	7	5	44	7	0
	1	3		-	5						30		5	56	9
98	3	6		-	0			0	0	1	25	8	11	38	16	0	0
	2	5		-	2				0	1	22	7	11	40	19	0	0
	1	4		-	4					0	18	8	10	40	24	0
97	2	6		-	1				0	0	11	3	11	34	39	2	0
	1	5		-	3						9	2	11	34	41	3	0
	0	4		-	5									33	67
96	2	7		-	0					0	5	1	12	19	58	4	1	0	0
	1	6		-	2						4	1	10	18	62	4	1	0	0
	0	5		-	4						3		3	15	73	2	3
95	1	7		-	1						1	0	5	7	71	9	6	1	0
	0	6		-	3						1		5	6	72	9	7	1
94	1	8		-	0						0	0	4	2	67	9	15	2	2		0
	0	7		-	2						0		2	2	68	8	17	2	2
93	0	8		-	1								1	0	53	8	31	2	5	0	0
92	0	9		-	0								0		35	4	42	2	15	1	0

Total:						3	7	0	0	53	21	2	1	10	3	0	0	0	0	0	0