Minnesota Wild Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Beat Toronto 3-2 (so), playoff odds up 2.9 to 35.2%

76 points 32 29-12

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Toronto 2 Minnesota 3 (so)	+6.9		+0.2
Edmonton 5 Winnipeg 6 (so)	-3.0		-0.1
Calgary 4 Colorado 3 (so)	-1.4		-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Islanders vs Minnesota	-10.6-2.2-2.2+7.2+10.1+10.2		-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3
Vancouver vs Winnipeg	+3.4-0.3-0.3-3.3-4.1-4.2		+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Detroit vs Arizona	+3.5+0.6+0.6-2.3-2.3-2.4		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Nashville vs Montreal	-0.6-0.6-0.6-0.2-0.1+0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

94	9	0		-	0	In		No		0	0	14	7	65	13	0									29,375
93	8	0		-	1	100.0	%	No		0		7	3	61	28	2	0								27,720
92	8	1		-	0	99.9		No		0		2	1	55	35	7	0								211,294
	7	0		-	2	99.7		No				2	1	50	39	9	0								11,995
91	7	1		-	1	98.8		No				1	0	34	47	17	1	0							182,704
	6	0		-	3	98.6		No				1	0	30	47	20	1	0							3,008
90	7	2		-	0	95.5		No				0	0	25	40	31	4	0							688,587
	6	1		-	2	93.2		No				0	0	20	39	34	7	0							68,838
	5	0		-	4	90.9		No				0		17	39	35	9	0							472
89	6	2		-	1	84.5		No				0	0	10	31	44	15	1							521,917
	5	1		-	3	80.4		No						8	29	44	18	2							14,738
	4	0		-	5	67.8		No						2	34	32	31	2							59
88	6	3		-	0	69.5		No				0		6	17	46	27	3	0						1,308,858
	5	2		-	2	61.5		No						4	14	44	33	5	0						167,565
	4	1		-	4	55.3		No						3	11	41	38	7							2,071
	3	0		-	6	50.0		No								50	50								2
87	5	3		-	1	43.0		No						1	7	35	44	13	0						844,145
	4	2		-	3	36.7		No						1	5	31	47	17	0						29,997
	3	1		-	5	33.9		No							3	31	45	21							177
86	5	4		-	0	25.9		No						1	2	23	50	24	0						1,592,626
	4	3		-	2	18.6		No						0	1	17	50	31	0						227,063
	3	2		-	4	15.3		No						0	1	14	48	37	0						3,257
	2	1		-	6	16.7		No								17	50	33							6
85	4	4		-	1	9.0		No						0	0	9	43	48	0	0					854,780
	3	3		-	3	6.5		No						0	0	6	39	54	0						32,507
	2	2		-	5	4.7		No								5	36	59							211
84	4	5		-	0	3.7		No						0	0	4	33	61	2	0					1,290,439
	3	4		-	2	1.8		No						0	0	2	27	69	2	0					182,780
	2	3		-	4	1.3		No								1	23	73	2	0					2,575
	1	2		-	6	Out		No										100							3
83	3	5		-	1	0.6		No							0	1	16	79	5	0					551,620
	2	4		-	3	0.3		No								0	12	83	5	0					19,171
	1	3		-	5	1.0		No								1	3	89	7						102
82	3	6		-	0	0.1		No							0	0	9	79	12	0	0				695,086
	2	5		-	2	0.0		No								0	5	81	13	0					88,421
	1	4		-	4	Out		No									4	83	13	0					1,000
81	2	6		-	1	0.0		No								0	2	76	21	1	0				222,451
	1	5		-	3	0.0		No								0	2	75	22	1	0				6,194
	0	4		-	5	Out		No										54	46						26
80	2	7		-	0	0.0		No								0	1	59	36	5	0				240,371
	1	6		-	2	Out		No									0	57	37	5	0				23,633
	0	5		-	4	Out		No									1	56	36	8					167
79	1	7		-	1	Out		No									0	44	45	11	1	0			50,935
	0	6		-	3	Out		No										41	46	12	1				820
78	1	8		-	0	Out		No									0	23	49	25	3	0			47,976
	0	7		-	2	Out		No										20	49	28	4				2,674
77	0	8		-	1	Out		No										12	43	37	8	0			5,314
76	0	9		-	0	Out		No										4	26	47	23	1			5,210

Total:						35.2	%	No		0	0	0	0	5	10	20	28	33	3	0	0	0			10,260,940

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Toronto 2 Minnesota 3 (so)	-0.8
Edmonton 5 Winnipeg 6 (so)	+0.2
Calgary 4 Colorado 3 (so)	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Minnesota	+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.8-1.0-1.1
Vancouver vs Winnipeg	-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Detroit vs Arizona	-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Nashville vs Montreal	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

94	9	0		-	0				0		0	0	14	0	7	31	35	8	5	0	0
93	8	0		-	1				0			0	7	0	3	16	45	9	19	1	0	0
92	8	1		-	0				0			0	2		1	9	46	5	30	4	3	0	0	0
	7	0		-	2								2		1	7	43	5	34	5	4	0	0
91	7	1		-	1								1		0	2	32	2	46	5	12	1	0	0	0	0
	6	0		-	3								1		0	2	29	2	46	6	14	1	0	0
90	7	2		-	0								0		0	1	24	0	40	4	27	2	2	1	0	0
	6	1		-	2								0		0	0	20	0	39	4	30	3	2	1	0	0	0
	5	0		-	4								0				17	0	38	3	32	4	4	1	0
89	6	2		-	1								0		0	0	10	0	31	1	43	3	6	5	1	0	0
	5	1		-	3											0	8	0	29	1	43	4	7	6	2	0	0
	4	0		-	5												2		34		32	3	7	19	2	2
88	6	3		-	0								0			0	6	0	17	0	46	2	7	11	8	2	0	0
	5	2		-	2											0	4		14	0	43	2	8	14	10	3	0	0	0
	4	1		-	4												3		11	0	41	2	10	16	12	5	1
	3	0		-	6																50		50
87	5	3		-	1												1		7	0	35	0	4	14	21	13	4	0	0
	4	2		-	3												1		5	0	31	0	4	15	22	16	5	1	0
	3	1		-	5														3		31		2	19	22	18	4	2
86	5	4		-	0												1		2	0	23	0	1	8	21	27	14	3	0	0
	4	3		-	2												0		1		17	0	1	7	21	30	18	4	0	0
	3	2		-	4												0		1		14	0	1	6	19	31	22	5	0
	2	1		-	6																17				33	33		17
85	4	4		-	1												0		0		9	0	0	2	11	29	34	15	1	0
	3	3		-	3												0		0		6		0	1	9	27	36	19	2	0
	2	2		-	5																5			1	9	30	32	21	2
84	4	5		-	0												0		0		4		0	0	3	16	37	32	7	0	0
	3	4		-	2												0		0		2		0	0	2	13	36	37	9	1	0
	2	3		-	4																1		0	0	1	11	35	39	11	1	0
	1	2		-	6																							67	33
83	3	5		-	1														0		1			0	0	4	23	47	22	3	0	0
	2	4		-	3																0				0	3	19	47	27	4	0
	1	3		-	5																1					1	15	39	36	8
82	3	6		-	0														0		0			0	0	1	9	38	39	12	1	0	0
	2	5		-	2																0				0	0	6	36	42	14	2	0	0
	1	4		-	4																					0	6	30	47	15	2	0
81	2	6		-	1																0					0	2	22	45	25	6	1	0
	1	5		-	3																0				0		1	18	46	29	6	1	0
	0	4		-	5																							8	46	42	4
80	2	7		-	0																0					0	0	7	31	38	19	4	0	0
	1	6		-	2																						0	6	29	39	21	5	0	0
	0	5		-	4																							7	34	31	22	7
79	1	7		-	1																						0	2	17	37	31	11	2	0
	0	6		-	3																							1	14	35	34	13	3	0
78	1	8		-	0																							0	4	21	36	28	9	1	0
	0	7		-	2																							0	3	17	37	31	11	1
77	0	8		-	1																							0	1	9	28	37	21	3	0
76	0	9		-	0																								0	1	12	32	38	16	0

Total:									0		0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	10	1	19	1	2	5	8	11	13	13	7	3	1	0	0	0	0