New York Rangers Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 7.1%

76 points 37 32-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Jersey 3 Los Angeles 5	+0.2		+0.1
Toronto 2 Minnesota 3 (so)	*+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles	+3.4+3.4+3.1-1.0-1.0-3.6		+0.5+0.5+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.5
NY Islanders vs Minnesota	-0.7-0.8-0.5+0.2+0.2+0.8		-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Nashville vs Montreal	+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4		+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs St Louis	-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.0-0.2+0.4
Detroit vs Arizona			-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

98	11	0		-	0	In		No		4	7	21	51	5	12	0									1,861
97	10	0		-	1	In		No		1	2	12	46	11	27	2									1,789
96	10	1		-	0	99.9	%	No		0	0	6	30	13	44	6	0								13,564
	9	0		-	2	99.9		No		0	0	5	31	14	44	6	0								1,402
95	9	1		-	1	98.7		No		0	0	1	12	13	53	19	1	0							21,542	*
94	9	2		-	0	95.8		No			0	0	4	8	49	34	4	0							78,823
	8	1		-	2	94.8		No			0	0	4	8	48	35	5	0							14,626	*
93	8	2		-	1	82.6		No				0	1	3	31	48	16	1	0	0					108,408
	7	1		-	3	80.1		No					1	3	29	48	18	2	0						5,926	*
92	8	3		-	0	64.6		No				0	0	1	16	47	30	5	0	0					271,501
	7	2		-	2	61.3		No					0	1	15	46	32	7	0	0					66,356
	6	1		-	4	57.7		No					0	1	13	44	34	7	1						1,547	*
91	7	3		-	1	34.2		No				0	0	0	4	30	44	19	2	0					332,590
	6	2		-	3	30.6		No						0	4	27	45	21	3	0					23,489	*
90	7	4		-	0	16.7		No						0	1	16	41	33	9	1	0				626,167
	6	3		-	2	14.0		No						0	1	13	39	36	11	1	0	0			175,852
	5	2		-	4	12.4		No							1	12	37	38	11	1	0				5,204	*
89	6	4		-	1	3.7		No						0	0	4	24	42	25	5	0	0			665,320
	5	3		-	3	2.8		No						0	0	3	22	42	27	6	0				53,197
	4	2		-	5	2.4		No								2	19	42	29	6					847	*
88	6	5		-	0	0.9		No							0	1	11	35	38	14	1	0			1,003,648
	5	4		-	2	0.6		No							0	1	9	32	40	17	2	0			300,189
	4	3		-	4	0.4		No								0	8	30	40	18	3	0			10,183	*
87	5	5		-	1	0.1		No							0	0	2	17	41	32	7	0			911,225
	4	4		-	3	0.0		No								0	2	15	39	35	10	0			75,504
	3	3		-	5	Out		No									2	12	39	36	11	0			1,169	*
86	5	6		-	0	0.0		No								0	0	7	30	44	18	1	0		1,144,896
	4	5		-	2	0.0		No								0	0	5	26	45	22	1	0		342,395
	3	4		-	4	Out		No									0	4	24	44	26	1	0		11,568	*
85	4	6		-	1	Out		No									0	1	13	42	40	4	0		863,225
	3	5		-	3	Out		No									0	1	11	39	44	5	0		68,841
	2	4		-	5	Out		No									0	1	9	41	44	4	0		1,060	*
84	4	7		-	0	Out		No									0	0	5	31	53	11	0	0	930,211
	3	6		-	2	Out		No									0	0	3	26	56	14	1	0	259,859
	2	5		-	4	Out		No										0	2	22	59	16	1		7,674	*
83	3	7		-	1	Out		No										0	1	13	59	25	2	0	558,508
	2	6		-	3	Out		No										0	0	10	58	28	3	0	39,581	*
82	3	8		-	0	Out		No										0	0	5	48	40	7	0	526,712
	2	7		-	2	Out		No											0	3	43	44	10	0	125,365
	1	6		-	4	Out		No												2	39	46	12	0	3,029	*
81	2	8		-	1	Out		No											0	1	30	50	18	1	236,854
	1	7		-	3	Out		No											0	0	27	49	21	2	12,431	*
80	2	9		-	0	Out		No												0	15	48	32	5	198,476
	1	8		-	2	Out		No												0	11	43	38	8	35,984	*
79	1	9		-	1	Out		No												0	5	34	46	15	59,451
	0	8		-	3	Out		No													3	29	49	19	1,779
78	1	10		-	0	Out		No													2	20	50	28	44,778
	0	9		-	2	Out		No													1	14	47	38	4,327
77	0	10		-	1	Out		No													0	7	43	50	6,674
76	0	11		-	0	Out		No													0	2	30	67	5,333

Total:						7.1	%	No		0	0	0	0	0	2	5	9	14	17	20	21	9	2	0	10,260,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
New Jersey 3 Los Angeles 5	-0.1
Toronto 2 Minnesota 3 (so)	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles	-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.1+0.1+0.8
Nashville vs Montreal	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Islanders vs Minnesota	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

98	11	0		-	0			1	3	0	7	14	7	32	19	5		12		0
97	10	0		-	1				1		2	5	6	23	23	11		27		2
96	10	1		-	0				0		0	2	4	9	21	13	0	44	0	6		0
	9	0		-	2				0		0	1	4	9	22	13	0	44		6		0
95	9	1		-	1				0		0	0	1	2	10	12	1	53	0	19		1	0
94	9	2		-	0						0	0	0	0	4	6	1	48	1	34	0	4	0
	8	1		-	2						0		0	0	4	6	1	46	2	35		5	0
93	8	2		-	1								0	0	1	2	1	29	2	48	0	16	1	0	0
	7	1		-	3										1	2	1	27	2	48	0	18	2	0
92	8	3		-	0								0	0	0	0	0	13	3	47	0	30	6	0	0
	7	2		-	2									0	0	0	0	12	3	45	0	32	7	0	0
	6	1		-	4										0	0	0	10	2	44	0	34	7	1
91	7	3		-	1								0		0	0	0	3	1	29	1	44	19	2	0
	6	2		-	3											0	0	3	1	26	1	45	21	3	0
90	7	4		-	0											0	0	1	1	15	1	40	33	9	1	0
	6	3		-	2											0	0	0	0	12	1	39	36	11	1	0	0
	5	2		-	4													0	0	10	1	37	38	11	1	0
89	6	4		-	1												0	0	0	3	1	24	42	25	5	0	0
	5	3		-	3												0	0	0	2	1	21	41	28	6	0	0
	4	2		-	5															2	0	19	42	30	8	0
88	6	5		-	0													0	0	1	0	10	33	38	16	2	0	0
	5	4		-	2													0	0	0	0	8	30	40	18	3	0	0
	4	3		-	4															0	0	7	28	39	21	4	0	0
87	5	5		-	1														0	0	0	2	14	36	34	13	2	0	0
	4	4		-	3															0	0	1	11	32	36	16	3	0	0
	3	3		-	5																	1	9	30	37	19	4	0
86	5	6		-	0															0	0	0	4	20	37	28	9	1	0	0
	4	5		-	2																0	0	3	16	35	31	12	2	0
	3	4		-	4																	0	2	13	32	34	16	3	0	0
85	4	6		-	1																	0	0	5	20	36	29	10	1	0	0
	3	5		-	3																	0	0	3	15	34	33	13	1	0
	2	4		-	5																		0	2	14	33	35	14	1
84	4	7		-	0																	0	0	1	7	25	38	25	4	0	0
	3	6		-	2																		0	0	5	21	38	29	6	0	0
	2	5		-	4																			0	3	16	37	35	9	1	0
83	3	7		-	1																		0	0	1	7	29	44	17	2	0	0
	2	6		-	3																			0	0	4	24	48	21	3	0
82	3	8		-	0																			0	0	2	14	43	33	8	1	0	0
	2	7		-	2																				0	1	10	39	37	11	1	0	0
	1	6		-	4																				0	1	7	37	40	14	2	0
81	2	8		-	1																				0	0	3	27	43	22	4	0	0
	1	7		-	3																					0	2	23	44	25	6	1	0
80	2	9		-	0																					0	0	11	36	36	14	3	0	0
	1	8		-	2																						0	7	31	38	19	4	0
79	1	9		-	1																						0	3	19	37	30	10	1	0	0
	0	8		-	3																						0	2	15	34	34	13	3	0
78	1	10		-	0																							0	7	25	37	24	7	1	0
	0	9		-	2																							0	4	18	36	31	10	1
77	0	10		-	1																							0	1	10	30	38	18	3	0
76	0	11		-	0																								0	2	14	36	36	10	0

Total:								0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	5	0	9	12	14	14	12	11	10	6	2	1	0	0	0	0