How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ottawa 2 San Jose 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Arizona+0.4+0.3+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.4
+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.4
NY Islanders vs Minnesota-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles-0.0*-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Nashville vs Montreal+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs St Louis-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Florida-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
93110-091.1%No01183538801,848
92100-169.6No0010194024612,081
91101-040.8No06630391730015,391
90-235.5No55264020401,114
9091-115.1No111336331420017,877
80-313.9No101233351520439
8992-03.8No103193729101067,096
81-23.4No00318363111209,509*
8882-10.4No000623372671070,399
71-30.4No05213529812,972*
8783-00.1No001928382140177,254
72-20.1No0018273821433,021
61-4OutNo172437256571
8673-10.0No002123438130167,014
62-3OutNo021133391509,127*
8574-0OutNo00420443110314,196
63-2OutNo0031944321068,139
52-4OutNo0320433211,584*
8464-1OutNo017355260256,672
53-3OutNo00633537016,138
42-5OutNo24285871183*
8365-0OutNo0022064140387,883
54-2OutNo02196315190,213
43-4OutNo0118631712,391*
8255-1OutNo00756333272,506
44-3OutNo0065435417,736
33-5OutNo755334204*
8156-0OutNo0247447342,721
45-2OutNo024446979,669
34-4OutNo2424792,096*
8046-1OutNo00245422200,190
35-3OutNo021542412,575*
7947-0OutNo0155233215,981
36-2OutNo013523546,742
25-4OutNo1250391,135*
7837-1OutNo043957101,683
26-3OutNo336615,467*
7738-0OutNo2316795,722
27-2OutNo2287018,061
16-4OutNo22673331*
7628-1OutNo0148633,440
17-3OutNo013871,382*
7529-0OutNo0109027,910
18-2OutNo09914,011*
7419-1OutNo2986,514
08-3OutNo199162
73110-0OutNo1994,931
09-2OutNo199391
72010-1OutNo0100587
71011-0OutNo0100641
Total:0.5%No000001258163322123,205,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto 2 Minnesota 3 (so)+0.0
Calgary 4 Colorado 3 (so)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Arizona-0.7-0.7-0.7+0.1+0.1+0.8
Tampa Bay vs Florida+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1
Nashville vs Montreal-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Islanders vs Minnesota-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
93110-0019833137080
92100-100461724002461
91101-0014422913917300
90-21432250402040
9091-10111111353314200
80-31011233361520
8992-001002119372910100
81-20000211735321120
8882-100000521352810100
71-30041834301210
8783-000016223525910
72-2000162134271020
61-4141933291320
8673-100162034271120
62-30151833291220
8574-0016223527900
63-20162034291000
52-415203230130
8464-10015213930500
53-3005193832600
42-51416324151
8365-00018304613100
54-2001729471520
43-41528471720
8255-100111433410100
44-3011042361010
33-5104335112
8156-0004324219300
45-2003304221400
34-4329442140
8046-10011343716300
35-309323817300
7947-005233826710
36-204223828810
25-43223828810
7837-101625382460
26-30524382661
7738-003153633121
27-202143435121
16-42133435161
7628-1031940317
17-3031937347
7529-00110344213
18-2110324116
7419-102154736
08-31143748
73110-00194149
09-200124048
72010-112276
71011-011585
Total:00000000123579132016117420