Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Beat Chicago 4-2, playoff odds up 0.2 to 99.9%

89 points 43 26-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina 4 Chicago 2	+0.2		+0.4		+0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh vs St Louis					-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Winnipeg			-0.3-0.3-0.4-0.1*-0.0+0.5
Columbus vs Anaheim					-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

109	10	0		-	0	In		54.2	%	89	11															26,250
108	9	0		-	1	In		35.5		80	20															24,602
107	9	1		-	0	In		21.4		63	36	0														186,645
	8	0		-	2	In		20.5		60	40	0														10,695
106	8	1		-	1	In		9.9		51	49	1	0													161,207
	7	0		-	3	In		9.6		47	52	1	0													2,787
105	8	2		-	0	In		3.7		31	66	3	0													611,826
	7	1		-	2	In		3.4		28	68	3	0													62,812
	6	0		-	4	In		3.7		26	72	2														462
104	7	2		-	1	In		1.0		20	75	5	0													469,151
	6	1		-	3	In		1.0		19	76	5	0													14,097
	5	0		-	5	In		No		20	73	8														51
103	7	3		-	0	In		0.2		9	79	12	1	0												1,180,318
	6	2		-	2	In		0.2		8	80	11	1	0												157,945
	5	1		-	4	In		No		7	80	12	1	0												1,923	*
102	6	3		-	1	In		0.0		4	78	15	3	0												793,447
	5	2		-	3	In		0.0		3	79	14	3	0												30,249
	4	1		-	5	In		No		4	81	14	2													213	*
101	6	4		-	0	In		0.0		1	67	24	8	0	0											1,495,782
	5	3		-	2	In		No		1	67	23	9	0												227,859
	4	2		-	4	In		No		1	65	23	10	0												3,571	*
100	5	4		-	1	In		No		0	58	22	18	1	0	0										855,523
	4	3		-	3	In		No		0	57	22	20	1	0											35,638
	3	2		-	5	In		No			49	24	24	4												279
99	5	5		-	0	In		No		0	39	24	32	4	0	0										1,291,763
	4	4		-	2	In		No		0	38	23	34	5	0	0										203,968
	3	3		-	4	In		No		0	36	22	34	8	0	0										3,441	*
98	4	5		-	1	In		No		0	28	15	46	11	1	0	0									614,727
	3	4		-	3	In		No			26	13	46	13	1	0	0									25,758
	2	3		-	5	In		No			22	17	42	16	2											183	*
97	4	6		-	0	In		No			13	9	52	20	5	1	0									771,317
	3	5		-	2	In		No			12	7	50	23	6	2	0									116,076
	2	4		-	4	In		No			9	5	44	28	8	5	0									1,824	*
96	3	6		-	1	100.0	%	No			6	2	42	28	14	7	0	0								292,326
	2	5		-	3	In		No			5	2	38	29	17	10	1									11,092
	1	4		-	5	In		No			5	2	32	34	11	13	3									62
95	3	7		-	0	100.0		No			1	1	27	24	28	17	1	0								315,387
	2	6		-	2	100.0		No			1	0	22	22	29	23	3	0								41,552
	1	5		-	4	In		No			1	0	17	17	32	28	6									518	*
94	2	7		-	1	99.8		No			0	0	10	14	31	38	8	0	0							89,427
	1	6		-	3	99.9		No			0	0	8	10	28	42	11	0								2,607	*
93	2	8		-	0	98.7		No			0	0	3	4	26	48	18	1	0							83,856
	1	7		-	2	97.9		No			0		2	3	20	47	26	2	0							8,458
	0	6		-	4	98.2		No					2	5	11	51	29	2								55
92	1	8		-	1	93.5		No					0	1	10	43	39	6	0	0						15,827
	0	7		-	3	92.5		No					0	1	10	36	45	7	0							265
91	1	9		-	0	78.5		No					0	0	3	28	47	19	3	0	0					13,396
	0	8		-	2	71.7		No						0	2	19	50	25	3	0						750
90	0	9		-	1	52.8		No							0	10	42	38	8	0						1,208
89	0	10		-	0	28.3		No							0	3	25	40	25	6	1					1,765

Total:						99.9	%	1.1	%	7	51	14	18	5	2	2	0	0	0	0	0					10,260,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Carolina 4 Chicago 2	-0.7

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Columbus vs Anaheim	+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Pittsburgh vs St Louis	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Florida	-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

109	10	0		-	0	54	35	11
108	9	0		-	1	35	45	20
107	9	1		-	0	21	42	36		0	0
	8	0		-	2	20	39	40		0	0
106	8	1		-	1	10	41	49	0	1	0	0
	7	0		-	3	10	37	52	0	1	0	0
105	8	2		-	0	4	28	65	1	3	0	0
	7	1		-	2	3	25	68	1	3	0	0
	6	0		-	4	4	22	72	1	2
104	7	2		-	1	1	19	74	1	4	1	0
	6	1		-	3	1	18	75	1	4	1	0
	5	0		-	5		20	69	4	6	2
103	7	3		-	0	0	9	73	6	7	5	1	0	0
	6	2		-	2	0	7	74	6	7	5	1		0
	5	1		-	4		7	75	5	7	5	1		0
102	6	3		-	1	0	4	69	10	7	8	3	0	0	0
	5	2		-	3	0	3	69	10	7	7	3		0
	4	1		-	5		4	70	11	5	8	2
101	6	4		-	0	0	1	47	19	7	17	8	0	0	0	0
	5	3		-	2		1	47	19	7	16	9	0	0	0
	4	2		-	4		1	47	18	6	17	10	0	0
100	5	4		-	1		0	35	23	4	18	18	0	1	0	0		0
	4	3		-	3		0	35	22	4	18	19	1	1	0	0
	3	2		-	5			30	19	4	20	23	1	3	1
99	5	5		-	0		0	15	24	2	22	29	3	3	1	0		0
	4	4		-	2		0	15	24	2	21	31	3	4	1	0		0
	3	3		-	4		0	14	22	1	21	31	3	6	1	0		0
98	4	5		-	1		0	8	20	0	14	38	8	7	4	1	0	0		0
	3	4		-	3			7	19	0	13	38	8	8	5	1		0		0
	2	3		-	5			5	17	1	16	34	8	8	8	2
97	4	6		-	0			1	12	0	9	33	19	10	10	5	0	1		0
	3	5		-	2			1	10	0	7	31	19	11	11	6	0	2		0
	2	4		-	4			1	8	0	5	28	16	15	14	8		5		0
96	3	6		-	1			0	6	0	2	20	22	9	20	14	0	7	0	0		0
	2	5		-	3			0	5		2	18	19	9	20	17	0	10		1
	1	4		-	5				5		2	11	21	13	21	11		13		3
95	3	7		-	0			0	1		1	7	20	5	19	27	1	17	0	1		0
	2	6		-	2			0	1		0	6	16	5	17	28	1	23	0	3		0
	1	5		-	4				1		0	5	12	3	14	31	1	27	0	6
94	2	7		-	1				0		0	2	8	1	12	27	4	38	0	8		0	0
	1	6		-	3				0		0	1	7	1	10	24	4	42	0	11		0
93	2	8		-	0				0		0	0	3	0	4	19	6	46	2	18	0	1	0
	1	7		-	2				0			0	2	0	3	15	5	45	2	26		2	0
	0	6		-	4								2		5	11		51		29		2
92	1	8		-	1							0	0	0	1	6	5	39	4	39	0	6	0	0
	0	7		-	3								0		1	5	5	33	3	45		7	0
91	1	9		-	0								0		0	1	2	21	6	47	1	19	3	0	0
	0	8		-	2										0	1	1	15	5	50		25	3	0
90	0	9		-	1											0	0	7	3	41	1	38	8	0
89	0	10		-	0												0	1	2	21	4	40	25	6	1

Total:						1	6	38	13	4	11	14	4	2	3	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0