Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 99.8%

88 points 40 24-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina 4 Chicago 2					-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Columbus vs Anaheim	+0.2+0.2+0.2*+0.0+0.0-0.2		+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.4		+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.4
NY Islanders vs Minnesota	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs St Louis					-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Winnipeg			-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.0+0.1+0.3
Tampa Bay vs Florida					+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

108	10	0		-	0	In		30.6	%	71	29	0														34,003
107	9	0		-	1	In		17.1		51	46	3														30,355
106	9	1		-	0	In		8.1		41	55	4	0													228,413
	8	0		-	2	In		8.0		42	54	4														12,323
105	8	1		-	1	In		2.8		23	67	10	0													186,838
	7	0		-	3	In		2.8		23	67	10	0													3,024
104	8	2		-	0	In		0.7		15	70	15	0	0												702,195
	7	1		-	2	In		0.7		15	70	15	0	0												67,185
	6	0		-	4	In		0.7		13	70	16	1													443
103	7	2		-	1	In		0.1		5	66	27	2	0												510,205
	6	1		-	3	In		0.1		5	66	27	2	0												14,275
	5	0		-	5	In		No		5	76	16	3													38
102	7	3		-	0	In		0.0		2	61	31	6	0												1,279,553
	6	2		-	2	In		0.0		2	60	31	6	0												160,969
	5	1		-	4	In		No		3	61	31	6	0												1,992	*
101	6	3		-	1	In		0.0		0	45	40	13	1	0											810,179
	5	2		-	3	In		No		0	45	40	13	1												29,149
	4	1		-	5	In		No			44	40	14	2												174
100	6	4		-	0	In		No		0	36	36	25	2	0	0										1,527,695
	5	3		-	2	In		No		0	35	36	26	4	0	0										218,720
	4	2		-	4	In		No		0	32	37	25	5	0											3,310	*
99	5	4		-	1	In		No		0	19	32	40	8	0	0	0									827,455
	4	3		-	3	In		No		0	18	31	40	10	0	0										33,012
	3	2		-	5	In		No			14	34	41	10	0	0										238	*
98	5	5		-	0	In		No		0	12	20	51	15	1	0	0									1,249,436
	4	4		-	2	In		No		0	11	19	49	19	2	1	0									185,704
	3	3		-	4	In		No			11	17	49	20	2	1										2,931	*
97	4	5		-	1	In		No			4	10	49	28	7	3	0									561,580
	3	4		-	3	100.0	%	No			3	9	45	30	9	4	0	0								22,229
	2	3		-	5	In		No			3	7	52	25	10	4										166
96	4	6		-	0	100.0		No			2	4	42	31	14	7	0	0								705,891
	3	5		-	2	100.0		No			1	3	35	34	17	10	0	0								101,009
	2	4		-	4	In		No			1	2	30	35	18	12	1									1,473	*
95	3	6		-	1	100.0		No			0	1	21	24	28	23	3	0								253,682
	2	5		-	3	99.9		No			0	0	16	22	30	28	4	0								9,149
	1	4		-	5	In		No					21	33	26	19	2									58	*
94	3	7		-	0	99.8		No			0	0	12	16	31	34	7	0	0							273,573
	2	6		-	2	99.5		No			0	0	7	14	29	39	10	0	0							33,905
	1	5		-	4	97.5		No					5	9	31	39	14	3								398	*
93	2	7		-	1	96.5		No				0	2	4	21	45	24	3	0	0						73,384
	1	6		-	3	94.3		No					1	3	17	45	28	6	0							2,073	*
92	2	8		-	0	91.2		No					1	1	14	40	35	8	1	0						69,651
	1	7		-	2	85.6		No					0	1	9	37	39	13	1	0						6,660
	0	6		-	4	79.1		No							9	23	47	14	7							43
91	1	8		-	1	62.0		No					0	0	3	18	41	31	7	1	0					12,479
	0	7		-	3	49.0		No							2	14	34	40	10	1						192
90	1	9		-	0	43.3		No					0		1	9	34	39	15	2	0					10,496
	0	8		-	2	31.6		No							0	3	28	40	24	4	0					548
89	0	9		-	1	11.1		No								1	10	32	37	18	2	0				914
88	0	10		-	0	2.8		No							0	0	3	20	39	29	8	1	0			1,573

Total:						99.8	%	0.5	%	4	33	23	24	9	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			10,260,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Carolina 4 Chicago 2	+0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Columbus vs Anaheim	-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.1+0.1+0.8
Pittsburgh vs St Louis	+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Florida	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

108	10	0		-	0	31	40	29		0
107	9	0		-	1	17	34	46		3	0
106	9	1		-	0	8	33	54	0	4	0	0
	8	0		-	2	8	34	54	0	4	0
105	8	1		-	1	3	20	66	1	9	2	0
	7	0		-	3	3	20	66	0	9	2	0
104	8	2		-	0	1	14	67	3	11	3	0		0
	7	1		-	2	1	14	66	4	11	3	0		0
	6	0		-	4	1	12	66	4	13	3	1
103	7	2		-	1	0	5	60	6	16	11	2	0	0	0
	6	1		-	3	0	5	58	7	15	12	2	0	0
	5	0		-	5		5	76		13	3	3
102	7	3		-	0	0	2	49	12	15	17	6	0	0	0
	6	2		-	2	0	2	45	15	14	17	6	0	0	0
	5	1		-	4		3	45	16	13	17	6		0
101	6	3		-	1	0	0	30	15	11	29	13	0	1	0	0
	5	2		-	3		0	28	17	11	29	13	0	1	0
	4	1		-	5			27	17	12	28	14		1	1
100	6	4		-	0		0	18	18	6	30	24	1	2	0	0		0
	5	3		-	2		0	15	20	6	30	24	2	3	1	0		0
	4	2		-	4		0	13	19	5	32	23	2	5	1	0
99	5	4		-	1		0	6	13	2	30	34	6	6	2	0		0		0
	4	3		-	3		0	5	13	2	29	33	7	8	2	0		0
	3	2		-	5			5	9	2	33	34	8	8	2	0		0
98	5	5		-	0		0	2	10	0	20	38	13	9	6	1	0	0		0
	4	4		-	2		0	2	9	0	18	33	16	11	8	2	0	1		0
	3	3		-	4			1	10	0	17	29	19	11	9	2		1
97	4	5		-	1			0	3	0	10	27	22	12	15	7	0	3		0
	3	4		-	3			0	3	0	9	22	22	13	17	9	0	4		0		0
	2	3		-	5			1	2		7	23	29	9	16	10		4
96	4	6		-	0			0	2	0	4	16	26	8	23	14	0	7	0	0		0
	3	5		-	2			0	1	0	3	11	24	8	26	16	0	10	0	0		0
	2	4		-	4				1		2	7	23	7	29	18	0	12		1
95	3	6		-	1			0	0		1	4	17	4	21	26	2	23	0	3		0
	2	5		-	3				0		0	2	13	3	19	28	2	28	0	4		0
	1	4		-	5							3	17	2	31	26		19		2
94	3	7		-	0				0		0	1	10	1	16	26	5	33	1	7		0	0
	2	6		-	2				0		0	0	7	1	13	24	5	38	1	10		0	0
	1	5		-	4							0	5	1	9	25	5	38	1	14		3
93	2	7		-	1						0	0	2	0	4	15	6	42	3	24	0	3	0	0
	1	6		-	3								1	0	3	12	5	42	3	28		6	0
92	2	8		-	0							0	1	0	1	7	6	34	6	35	0	8	1	0
	1	7		-	2								0		1	5	4	31	6	39	0	13	1	0
	0	6		-	4											2	7	16	7	47		14	7
91	1	8		-	1								0		0	1	2	13	5	41	1	31	7	1	0
	0	7		-	3											1	1	11	3	32	2	41	10	1
90	1	9		-	0								0			0	1	4	4	31	2	39	16	2	0
	0	8		-	2												0	1	2	26	2	40	24	4	0
89	0	9		-	1													0	1	8	2	32	37	18	3	0
88	0	10		-	0												0	0		1	1	19	38	31	9	1	0

Total:						0	3	24	9	6	17	17	7	4	5	3	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0