Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.7 to 91.7%

84 points 40 28-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
New Jersey 3 Los Angeles 5	+0.4
Toronto 2 Minnesota 3 (so)	+0.2
Carolina 4 Chicago 2					-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh vs St Louis	+3.6+3.6+2.9-0.9-0.8-5.6		+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0NoNo		+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.6
NY Islanders vs Minnesota	-1.2-1.1-1.0+0.2+0.2+1.4
Nashville vs Montreal	+0.8+0.2+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.6
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles	-0.3-0.4-0.3+0.1-0.0+0.3
Columbus vs Anaheim					-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

104	10	0		-	0	In		0.8	%	16	74	9	0	0												11,820
103	9	0		-	1	In		0.1		5	69	22	2	1												12,774
102	9	1		-	0	In		0.0		2	60	28	5	4												96,110
	8	0		-	2	In		No		2	54	32	6	6												6,662
101	8	1		-	1	In		No		0	39	36	12	12	0	0										100,268
	7	0		-	3	In		No		0	33	38	12	17	0											1,946
100	8	2		-	0	In		No		0	28	30	22	21	0	0										378,334
	7	1		-	2	In		No		0	22	29	22	27	0	0										46,066
	6	0		-	4	In		No			19	33	15	33	0											408
99	7	2		-	1	In		No		0	12	21	26	40	1	1	0									349,462
	6	1		-	3	In		No			9	19	25	45	1	1	0									12,443
	5	0		-	5	In		No			13	7	20	56	2	2										54
98	7	3		-	0	In		No		0	6	11	28	50	3	2	0									875,995
	6	2		-	2	In		No		0	4	9	25	56	4	3	0									139,753
	5	1		-	4	In		No			3	7	20	60	6	5										2,001	*
97	6	3		-	1	100.0	%	No			1	4	18	56	11	10	0	0								702,369
	5	2		-	3	In		No			1	3	14	55	13	14	0									31,510
	4	1		-	5	In		No			1	2	14	50	18	15	1									235
96	6	4		-	0	100.0		No			0	1	12	50	19	17	1	0								1,323,934
	5	3		-	2	100.0		No			0	1	8	48	20	22	1	0								239,586
	4	2		-	4	In		No			0	0	6	45	20	27	2									4,492	*
95	5	4		-	1	99.9		No			0	0	3	27	25	39	6	0	0							905,636
	4	3		-	3	99.9		No			0	0	2	22	23	45	7	0								45,103
	3	2		-	5	99.5		No				0	2	17	18	53	11	1								396
94	5	5		-	0	99.7		No			0	0	2	16	25	47	10	0	0							1,362,305
	4	4		-	2	99.5		No			0	0	1	12	21	52	13	0	0							256,142
	3	3		-	4	99.2		No					0	10	18	56	15	1								5,033	*
93	4	5		-	1	97.0		No			0		0	3	13	51	30	3	0	0						771,106
	3	4		-	3	96.0		No					0	2	9	51	34	4	0							37,996
	2	3		-	5	94.6		No						2	6	48	39	5								368
92	4	6		-	0	92.4		No					0	1	8	43	40	7	0	0						968,737
	3	5		-	2	89.2		No					0	1	5	40	43	10	1	0						173,332
	2	4		-	4	85.1		No						0	3	37	44	14	1							3,263	*
91	3	6		-	1	71.1		No					0	0	1	21	49	25	4	0	0					435,358
	2	5		-	3	66.9		No						0	1	18	48	28	5	0						19,167
	1	4		-	5	64.4		No							1	15	49	32	3							180
90	3	7		-	0	53.9		No					0	0	1	11	42	35	10	1	0	0				468,860
	2	6		-	2	47.0		No						0	0	9	38	38	13	2	0					72,580
	1	5		-	4	39.9		No							0	7	33	39	18	2	0					1,109	*
89	2	7		-	1	22.1		No						0	0	2	20	41	29	7	1	0				157,544
	1	6		-	3	18.6		No								2	17	40	32	9	1	0				5,370	*
88	2	8		-	0	10.5		No							0	1	10	33	38	17	3	0				148,118
	1	7		-	2	7.9		No								0	8	28	39	21	4	0				17,366
	0	6		-	4	3.0		No									3	32	42	19	3	1				166
87	1	8		-	1	1.6		No								0	2	14	36	35	13	1	0			33,087
	0	7		-	3	1.2		No									1	12	37	37	12	1				674
86	1	9		-	0	0.4		No								0	0	5	24	40	25	6	0			27,753
	0	8		-	2	0.1		No									0	4	21	40	28	7	0			1,820
85	0	9		-	1	0.1		No									0	1	8	30	42	17	1	0		3,032
84	0	10		-	0	Out		No										0	3	17	40	34	5	0		3,117

Total:						91.7	%	0.0	%	0	3	4	8	24	12	25	14	5	2	1	0	0	0	0		10,260,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Carolina 4 Chicago 2	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs St Louis	-0.7-0.7-0.5+0.3+0.3+1.1
Columbus vs Anaheim	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
NY Islanders vs Minnesota	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

104	10	0		-	0	1	16	72	2	7	2	0		0
103	9	0		-	1	0	5	63	6	13	9	2		1	0
102	9	1		-	0	0	2	50	10	13	15	5	0	4	0
	8	0		-	2		2	41	13	15	17	6		6	0
101	8	1		-	1		0	27	12	10	26	12	0	12	0	0		0
	7	0		-	3		0	20	13	11	27	12	0	16	1	0
100	8	2		-	0		0	15	12	5	25	20	1	19	2	0		0
	7	1		-	2		0	10	12	5	24	20	2	24	3	0		0
	6	0		-	4			7	13	6	26	14	1	29	4	0
99	7	2		-	1		0	4	7	1	20	23	3	32	8	1		1		0
	6	1		-	3			3	6	1	18	21	4	36	9	1		1		0
	5	0		-	5			4	9		7	19	2	41	15	2		2
98	7	3		-	0		0	2	5	0	10	22	7	31	19	3	0	2		0
	6	2		-	2		0	1	3	0	9	17	8	35	21	4	0	3		0
	5	1		-	4			0	3	0	6	12	8	37	23	6		5
97	6	3		-	1			0	1	0	4	10	8	28	28	11	0	10		0		0
	5	2		-	3			0	1	0	3	7	7	28	28	13	0	14		0
	4	1		-	5				1		2	6	8	23	27	18		15		1
96	6	4		-	0			0	0	0	1	5	7	15	35	18	0	17	0	1		0
	5	3		-	2			0	0	0	1	3	6	14	34	20	0	22	0	1		0
	4	2		-	4				0		0	2	4	13	32	20	0	27	0	2
95	5	4		-	1			0	0		0	1	3	6	21	24	1	39	0	6		0	0
	4	3		-	3				0		0	0	2	4	18	22	1	45	0	7		0
	3	2		-	5						0		2	4	13	17	1	52	1	11		1
94	5	5		-	0				0		0	0	1	1	15	21	4	45	1	10	0	0	0
	4	4		-	2				0		0	0	1	1	11	18	3	50	2	13	0	0	0
	3	3		-	4								0	1	10	15	3	53	2	15		1
93	4	5		-	1				0			0	0	0	3	9	3	47	3	30	0	3	0	0
	3	4		-	3								0	0	2	7	2	48	4	34	0	4	0
	2	3		-	5										2	5	1	43	5	38	0	5
92	4	6		-	0							0	0	0	1	4	4	36	7	39	0	7	0	0
	3	5		-	2							0	0	0	1	3	3	33	8	43	0	10	1	0
	2	4		-	4										0	2	2	30	7	44	0	14	1
91	3	6		-	1								0		0	1	1	15	6	48	1	25	4	0	0
	2	5		-	3										0	0	0	12	6	47	1	28	5	0
	1	4		-	5												1	11	4	48	1	32	3
90	3	7		-	0								0		0	0	0	5	6	39	3	35	10	1	0	0
	2	6		-	2										0	0	0	4	5	35	3	38	13	2	0
	1	5		-	4												0	3	4	31	2	39	19	2	0
89	2	7		-	1										0	0	0	1	1	16	4	40	29	8	1	0
	1	6		-	3													0	1	13	4	39	32	9	1	0
88	2	8		-	0												0	0	1	5	4	30	37	18	4	0	0
	1	7		-	2													0	0	4	4	26	38	22	5	0	0
	0	6		-	4															2	1	28	42	21	5	1
87	1	8		-	1														0	0	1	10	31	35	18	4	0	0
	0	7		-	3															0	1	9	32	36	18	3	0
86	1	9		-	0														0	0	0	3	15	33	31	15	3	0
	0	8		-	2															0	0	2	13	30	33	17	4	1
85	0	9		-	1																0	0	3	13	30	33	17	4	0
84	0	10		-	0																	0	0	4	15	32	32	14	2	0

Total:						0	0	2	2	1	4	5	3	10	14	11	1	23	2	14	0	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0