How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Columbus Blue Jackets 1 Pittsburgh Penguins 4 +1.3
Detroit Red Wings 9 Toronto Maple Leafs 3 +1.0
New York Rangers 2 Philadelphia Flyers 4 -0.9
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals-3.5-0.3-0.3+2.5+2.5+2.5
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington Capitals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
120240-0In89.3%8911345
119230-1InYes1002
118231-0In83.383176*
117221-1In72.7732722
116222-0In47.14751170*
115212-1In31.032644187*
114202-2In22.42464111517*
113203-1In14.6176714301,314*
112193-2In7.286618713,167*
111194-1In2.94602113306,315*
110184-2In1.1249212260012,284*
109185-1In0.21361833101021,578*
108175-2In0.10261340163137,273*
107176-1InNo0167442283058,654*
106166-2InNo0944025157089,518*
105167-1InNo042332424130125,070*
104157-2InNo21232032220172,022*
103158-1100.0%No101414363410218,634*
102148-2100.0No0089354530270,513*
101149-1100.0No0044305660310,765*
100139-2100.0No00222363110192,734
128-4100.0No00222362110156,484*
991310-199.9No01117641700169,103
129-399.8No00114661900196,413*
981210-299.4No009632710205,836
119-499.5No0009632710167,765*
971211-198.7No0006573610164,236
1110-398.4No004563820193,006*
961111-296.4No0024747400332,483*
951112-192.6No0013655700290,288*
941012-286.1No00026601310247,815*
931013-176.7No017602120196,464*
92913-264.8No010553050153,508*
91914-150.6No0545391010111,124*
90814-236.9No33445171078,383*
89815-124.6No12446263050,824*
88715-214.9No01542367033,256*
87716-18.2No08344513019,542*
86616-24.0No04244922111,572*
85617-11.8No2154833206,220*
84517-20.6No184144603,088*
83518-10.1No0332541101,474*
82418-2OutNo22059181701*
81419-1OutNo01354293278*
80319-2OutNo1144396124*
79320-1OutNo54244943*
78220-2OutNo77672015*
77221-1OutNo3333336*
76222-0OutNo1004*
72024-0OutNo11241407345
Total:91.0%0.0%0116413402672000004,311,390

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus Blue Jackets 1 Pittsburgh Penguins 4 +0.0
Detroit Red Wings 9 Toronto Maple Leafs 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
New York Islanders vs Minnesota Wild+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
120240-08911
119230-1100
118231-08317
117221-17327
116222-047511
115212-1311644
114202-222264111
113203-11526601430
112193-27166017071
111194-1315912001330
110184-21148221022600
109185-1003431813301010
108175-2002241214001631
107176-101246143022830
106166-2053314002501570
105167-10221132124024130
104157-2110022220032220
103158-10100122140363410
102148-2000062803545030
101149-10000214030056060
100139-20001120230630110
991310-1000101706401700
129-3000001406601900
981210-200009063027010
119-4000009062027010
971211-1000006056136010
1110-300004055138020
961111-2000020452470400
1010-400002045247030
951112-100010333550700
941012-200002245911310
931013-1001255822120
92913-200645143050
91914-10023387391010
90814-21224114218200
89815-10112123929710
88715-200410293616300
87716-101717352611300
86616-200472532228200
85617-102212283020610
84517-210415283016510
83518-10161828301341
82418-2172230271020
81419-10411243221620
80319-241520332251
79320-1212163023142
78220-272720407
77221-1173350
76222-02575
72024-0114413590
Total:001000514013038125162100000000000