How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Dallas Stars 3 Vegas Golden Knights 4 (so)-0.1
-2.6
-0.1
San Jose Sharks 0 Ottawa Senators 2 -1.0
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)-0.8
Detroit Red Wings 1 St. Louis Blues 2 (ot)*+0.4
Calgary Flames 3 Vancouver Canucks 10 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago Blackhawks vs Arizona Coyotes-0.4-0.4-0.5+0.5+0.8+1.0
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas Stars finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
131-146In99.9%1001,060*
130437-2In99.91000806*
129427-3In99.910001,405*
128417-4In99.910002,334*
127418-3In99.710003,924*
126408-4In99.5100006,082*
125409-3In99.3100009,078*
124399-4In98.81000013,590*
1233910-3In98.31000019,821*
1223810-4In97.29900027,427*
1213811-3In95.8990136,890*
1203711-4In93.6981148,278*
1193712-3In90.6971261,806*
1183612-4In86.99612076,937*
1173613-3In81.494240092,523*
1163513-4In74.9923500109,738*
1153514-3In67.2885700125,538*
1143414-4In58.18371000140,378*
1133415-3In48.37891300154,427*
1123315-4In38.571121600164,377*
1113215-5In28.363152100171,373*
1103216-4In19.6551926010174,027*
1093116-5In12.44522311100173,596*
1083117-4In7.0362536120168,266*
1073017-5In3.62727402300159,948*
1063018-4In1.61928445400148,284*
1052918-5In0.51227458700135,752*
1042919-4In0.2725441310000120,106*
1032819-5In0.0421401914110103,739*
1022820-4In0.021833261912089,069*
1012720-5100.0%No113253223330074,293*
1002721-4100.0No010173525750060,705*
992621-5100.0No071036261281048,083*
982622-499.8No0453424191220038,144*
972522-599.5No222919261540028,853*
962523-498.2No1124143219820021,684*
952423-595.2No1016935201441016,026*
942424-489.3No0012534182092011,506*
932324-580.4No0072311624154007,965*
922325-467.7No041241226238105,535*
912225-552.4No30198232915303,747*
902226-434.5No10114193324712,559*
892126-523.8No010212303013201,590*
882127-413.2No1418273519501,079*
872027-56.7No205213627910624*
862028-43.5No102113134183400*
852029-32.6No1172735235231*
841929-4OutNo51433399152*
831829-5OutNo1152261165*
821830-4OutNo827372949*
811831-3OutNo7254614728*
801731-4OutNo142914437*
791631-5OutNo1002
781632-4OutNo50502*
42052-0OutNo100228
Total:99.5%30.5%4914226521000000002,864,136

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas Stars 3 Vegas Golden Knights 4 (so)+0.2
Florida Panthers 3 Colorado Avalanche 2 (ot)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago Blackhawks vs Arizona Coyotes+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
132-146100
131436-31000
130437-21000
129427-31000
128417-410000
127418-310000
126408-4100000
125409-399100
124399-499100
1233910-398100
1223810-4972000
1213811-396301
1203711-494511
1193712-391712
1183612-48791020
1173613-3811320400
1163513-47517305000
1153514-36721507000
1143414-458257010000
1133415-348299013000
1123315-4383312116000
1113215-5283514120000
1103216-420351722510010
1093116-5123318429210100
1083117-472919732410200
1073017-5424189337203000
1063018-421715123311504000
1052918-511212152916807000
1042919-4079162321121100000
1032819-50451615241721311100
1022820-40231592422416310200
1012720-51112421238175303000
1002721-40192162214178705000
992621-5006010171914131118110
982622-40040511229151721012000
972522-502027235152151234000
962523-411320212221013680200
952423-50101151819151110122410
942424-400011051420711174920
932324-5000702922313168145100
922325-400415201111213209200
912225-530217078152118720
902226-41011004315192415610
892126-50010211112242312410
882127-41410862024221040
872027-5200541321281882
862028-41020415242819711
852029-311372220251560
841929-412101924331011
831829-56173722118
821830-46683127184
811831-341132251874
801731-41414291429
791631-55050
781632-45050
42052-0100
Total:31189516642411010000000000000000