How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Florida Panthers 3 Colorado Avalanche 2 (ot)-0.8
-0.2
-0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 Winnipeg Jets 3 -0.6
-0.0
Dallas Stars 3 Vegas Golden Knights 4 (so)-0.5
+0.2
Los Angeles Kings 2 Carolina Hurricanes 1 (so)-0.3
San Jose Sharks 0 Ottawa Senators 2 +0.3
-0.1
Montreal Canadiens 2 Edmonton Oilers 4 -0.2
Calgary Flames 3 Vancouver Canucks 10 -0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers+0.4*-0.1*+0.0-0.3*-0.3-0.3
San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild+0.1*-0.1*-0.2-0.5*-0.3*+0.0
St. Louis Blues vs Buffalo Sabres-0.1*-0.2*+0.0*-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Chicago Blackhawks vs Arizona Coyotes-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado Avalanche finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
125-143InYes100250*
124438-3In84.0%8441225*
122-123In96.3100160*
121419-4In89.2937185*
120409-5In90.49614322*
1194010-4In84.99307576*
1183910-5In78.1881110968*
1173911-4In70.98421401,575*
1163811-5In62.67731912,481*
1153812-4In52.77142413,853*
1143712-5In42.06253125,909*
1133713-4In32.154736038,636*
1123613-5In24.0477400512,416*
1113614-4In15.93894508017,339*
1103514-5In9.5291049011023,614*
1093515-4In5.22111521160031,877*
1083415-5In2.514105322100041,487*
1073416-4In1.1995132700051,690*
1063316-5In0.4694653401064,549*
1053216-6In0.1374084001078,642*
1043217-5In0.01533104713093,234*
1033117-6100.0%0.0142413522400108,245*
1023118-5100.0No031614555700123,116*
1013018-6100.0No0210145491000136,238*
1003019-5100.0No0161350151410147,824*
992919-699.9No00311422219200156,669*
982920-599.6No0193329235000163,601*
972820-698.7No00062334279100165,417*
962821-596.7No00414362814300166,554*
952721-692.5No00283527207100161,445*
942722-585.1No001431232612200155,086*
932622-674.6No001225182919510145,374*
922623-561.1No01191229271020132,972*
912523-646.1No00147253218400119,237*
902524-532.2No00104193425810104,536*
892424-620.1No00621231321420090,604*
882425-511.4No0041725362250076,596*
872325-65.9No0204183629101063,025*
862326-52.8No102123136162051,465*
852226-61.2No001725382450040,896*
842227-50.5No000418383191031,691*
832127-60.2No001113338141024,026*
822128-50.1No00172741223017,706*
812028-60.0No0032041296012,914*
802029-5OutNo021439361009,513*
791929-6OutNo01833431516,624*
781930-5OutNo0528452014,432*
771830-6OutNo0220472923,076*
761831-5OutNo114423752,025*
751731-6OutNo019414361,279*
741732-5OutNo07344811771*
731632-6OutNo03285711472*
721633-5OutNo1225917276*
711533-6OutNo1195624175*
701534-5OutNo1115830124*
691434-6OutNo2544454*
681435-5OutNo3475034*
671436-4OutNo287218*
661235-7OutNo20805*
651135-8OutNo25754*
631137-6OutNo1001
35054-0OutNo100228
Total:76.5%0.8%22952116121097431002,864,136

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida Panthers 3 Colorado Avalanche 2 (ot)+0.2
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 Winnipeg Jets 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago Blackhawks vs Arizona Coyotes+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
125-143100
124438-384412
123428-4955
122418-5973
121419-48947
120409-590514
1194010-485807
1183910-578101110
1173911-471132140
1163811-563153191
1153812-45318402401
1143712-54220503102
1133713-432226036003
1123613-524237040105
1113614-4162281441080
1103514-5920914730110
1093515-451682474116000
1083415-53127346720210000
1073416-41863411030270000
1063316-50554331350330010
1053216-60334251580391010
1043217-5012416161014421300
1033117-6011391511147524000
1023118-5002412123468507000
1013018-60011910441139010000
1003019-50010585321815014010
992919-6000035621212111712000
982920-5000136122226320350000
972820-600001551827721680100
962821-500032132412199141300
952721-6000208191614131826100
942722-50001041219815205123000
932622-60001027194141910186100
922623-50001316110141523123000
912523-600011307817232082000
902524-500190431519251661000
892424-6000602111122524135100
882425-5000410761827221131000
872325-600200421123272092000
862326-501002151525271772000
852226-60010271827251441000
842227-50000131022292210300
832127-6000014142628187100
822128-5000027182826144100
812028-60003102429221020
802029-50151627281661
791929-600282229251030
781930-501413283018510
771830-60282030271020
761831-50141230291941
751731-6018213225102
741732-50041527272051
731632-601927352070
721633-5316363483
711533-61122933223
701534-551939316
691434-67483311
681536-36413518
671436-465639
661235-7204040
651135-82575
631137-6100
35054-0100
Total:11116432147968464554322111000000