How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Detroit Red Wings 1 St. Louis Blues 2 (ot)-0.4
-0.7
-0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 Winnipeg Jets 3 +0.2
+0.1
Columbus Blue Jackets 2 Arizona Coyotes 5 +0.2
New York Rangers 4 New Jersey Devils 3 (ot)*-0.1
Boston Bruins 2 New York Islanders 4 *-0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)*-0.1
Dallas Stars 3 Vegas Golden Knights 4 (so)+0.2
San Jose Sharks 0 Ottawa Senators 2 -0.2
-0.1
Calgary Flames 3 Vancouver Canucks 10 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0*-0.0+0.3
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
St. Louis Blues vs Buffalo Sabres+0.1*+0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.1
Chicago Blackhawks vs Arizona Coyotes-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.1*+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit Red Wings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
128-144InYes100267*
127437-3In97.7%98243*
125-126InYes100232*
124418-4In97.69900247*
123419-3In96.5982458*
122409-4In94.39802848*
121399-5In92.797121,433*
1203910-4In89.395142,328*
1193810-5In86.794143,654*
1183811-4In79.6912705,721*
1173711-5In72.7883908,610*
1163712-4In64.984412012,629*
1153612-5In55.679516017,641*
1143613-4In46.0737190024,078*
1133513-5In36.0669240032,057*
1123514-4In26.55812300041,741*
1113414-5In18.25114340053,319*
1103415-4In11.743164100066,423*
1093315-5In6.634184611081,068*
1083316-4In3.427195211095,764*
1073216-5In1.52019563300111,582*
1063217-4In0.61319585400126,288*
1053117-5In0.2918599600139,235*
1043118-4In0.05165713900151,327*
1033018-5In0.031352191200160,733*
1023019-4In0.0111442617110166,276*
1012919-5InNo18353221210169,589*
1002920-4100.0%No062538244300167,830*
992820-5100.0No0417402694000162,512*
982821-4100.0No0210402614600153,706*
972721-599.9No02537242291000143,908*
962722-499.5No01233193012200131,124*
952622-598.8No01271438145100117,014*
942623-496.8No0021943158300102,424*
932523-592.9No0016545141261087,435*
922524-486.5No001124512161130072,846*
912424-577.1No0081419181661059,890*
902425-465.2No005036618211120048,599*
892325-551.3No03030415261850038,095*
882326-439.0No2025211252591029,464*
872226-526.7No10181723301730022,155*
862227-417.6No1130417322571016,182*
852127-511.6No09021231311220011,783*
842128-47.2No06017263619408,354*
832028-53.8No03041937288105,844*
822029-42.1No20213323513304,000*
811929-51.4No1017283721502,728*
801930-40.4No00052038279101,661*
791830-50.1No0113343614201,100*
781831-40.2No0182341235650*
771731-5OutNo00620362981427*
761732-4OutNo2143533162255*
751632-5OutNo1103837122149*
741633-4OutNo12738241071*
731533-5OutNo1247311058*
721433-6OutNo452331127*
711434-5OutNo141464714*
701334-6OutNo86147*
691335-5OutNo67333*
681336-4OutNo50502*
38053-0OutNo100228
Total:94.6%3.5%1082719111243221000002,864,136

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit Red Wings 1 St. Louis Blues 2 (ot)+0.2
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 Winnipeg Jets 3 -0.1
San Jose Sharks 0 Ottawa Senators 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
128-144100
127437-3982
125-126100
124418-498200
123419-39722
122409-494302
121399-593512
1203910-489614
1193810-587814
1183811-48012270
1173711-5731530900
1163712-46519401200
1153612-55623501600
1143613-446277019000
1133513-536309023100
1123514-4263211128100
1113414-5183313132300
1103415-41231142365000
1093315-572814438810100
1083316-4323145391310100
1073216-52181273719302000
1063217-41131093226504000
1053117-5087102632806000
1043118-405511193812181000
1033018-5033101240163102000
1023019-4012963819713410100
1012919-5117332201313720100
1002920-400512418191312402000
992820-5004016142610168140000
982821-4002010103162012251000
972721-5002055323201666310000
962722-4001023301181713652000
952622-501126013162268411000
942623-400021091330411623000
932523-500016058372127552000
922524-4000110254011161084100
912424-500081239094141084100
902425-400501350621591293100
892325-50030030041147151593100
882326-420024201141218168200
872226-5100180107281822167200
862227-411300414122223145100
852127-5090201717252211410
842128-40601003112227208200
832028-503001515252716510
822029-420002819282511300
811929-51001312243019720
801930-40000161830261341
791830-50013102131231010
781831-400171227301751
771731-50492427231020
761732-40314323116410
751632-53112631236
741633-4141518351771
731533-523133295
721433-67523344
711434-577213629
701334-6434314
691335-53367
681336-45050
38053-0100
Total:3744111671256582211111110000000000