How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 Winnipeg Jets 3 +0.9
+0.1
Columbus Blue Jackets 2 Arizona Coyotes 5 +0.6
New York Rangers 4 New Jersey Devils 3 (ot)-0.4
Boston Bruins 2 New York Islanders 4 -0.2
Los Angeles Kings 2 Carolina Hurricanes 1 (so)*-0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)*-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
Detroit Red Wings 1 St. Louis Blues 2 (ot)*+0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers+3.5+3.3+3.3-0.5-0.7-4.4
+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.4
St. Louis Blues vs Buffalo Sabres+0.3*+0.0*-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto Maple Leafs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
123-139InYes100243*
122427-3In93.8%94616*
121417-4InYes10031*
120418-3In86.7951475*
119408-4In91.9973148*
118409-3In79.79127301*
117399-4In75.29028521*
116389-5In67.286590856*
1153810-4In56.580515001,405*
1143710-5In48.874719002,477*
1133711-4In36.966102313,904*
1123611-5In27.5591128015,613*
1113612-4In18.8511335018,434*
1103512-5In11.341164002012,292*
1093513-4In6.2331746140017,497*
1083413-5In3.4251849160023,860*
1073414-4In1.4181753390032,153*
1063314-5In0.51217534130042,114*
1053315-4In0.2715527170053,411*
1043215-5In0.04134811230167,002*
1033216-4In0.021041152811081,038*
1023116-5In0.01833203423096,562*
1013117-4100.0%No062523384400111,809*
1003017-5100.0No041725417700127,307*
993018-4100.0No02102540131000140,439*
982918-599.9No01623372013100152,903*
972919-499.8No01320302717200161,416*
962819-599.2No01152335204100167,456*
952820-498.0No00121540238200170,234*
942720-595.3No0089422313410168,106*
932620-690.3No00654221188100163,749*
922621-582.6No004239172114400155,571*
912521-671.6No0021341223207100143,637*
902522-558.5No010288212613300131,260*
892422-644.7No010224172920610116,530*
882423-531.9No0001721329271010101,780*
872323-621.2No00121825331730086,728*
862324-513.5No0090419342571072,441*
852224-68.0No0602133232122058,846*
842225-54.6No0401827372040047,134*
832226-42.6No200420382781036,873*
822126-51.4No010021334341320028,553*
812127-40.6No101828372140021,109*
802027-50.3No000421382881015,707*
792028-40.1No002133534132011,261*
781928-50.0No0018293820307,901*
771929-40.0No005224026615,349*
761829-5OutNo021536341113,626*
751830-4OutNo1831381932,423*
741730-5OutNo0524422541,486*
731731-4OutNo021841318943*
721631-5OutNo112393810595*
711632-4OutNo07343920347*
701532-5OutNo5194829183*
691432-6OutNo1185230120*
681534-3OutNo17404360*
671333-6OutNo9523933*
661334-5OutNo4435223*
651335-4OutNo14867*
641336-3OutNo29717*
35-63OutNo100231*
Total:77.3%0.4%2310101520108874210002,864,136

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 Winnipeg Jets 3 -0.2
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)+0.1
San Jose Sharks 0 Ottawa Senators 2 +0.0
Detroit Red Wings 1 St. Louis Blues 2 (ot)*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers-0.6-0.6-0.6+0.1+0.2+0.8
St. Louis Blues vs Buffalo Sabres-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
123-139100
122427-3946
121417-4100
120418-387814
119408-49253
118409-3801127
117399-4751428
116389-56719590
1153810-457245015000
1143710-549257019000
1133711-43730902301
1123611-5283211127101
1113612-4193212132301
1103512-511301423640200
1093513-462614438814000
1083413-53221353712106000
1073414-41171173518309000
1063314-51119830234013000
1053315-4076923297016100
1043215-50449163210120201
1033216-4022893213324410100
1023116-5011742914526820200
1013117-40152231492514404000
1003017-5003116121321207060000
993018-400201081615251219100
982918-5001055189281631121000
972919-4001033174261981252000
962819-501114221201511940100
952820-400011015172391371200
942720-500080912306179441000
932620-600050573431710872000
922621-5000424351158131051000
912521-60002123201251812105100
902522-5010127083191215104100
892422-60100220411781717103100
882423-500001702012514211793000
872323-600012108291923167200
862324-5000900414142324145100
852224-600600202818262312310
842225-50401003112327208200
832226-42000015152627165100
822126-50100002820292311300
812127-410001312252919810
802027-50001718292614410
792028-40003112331229100
781928-5001516292816410
771929-40000210233223820
761829-501515303015400
751830-40028233224910
741730-50151531311530
731731-4011122372160
721631-515183629101
711632-402143231173
701532-5252236305
691432-631444308
681534-35374217
671434-46363324
661334-5264826
651335-48614
641336-34357
631236-4100
35-58100
Total:01123737697144635333332211000000