How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)+0.6
+2.0
+0.2
Columbus Blue Jackets 2 Arizona Coyotes 5 +0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 Winnipeg Jets 3 +0.1
Dallas Stars 3 Vegas Golden Knights 4 (so)+0.3
San Jose Sharks 0 Ottawa Senators 2 -0.3
Calgary Flames 3 Vancouver Canucks 10 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago Blackhawks vs Arizona Coyotes-0.2-0.3-0.2+0.4*+0.2+0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh Penguins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
128-146In99.8%100873*
127408-3In99.51000592*
126398-4In99.610001,032*
125399-3In98.810001,724*
124389-4In98.19912,928*
1233810-3In96.99914,519*
1223710-4In95.79826,912*
1213711-3In93.3972010,519*
1203611-4In90.4973014,759*
1193511-5In86.5955020,855*
1183512-4In81.2937029,152*
1173412-5In75.0919038,431*
1163413-4In66.98712050,128*
1153313-5In58.38316162,942*
1143314-4In48.37821177,943*
1133214-5In38.7722610093,680*
1123215-4In29.36632200109,226*
1113115-5In20.65938300124,784*
1103116-4In13.65144500139,950*
1093016-5In8.243507000152,314*
1083017-4In4.335559100162,770*
1072917-5In2.02759121100169,696*
1062918-4In0.82061163100172,175*
1052818-5In0.314601952000171,566*
1042819-4In0.19582184000166,726*
1032719-5In0.055322136000159,081*
1022720-4In0.034621199110147,528*
1012620-5100.0%No1381925131200134,535*
1002621-4100.0No1301530183300119,853*
992521-5100.0No0221133216610104,754*
982522-499.9No0157332310101089,066*
972422-599.7No01043022151530074,311*
962423-499.2No06225192021710060,788*
952323-597.9No031181523261220047,888*
942324-494.9No10129242819510038,061*
932224-589.3No107521282692028,845*
922225-480.4No0431724331540021,722*
912125-567.4No0211218352481015,972*
902126-451.9No01071132321330011,539*
892026-535.7No00472536226108,023*
882027-422.2No002317333211205,534*
871927-514.1No0012122935184003,838*
861928-45.9No0152238258102,373*
851828-52.9No00312353513201,612*
841829-41.2No11026382050990*
831729-50.5No13203830810557*
821730-4OutNo1103537143353*
811630-5OutNo1633352240236*
801631-4OutNo1216413183118*
791531-5OutNo7234816556*
781532-4OutNo81250198426*
771432-5OutNo12412418617*
761433-4OutNo656281118*
751333-5OutNo25758*
741334-4OutNo2060205*
731234-5OutNo5025254*
44-72OutNo100229*
Total:98.6%12.5%29371096332100000002,864,136

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)-0.4
New York Rangers 4 New Jersey Devils 3 (ot)+0.1
Boston Bruins 2 New York Islanders 4 +0.0
MondayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
129-146100
128407-4991
127408-39900
126398-410000
125399-39910
124389-49811
1233810-39721
1223710-49632
1213711-393420
1203611-490630
1193511-587950
1183512-48112700
1173412-57516900
1163413-4672012000
1153313-5582516000
1143314-4483021010
1133214-539342511000
1123215-429373022000
1113115-521383543000
1103116-414373864100
1093016-5835401161000
1083017-443040167210000
1072917-5225362384101000
1062918-4119312997301000
1052818-501325368105020000
1042819-409184071481300000
1032719-50512415171125100000
1022720-4037393181457210100
1012620-51435117151095102000
1002621-41228114141699303000
992521-5012101111228135151100
982522-40015077266188282100
972422-50010044263191151153000
962423-40062223118119121061100
952323-503111801491410151022000
942324-410012096187211364100
932224-5100705318424141282000
922225-400432162221221116200
912125-5002111111882714125100
902126-4010070114291317114100
892026-50004071249191912410
882027-40023017515232111300
871927-500120122102126178200
861928-40151513272516610
851828-500328182725134000
841829-4103132428181020
831729-51051426271781
821730-4172131211441
811630-541225282552
801631-471927241472
791531-542332251322
781532-44831271984
771432-56629242466
761433-4115022666
751333-5252550
741334-420204020
731234-52575
721235-4100
44051-0100
Total:12161918465523112211000000000000000