How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose Sharks 0 Ottawa Senators 2 -3.1
-0.9
-0.4
Dallas Stars 3 Vegas Golden Knights 4 (so)-0.5
+0.2
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 Winnipeg Jets 3 -0.4
Los Angeles Kings 2 Carolina Hurricanes 1 (so)-0.3
-0.0
Montreal Canadiens 2 Edmonton Oilers 4 -0.2
-0.0
Calgary Flames 3 Vancouver Canucks 10 -0.1
-0.1
-0.0
Florida Panthers 3 Colorado Avalanche 2 (ot)*+0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (ot)*-0.1
Detroit Red Wings 1 St. Louis Blues 2 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild+3.0+2.8+2.8-1.5-1.4-5.3
+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.2-0.5
+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.5
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers+0.4*+0.1*+0.2-0.4*-0.3-0.3
+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
St. Louis Blues vs Buffalo Sabres-0.1*-0.1*-0.1+0.3*+0.1+0.1
Chicago Blackhawks vs Arizona Coyotes-0.0*-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose Sharks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
124-143In99.7%100305*
123428-4In95.498287*
122429-3In96.09811126*
121419-4In93.59820261*
1204110-3In90.29550489*
1194010-4In86.99361807*
1183910-5In81.590911,375*
1173911-4In73.0851312,185*
1163811-5In64.3801833,544*
1153812-4In54.07223405,266*
1143712-5In45.167286007,983*
1133713-4In34.7583480011,508*
1123613-5In24.94940110016,067*
1113614-4In17.34144141022,295*
1103514-5In10.431481821029,952*
1093515-4In5.7235122410039,263*
1083415-5In2.816512562050,057*
1073416-4In1.21048271040061,855*
1063316-5In0.4644281560076,067*
1053317-4In0.13382622900089,976*
1043217-5In0.0232232813110105,692*
1033117-6100.0%0.01251934182200120,402*
1023118-5In0.0019143822440134,429*
1013018-6100.0No013939258600146,307*
1003019-5100.0No08537261310100155,894*
992919-699.9No05332241815200162,865*
982920-599.6No031262124205000167,136*
972820-698.8No20201529249100166,474*
962821-596.8No101410312715300162,799*
952721-692.8No00963027216100155,922*
942722-585.6No005326242712200147,263*
932622-675.4No003121193119510135,416*
922623-561.4No0201513312710200121,388*
912523-646.4No010108273217400107,606*
902524-532.3No007521342581093,459*
892424-620.1No00421432321420078,955*
882425-511.4No0021826362150065,681*
872325-65.6No0104193529910053,047*
862326-52.6No0102123136162042,133*
852226-61.1No000172538245032,925*
842227-50.5No00031838319125,112*
832127-60.1No002123338141018,931*
822128-50.1No00072741213014,004*
812028-6OutNo03204229609,880*
802029-50.0No002143936906,950*
791929-6OutNo01934421504,749*
781930-5OutNo0427462213,274*
771931-4OutNo0319472922,266*
761831-5OutNo115443731,382*
751832-4OutNo1942426883*
741732-5OutNo0536518509*
731632-6OutNo5295115310*
721633-5OutNo2166121169*
711533-6OutNo146125111*
701534-5OutNo17434154*
691434-6OutNo762425*
681435-5OutNo435723*
671537-2OutNo67339*
661437-3OutNo50502*
651236-6OutNo1002*
35-63OutNo100230*
Total:79.9%1.2%3117161013111086421002,864,136

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose Sharks 0 Ottawa Senators 2 +0.8
Montreal Canadiens 2 Edmonton Oilers 4 +0.1
Calgary Flames 3 Vancouver Canucks 10 +0.1
Los Angeles Kings 2 Carolina Hurricanes 1 (so)+0.1
Dallas Stars 3 Vegas Golden Knights 4 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild-0.5-0.5-0.5+0.3+0.2+0.9
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
126-143100
125448-2964
124438-3100
123428-49522
122429-396211
121419-493520
1204110-390450
1194010-487661
1183910-582891
1173911-473121301
1163811-564151703
1153812-4541823040
1143712-545222716000
1133713-435233318000
1123613-5252438211000
1113614-4172340414110
1103514-51021426171210
1093515-46174192024100
1083415-531337132236020
1073416-41931172251004000
1063316-50625202081506000
1053317-4031721161021190000
1043217-50211211112271121110
1033117-601619712304162202000
1023118-50031631031719340400
1013018-60112182811196706000
1003019-5018052215171012090100
992919-600503151712121711412000
982920-50030191771422317250000
972820-6020041531223619590100
962821-5010212192110189141300
952721-6001806161414131926100
942722-50005031015915226123000
932622-60003016154152111176100
922623-50020031221215162312300
912523-600101908918232082000
902524-50006054171925166100
892424-6000402112122524134100
882425-5000201086192722113100
872325-60010043112327199200
862326-50100215152527176100
852226-6000102818282514410
842227-50000031022282210300
832127-6000015142628187100
822128-5000002719292513410
812028-600311243020920
802029-50001616282716510
791929-6012102230231020
781930-501514283017510
771931-40282033251020
761831-5131629291840
751832-40110213324910
741732-5041330331630
731632-62930292270
721633-55213328113
711533-62142935182
701534-5152231229
691434-612364012
681435-513135717
671436-411333322
661437-35050
651236-65050
35-63100
Total:12564310664857463543221110000000