How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 Winnipeg Jets 3 +5.3
+0.3
Dallas Stars 3 Vegas Golden Knights 4 (so)-1.1
Los Angeles Kings 2 Carolina Hurricanes 1 (so)-0.5
Montreal Canadiens 2 Edmonton Oilers 4 -0.4
San Jose Sharks 0 Ottawa Senators 2 +0.4
Calgary Flames 3 Vancouver Canucks 10 *-0.1
Detroit Red Wings 1 St. Louis Blues 2 (ot)*+0.1
Florida Panthers 3 Colorado Avalanche 2 (ot)*+0.1
*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers+0.5*+0.2*-0.0-0.4*-0.2-0.4
San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild+0.2-0.5-0.4-0.5*-0.4*+0.1
St. Louis Blues vs Buffalo Sabres-0.1*-0.4*-0.2*+0.2*-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg Jets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
123-137InYes100229*
122425-5In75.0%75254*
120-121In90.010010*
119417-4In82.494617*
118418-3In84.292838*
117397-6In76.8901969*
116398-5In67.88317121*
115399-4In50.9695251228*
114389-5In41.9695261396*
1133810-4In34.85873302728*
1123710-5In23.849103841,167*
1113711-4In15.93810450601,979*
1103611-5In9.729124801003,076*
1093612-4In4.722125111404,672*
1083512-5In2.415115122017,095*
1073513-4In1.01011503250110,452*
1063413-5In0.3594653202014,977*
1053414-4In0.1373983904020,903*
1043314-5In0.01531114416028,170*
1033315-4100.0%No142213493100036,880*
1023215-5100.0No031513495151047,930*
1013216-4100.0No01813479202060,465*
1003116-599.9No014114113263073,894*
993117-499.7No002933183260088,839*
983017-599.0No00162422351010103,537*
972917-697.2No00415243716300119,391*
962918-593.5No0029243524610132,895*
952818-687.0No001421303011200145,975*
942819-577.0No01217243418400157,099*
932719-663.9No000113163426910164,602*
922720-549.2No000910303315300168,138*
912620-634.7No00662436236100169,349*
902621-522.3No00331634311110166,284*
892521-612.9No002110293618300159,749*
882522-56.7No0105223826700149,176*
872422-63.1No00031536331210137,914*
862423-51.4No0001930381830124,102*
852323-60.5No000523402650109,160*
842324-50.2No000216373491094,759*
832224-60.0No001103340151080,251*
822225-50.0No00062642223065,567*
812125-60.0No0032042305053,477*
802126-5OutNo021340379041,976*
792026-6OutNo018344314132,839*
782027-5OutNo005284620124,771*
771927-6OutNo03204827218,653*
761928-5OutNo01144635313,400*
751828-6OutNo110434159,371*
741829-5OutNo06354996,734*
731729-6OutNo033054134,502*
721730-5OutNo022257192,901*
711731-4OutNo011955251,870*
701631-5OutNo01356301,226*
691632-4OutNo095536751*
681532-5OutNo64945490*
671432-6OutNo33859276*
661433-5OutNo43760161*
651434-4OutNo13168110*
641334-5OutNo2336555*
631234-6OutNo277326*
621235-5OutNo198121*
611236-4OutNo20805*
601136-5OutNo33673*
33-59OutNo100231*
Total:45.9%0.1%002288121314141284202,864,136

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 Winnipeg Jets 3 -0.7
Dallas Stars 3 Vegas Golden Knights 4 (so)+0.1
Florida Panthers 3 Colorado Avalanche 2 (ot)*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild-0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
123-137100
122425-57525
121426-4100
120438-18020
119417-482126
118418-38488
117397-6771319
116398-5681517
115399-451185251
114389-542275261
1133810-435237033102
1123710-52425913714
1113711-41622101441060
1103611-5102011246301000
1093612-451710346511400
1083512-52128345722001
1073513-4197440103025001
1063413-50555331350310020
1053414-40335231580371040
1043314-5012415161014221600
1033315-4113814111444310000
1023215-50024111124285014010
1013216-4001179435129020020
1003116-500104652616130251300
993117-4000024516171712926000
983017-5000012481620331510010
972917-600013312195299160300
962918-50002181682313221610
952818-60001041110151526311200
942819-500102611816267185100
932719-600000139313211224102000
922720-500001719141627185100
912620-6001505717252512310
902621-500030331318282082000
892521-600020119102527176100
882522-5001000551728251451000
872422-600000229212822113000
862423-5000001041324281982000
852323-6000016162727165100
842324-50000029202924123100
832224-6000014122529208200
822225-5000016172827155100
812125-60000210233023102000
802126-50014152729186100
792026-6002821302511300
782027-501413273019610
771927-601720312712200
761928-5000412273219510
751828-600172133271020
741829-5031329321840
731729-601823342581
721730-503163332142
711731-4292835224
701631-5152238278
691632-4316314010
681532-517314318
671432-614244428
661433-54144735
651434-42134639
641334-5224255
631234-64654
621235-53367
611236-42080
601136-53367
33-59100
Total:0000111153537585887665432211000