How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Dallas Stars 3 Vegas Golden Knights 4 (so)-0.5
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 Winnipeg Jets 3 -0.5
Los Angeles Kings 2 Carolina Hurricanes 1 (so)-0.4
Montreal Canadiens 2 Edmonton Oilers 4 -0.4
San Jose Sharks 0 Ottawa Senators 2 +0.3
Calgary Flames 3 Vancouver Canucks 10 -0.1
Florida Panthers 3 Colorado Avalanche 2 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers+0.4*-0.1*+0.1-0.3-0.7-0.3
San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild*-0.1*-0.1-0.3-0.4*-0.2+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim Ducks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
115-133InYes100232*
114407-5In57.1%86147*
113397-6In38.5772313*
112387-7In37.959311029*
111399-4In14.147475264*
110389-5In15.132481721126*
1093810-4In6.527492211216*
1083710-5In4.923492332366*
1073711-4In2.6154429840626*
1063611-5In0.674429146001,030*
1053612-4In0.5640261890101,747*
1043512-5In0.02322722141102,781*
1033513-4InNo1262128191304,308*
1023413-5In0.00191532253506,608*
1013313-6100.0%No01210342869109,456*
1003314-599.9No085312811142013,606*
993214-699.7No0532726152050018,599*
983215-598.9No212021212681025,673*
973115-697.2No1014152329143033,977*
963116-593.7No1099233121610044,475*
953016-686.8No00552028291120055,549*
943017-576.8No00321623331841069,172*
932917-663.4No0111116342692083,140*
922918-548.0No0107103032164097,814*
912818-633.4No000046233524710113,918*
902819-520.8No000231633311320128,485*
892719-611.7No00119273621400141,621*
882720-55.9No0105203629810152,956*
872620-62.6No00021333361410161,443*
862621-51.0No0001826402230167,476*
852521-60.4No0004194030600168,905*
842522-50.1No00021337381010166,995*
832422-60.0No001831431510162,476*
822423-50.0No000424462230154,053*
812323-60.0No00218453050142,778*
802324-5OutNo0112423780129,900*
792224-6OutNo0073643120114,953*
782225-50.0No00043047181100,029*
772125-6OutNo02234825284,751*
762126-5OutNo01174732370,350*
752026-6OutNo01114340557,744*
742027-5OutNo073847745,413*
731927-6OutNo0533511135,643*
721928-5OutNo0325561627,416*
711828-6OutNo0120572220,030*
701829-5OutNo114572715,045*
691729-6OutNo010553510,551*
681730-5OutNo0750437,450*
671630-6OutNo0446505,068*
661631-5OutNo0340573,337*
651632-4OutNo0134652,196*
641532-5OutNo126731,323*
631432-6OutNo12475840*
621433-5OutNo02080481*
611333-6OutNo2080289*
601334-5OutNo1684161*
591335-4OutNo793107*
581235-5OutNo99153*
571236-4OutNo148637*
29-56OutNo100249*
Total:16.0%0.0%000113471013182015722,864,136

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas Stars 3 Vegas Golden Knights 4 (so)+0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 1 Winnipeg Jets 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
115-133100
114407-5572914
113397-6383823
112387-738213110
111399-4143342552
110389-515174721721
1093810-462040921111
1083710-5518371220332
1073711-43133113254840
1063611-51727172261406000
1053612-416202018818080010
1043512-50213191512221141110
1033513-41818912262181130
1023413-5004155112842233050
1013313-6021128267226609010
1003314-501715211119911014020
993214-600403141314121511915000
983215-502017128121922328010
973115-6010041041119424514030
963116-501018181762192116100
953016-6000504128161227211200
943017-50003027991427618510
932917-6001014841224102510200
922918-5001001629161428185100
912818-60000014059152725123000
902819-500002034122029208200
892719-600010118122628166100
882720-500100056182824134100
872620-6000002210232822103000
862621-500000114142628187200
852521-60000017182826144100
842522-500000310222923103000
832422-6000014142629186100
822423-5000027193026133000
812323-6000031125302182000
802324-5001617292815410
792224-60002102431229200
782225-50001516292915410
772125-60002102331238200
762126-5001516302915400
752026-600210243223810
742027-50151831291330
731927-60021127332050
721928-50016203428101
711828-6003133034173
701829-50182637235
691729-60041837329
681730-500213333814
671630-6017284321
661631-5004214629
651632-403164437
641532-51113949
631432-6073558
621433-5033364
611333-633067
601334-551976
591335-41585
581235-5991
571236-41684
29-56100
Total:0000001111112243577889987643210