Oakland Athletics Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Lost to Minnesota 0-4, playoff odds down 0.8 to 1.4%

22-29 .431

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Minnesota 4 Oakland 0	-0.4		-0.2
Cleveland 3 Kansas City 6	+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kansas City vs Oakland	-0.3+0.4		-0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Oakland finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

99	-134				In		100																181	*
98		76	-	36	In					100													1
97		75	-	37	In			50		50													2
96		74	-	38	In		33	33		33													3
95		73	-	39	In		44	11		44													9
94		72	-	40	In		45	9		45													11
93		71	-	41	In		16	24	2	56	2												45
92		70	-	42	In		12	24	3	59	1												90
91		69	-	43	In		8	16	7	62	5	1											154
90		68	-	44	In		5	13	6	67	10	1											326
89		67	-	45	In		2	9	6	63	18	2											657
88		66	-	46	99.3	%	0	3	6	57	29	5	1										1,229
87		65	-	47	97.4			2	4	40	39	12	3	0									2,240
86		64	-	48	91.8			0	2	24	40	25	7	1	0								3,863
85		63	-	49	79.4			0	1	10	31	37	17	3	0								6,253
84		62	-	50	59.2			0	1	4	19	36	29	10	1	0							10,237
83		61	-	51	34.2			0	0	1	8	25	36	23	6	1	0						15,652
82		60	-	52	14.7			0	0	0	2	12	31	33	17	4	0	0					23,312
81		59	-	53	4.6				0	0	0	4	18	34	30	12	2	0	0				33,312
80		58	-	54	1.0				0	0	0	1	7	24	35	24	7	1	0				46,184
79		57	-	55	0.2				0		0	0	2	12	30	34	18	4	0				61,377
78		56	-	56	0.0				0			0	0	4	18	35	30	10	1	0			79,116
77		55	-	57	0.0				0			0	0	1	9	27	38	21	4	0			98,313
76		54	-	58	0.0							0	0	0	3	17	38	33	9	0			117,439
75		53	-	59	Out								0	0	1	8	30	43	18	0			135,351
74		52	-	60	Out									0	0	3	20	45	30	1			151,016
73		51	-	61	Out									0	0	1	11	42	43	2			162,408
72		50	-	62	Out										0	0	6	34	55	5			168,074
71		49	-	63	Out										0	0	2	25	63	9			167,602
70		48	-	64	Out										0	0	1	16	68	15			161,096
69		47	-	65	Out											0	0	10	68	22			149,027
68		46	-	66	Out											0	0	6	64	30			133,690
67		45	-	67	Out												0	3	58	39			114,221
66		44	-	68	Out												0	1	50	48			94,592
65		43	-	69	Out													1	42	57			75,600
64		42	-	70	Out													0	34	66			57,835
63		41	-	71	Out													0	27	73			43,255
62		40	-	72	Out													0	20	80			30,592
61		39	-	73	Out													0	15	85			20,972
60		38	-	74	Out														11	89			13,870
59		37	-	75	Out														8	92			8,635
58		36	-	76	Out														5	95			5,249
57		35	-	77	Out														3	97			3,095
56		34	-	78	Out														1	99			1,737
55		33	-	79	Out														1	99			997
54		32	-	80	Out														0	100			472
53		31	-	81	Out														0	100			226
22	-52				Out															100			382	*

Total:					1.4	%	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	10	19	38	18			2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

22	-134

Total: