Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Beat San Diego 8-6, playoff odds up 0.06 to 0.2%

18-32 .360

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cubs 8 San Diego 6			+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Giants vs Cubs	-0.1+0.1		-0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

130		112	-	0	In		100																180
94		76	-	36	In					100													1
93		75	-	37	In		50				50												2
92		74	-	38	In		40		20	40													5
91		73	-	39	In			50	25	25													12
90		72	-	40	In			18	29	29	25												28
89		71	-	41	In		1	4	21	47	21	4											70
88		70	-	42	98.4	%		7	21	33	27	10	2										129
87		69	-	43	94.4			3	15	18	35	23	4	1									250
86		68	-	44	83.9			1	10	12	33	28	13	3									547
85		67	-	45	66.3				5	5	23	34	26	7	1	0							1,001
84		66	-	46	44.9			0	3	2	11	30	34	16	4	0	0						1,848
83		65	-	47	26.1				1	0	5	20	34	28	10	2	0	0					3,180
82		64	-	48	9.9				0	0	1	8	26	35	22	6	1	0					5,303
81		63	-	49	2.4				0	0	0	2	13	30	33	17	4	0	0				8,542
80		62	-	50	0.5				0		0	0	4	18	33	28	12	3	0				13,292
79		61	-	51	0.1				0		0	0	1	8	24	34	24	8	1	0			20,134
78		60	-	52	0.0				0			0	0	2	13	29	34	17	4	0	0		29,592
77		59	-	53	Out								0	1	5	18	33	29	12	2	0		41,576
76		58	-	54	Out								0	0	1	8	25	35	23	7	1		55,869
75		57	-	55	Out									0	0	3	14	32	33	15	2	0	72,733
74		56	-	56	Out									0	0	1	6	23	38	26	6	0	91,393
73		55	-	57	Out										0	0	2	13	34	37	13	0	110,752
72		54	-	58	Out										0	0	1	6	25	43	24	1	129,494
71		53	-	59	Out											0	0	2	16	43	37	2	146,094
70		52	-	60	Out											0	0	1	8	37	50	4	158,444
69		51	-	61	Out												0	0	4	28	60	7	166,316
68		50	-	62	Out													0	2	20	66	13	167,787
67		49	-	63	Out													0	1	12	68	19	163,051
66		48	-	64	Out													0	0	7	66	27	153,491
65		47	-	65	Out														0	4	61	35	139,177
64		46	-	66	Out														0	2	54	44	121,555
63		45	-	67	Out														0	1	46	53	101,970
62		44	-	68	Out															0	38	61	82,753
61		43	-	69	Out															0	31	69	64,390
60		42	-	70	Out															0	24	76	48,728
59		41	-	71	Out															0	18	82	34,602
58		40	-	72	Out															0	14	86	24,256
57		39	-	73	Out															0	10	90	16,397
56		38	-	74	Out																6	94	10,247
55		37	-	75	Out																4	96	6,345
54		36	-	76	Out																3	97	3,747
53		35	-	77	Out																2	98	2,130
52		34	-	78	Out																1	99	1,172
51		33	-	79	Out																0	100	643
50		32	-	80	Out																0	100	337
18	-49				Out																	100	435	*

Total:					0.2	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	9	17	40	22	2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

18	-130

Total: