Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Beat Texas 21-8, playoff odds up 9.2 to 17.5%

23-30 .434

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texas 8 Seattle 21	+1.8		+0.3
Cleveland 3 Kansas City 6	+0.1
Tampa Bay 3 White Sox 4	+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
White Sox vs Seattle	-1.8+2.9		-0.2+0.3
Angels vs Texas	-0.2+0.2
Cleveland vs Minnesota	-0.2+0.2
Detroit vs Yankees	+0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Seattle finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

102	-132				In		100																181	*
101		78	-	31	In		83			17													12
100		77	-	32	In		89	4		7													28
99		76	-	33	In		87			13													45
98		75	-	34	In		68	1		31													113
97		74	-	35	In		61	5		34													246
96		73	-	36	In		51	11	1	38													453
95		72	-	37	In		39	11	0	50													899
94		71	-	38	In		29	12	1	58	0												1,645
93		70	-	39	In		20	12	2	66	1	0											3,042
92		69	-	40	In		11	12	2	72	2	0											5,131
91		68	-	41	In		6	10	3	75	5	0											8,475
90		67	-	42	100.0	%	3	7	4	75	10	1	0										13,441
89		66	-	43	99.9		1	5	4	70	18	2	0	0									20,685
88		65	-	44	99.5		0	3	4	58	29	6	1	0									30,118
87		64	-	45	97.8		0	1	3	42	38	13	2	0	0								42,010
86		63	-	46	92.8		0	0	2	25	40	25	6	1	0								57,311
85		62	-	47	81.8			0	1	12	34	35	15	3	0	0							75,033
84		61	-	48	62.8			0	1	4	21	36	27	9	1	0	0						94,747
83		60	-	49	39.7			0	0	1	10	29	35	20	5	1	0						114,088
82		59	-	50	19.4			0	0	0	3	16	33	31	13	2	0	0					132,623
81		58	-	51	7.3				0	0	1	6	23	36	26	8	1	0					149,973
80		57	-	52	2.0				0	0	0	2	11	30	35	18	4	0	0				161,926
79		56	-	53	0.4				0		0	0	4	18	36	30	10	1	0				168,262
78		55	-	54	0.1				0		0	0	1	8	28	38	21	4	0				169,742
77		54	-	55	0.0							0	0	3	17	38	33	9	1	0			163,646
76		53	-	56	0.0							0	0	1	8	30	41	19	2	0			152,331
75		52	-	57	Out								0	0	3	19	43	30	5	0			137,252
74		51	-	58	Out								0	0	1	10	37	41	11	0			118,939
73		50	-	59	Out									0	0	5	28	47	19	1			98,652
72		49	-	60	Out									0	0	2	18	48	30	2			79,234
71		48	-	61	Out										0	1	10	43	41	5			61,179
70		47	-	62	Out											0	5	35	51	9			45,534
69		46	-	63	Out											0	2	26	57	15			32,680
68		45	-	64	Out											0	1	17	59	23			22,328
67		44	-	65	Out											0	0	11	57	31			14,739
66		43	-	66	Out												0	6	53	41			9,425
65		42	-	67	Out												0	3	44	52			5,873
64		41	-	68	Out													2	36	62			3,474
63		40	-	69	Out													1	30	70			2,009
62		39	-	70	Out													0	23	77			1,131
61		38	-	71	Out													0	16	83			584
60		37	-	72	Out														10	90			311
59		36	-	73	Out														10	90			147
58		35	-	74	Out														4	96			71
57		34	-	75	Out														3	97			29
23	-56				Out															100			203	*

Total:					17.5	%	0	0	0	5	5	7	9	10	12	14	15	13	8	2			2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

23	-132

Total: