Miami Marlins Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Beat Washington 5-3, playoff odds up 5.2 to 47.9%
29-22   .569

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Miami 5 Washington 3 +3.3
+0.3
Giants 1 Arizona 4 +0.4
Atlanta 10 St. Louis 7 -0.4
Colorado 13 Houston 5 +0.2
Pittsburgh 2 Cincinnati 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies vs Miami-3.3+4.5
-0.2+0.3
Giants vs Cubs-0.3+0.5
San Diego vs Arizona+0.2-0.2
Mets vs St. Louis-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
105-140In100255*
10475-36In98298
10374-37In9361166
10273-38In9630385
10172-39In9280730
10071-40In8514011,372
9970-41In8019112,502
9869-42In7324124,332
9768-43In6232347,019
9667-44In523855011,348
9566-45In394399017,356
9465-46In28451412125,689
9364-47In184220182036,772
9263-48100.0%1036252540050,295
9162-49100.0527293081066,961
9061-5099.921830331620084,785
8960-5199.6110273225500103,914
8859-5298.30421273412200123,190
8758-5394.202151837235000140,972
8657-5484.9008103333132000154,873
8556-5568.10442337247100164,324
8455-5646.302112323416300167,378
8354-5725.3010420352810200166,023
8253-5810.500192735216100157,823
8152-593.30003153231153000144,366
8051-600.80001622342610200126,797
7950-610.1000211283320610109,289
7849-620.000041732301330089,008
7748-630.0001824352471070,560
7647-640.00003143133163053,900
7546-65Out00162237277039,150
7445-66Out002123237151028,096
7344-67Out0162441263018,866
7243-68Out021438387012,536
7142-69Out01732451417,868
7041-70Out0322492314,750
6940-71Out113493332,864
6839-72Out06444281,521
6738-73Out03354912854
6637-74Out1255518451
6536-75Out1165330216
6435-76Out12523690
6334-77Out2593946
6233-78Out534717
6132-79Out14867
6031-80Out50504
29-59Out100182*
Total:47.9%258912121211976421002,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
29-140
Total: