San Francisco Giants Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Lost to Arizona 1-4, playoff odds down 6.9 to 44.3%
27-24   .529

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants 1 Arizona 4 -4.3
-0.3
Atlanta 10 St. Louis 7 -0.3
Colorado 13 Houston 5 +0.3
Miami 5 Washington 3 -0.2
Mets 6 Phillies 10 -0.1
Pittsburgh 2 Cincinnati 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants vs Cubs+2.6-4.1
+0.2-0.3
San Diego vs Arizona+0.2-0.2
Houston vs Cincinnati+0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
104-138In100263*
10376-35In991121
10275-36In9622293
10174-37In9343542
10073-38In89641,035
9972-39In839081,929
9871-40In76130113,239
9770-41In661711705,455
9669-42In562112108,972
9568-43In4126329014,157
9467-44In30285371021,118
9366-45In19288433031,217
9265-46100.0%1024114960043,606
9164-47100.05191351111058,393
9063-4899.921215492020075,791
8962-4999.51714432960095,110
8861-5098.00312323713200114,785
8760-5193.80110203924610133,306
8659-5283.9007103333142000149,421
8558-5366.90442236257100160,883
8457-5445.602111313416300166,883
8356-5525.1010419362810200166,963
8255-5611.0010192735206100162,047
8154-573.6000316333114300150,994
8053-581.000172335259100136,154
7952-590.2000212293318510117,283
7851-600.000151833291220098,543
7750-610.00001925352371079,088
7649-62Out003153233153061,250
7548-63Out01622372670045,696
7447-64Out002123236162033,049
7346-65Out0152340274022,933
7245-66Out0213363811015,289
7144-67Out01627452019,935
7043-68Out0218463046,033
6942-69Out110424083,593
6841-70Out043250142,071
6740-71Out22252241,177
6639-72Out0135038620
6538-73Out0114246306
6437-74Out43462157
6336-75Out2267261
6235-76Out257540
27-61Out100199*
Total:44.3%23411121212111086431002,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
27-138
Total: