Oakland Athletics Playoff Chances 2015-2

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 60.3%
5-5   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals vs Athletics-2.5+3.4
-0.2+0.3
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.1+0.2
Astros vs Angels+0.1-0.1
Twins vs Indians+0.0-0.1
Rays vs Yankees-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Athletics finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
111-156In100170,894*
110105-46In100015,607
109104-47In100031,818
108103-48In100062,599
107102-49In1000118,631
106101-50In100000219,890
105100-51In10000394,891
10499-52In99100689,445
10398-53In991001,169,024
10297-54In982001,926,339
10196-55In973003,074,346
10095-56In9550004,776,022
9994-57In9280007,214,981
9893-58In891100010,587,812
9792-59In841500015,094,810
9691-60100.0%7821100020,937,503
9590-61100.07128110028,262,122
9489-62100.062352100037,062,673
9388-63100.051425200047,282,505
9287-64100.0404983000058,711,937
9186-65100.02953134000070,893,681
9085-66100.019532161000083,309,100
8984-6799.8114829920000095,237,482
8883-6899.45403811510000105,987,548
8782-6997.922946129200000114,797,691
8681-7093.91185011155100000121,008,806
8580-7185.1094991911300000124,157,152
8479-7270.30443518199200000123,982,720
8378-7351.001342132318610000120,549,021
8277-7432.4002517202616510000114,097,477
8176-7518.6016021125261440000105,095,273
8075-7610.101000416292612300094,295,530
7974-775.105001720312410200082,302,441
7873-782.402000210243122810069,953,376
7772-791.001000031327311851057,897,685
7671-800.30000015173129143046,639,046
7570-810.1000000182234259136,573,172
7469-820.0000000312293418327,899,133
7368-830.00000015203630820,739,422
7267-840.000000021131391714,989,519
7166-850.0000001523432810,553,481
7065-860.000000021542417,223,357
6964-87Out0001837534,820,068
6863-88Out0000430653,125,247
6762-89Out000223751,973,541
6661-90Out000116821,210,163
6560-91Out0011188724,181
6459-92Out000892419,512
6358-93Out00595238,389
6257-94Out0397131,464
6156-95Out029870,213
6055-96Out019936,577
5954-97Out019918,429
5853-98Out01009,075
5752-99Out01004,350
5651-100Out01002,053
5550-101Out0100892
5449-102Out0100407
5348-103Out199173
5-52Out100157,424*
Total:60.3%1117234666654432211,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Royals vs Athletics+0.5-0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
115-156100
114109-421000
113108-431000
112107-441000
111106-451000
110105-461000
109104-471000
108103-481000
107102-491000
106101-509910
105100-519910
10499-529910
10398-539820
10297-5497300
10196-5595500
10095-56928000
9994-578712100
9893-588117100
9792-59742330000
9691-606430500000
9590-6153371010000
9489-624041163000000
9388-6328412371000000
9287-6417363013310000000
9186-659273321820000000
9085-66416292816610000000
8984-67172029241341000000
8883-6802102127221241010000
8782-69013102126211141200000
8681-7000131019252211351000000
8580-7100002818252291041000000
8479-720000261625201410410000000
8378-730000151728111613620000000
8277-7400001625513181610410000000
8176-7500000217141219201583100000
8075-7600001001381621201362000000
7974-770000500025122023181041000000
7873-7800020000138162222157210000
7772-79001000000151220242011410000
7671-8000000000013817232315720000
7570-8100000000261422241893100
7469-820000000151221262010310
7368-83000000014122227211030
7267-84000000141223282181
7166-85000000015142730184
7065-860000002719322910
6964-8700000311283820
6863-88000015214132
6762-8900002133945
6661-90000173458
6560-9100042769
6459-920022078
6358-930011485
6257-940001090
6156-9500694
6055-960496
5954-970397
5853-98298
5752-990199
5651-1000100
5550-1010100
5449-1020100
5-53100
Total:666666656733333333222221111110