Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Beat Cleveland 6-3, playoff odds up 2.2 to 7.9%
21-28   .429

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cleveland 3 Kansas City 6 +1.3
+0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City vs Oakland+1.0-1.5
+0.2-0.3
Cleveland vs Minnesota-0.1+0.1
Angels vs Texas-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
102-135In100182*
10180-34In50502
10079-35In1001
9978-36In604010
9877-37In653526
9776-38In6333449
9675-39In405235100
9574-40In364969247
9473-41In29519120435
9372-42In165313171835
9271-43In848212111,506
9170-44In5362928202,738
9069-4599.9%22533346004,694
8968-4699.81153535122007,699
8867-4799.40733322151012,298
8766-4897.6032924291220018,149
8665-4991.5012215312371027,007
8564-5077.80015724321840037,964
8463-5156.701021431291220051,341
8362-5232.7061621342481067,321
8261-5314.703011028341950085,231
8160-544.910031633311320104,078
8059-551.31016233625710122,726
7958-560.300021231351730139,371
7857-570.100004203729800152,851
7756-580.000011031391810162,322
7655-590.0000420423040166,530
7554-600.0000111364290164,165
7453-61Out0052750171156,082
7352-62Out0021752282143,399
7251-63Out011047394127,183
7150-64Out00539488108,073
7049-65Out0230551389,620
6948-66Out0121582170,622
6847-67Out0014563154,306
6746-68Out08514040,000
6645-69Out05445128,626
6544-70Out03366119,597
6443-71Out1287112,770
6342-72Out120808,096
6241-73Out014864,988
6140-74Out011892,989
6039-75Out06941,691
5938-76Out496944
5837-77Out397504
5736-78Out298225
5635-79Out199124
21-55Out100283*
Total:7.9%0021234691216211662,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
21-135
Total: