Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Lost to Toronto 1-4, playoff odds down 6.2 to 63.2%
29-22   .569

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto 4 Baltimore 1 -2.8
-0.2
Cleveland 3 Kansas City 6 +0.3
Tampa Bay 3 White Sox 4 +0.3
Texas 8 Seattle 21 -0.2
Boston 6 Detroit 4 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay vs Baltimore-3.1+4.2
-0.2+0.3
Angels vs Texas-0.4+0.4
Cleveland vs Minnesota-0.3+0.4
White Sox vs Seattle+0.1-0.2
Detroit vs Yankees+0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Baltimore finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
108-140In100191*
10778-33In97329
10677-34In98340
10576-35In97392
10475-36In919191
10374-37In919400
10273-38In8713785
10172-39In8119001,444
10071-40In7524002,561
9970-41In6931104,370
9869-42In5939117,461
9768-43In494721011,637
9667-44In41534318,017
9566-45In315775026,489
9465-46In22591180037,589
9364-47In155616130051,468
9263-48100.0%950201910067,626
9162-49100.0541242730085,958
9061-50100.02302634700105,497
8960-51100.011925401310124,945
8859-5299.7010224023400142,279
8758-5398.80516353310100156,020
8657-5495.40210253920400164,638
8556-5587.0005143632112000168,360
8455-5670.80262537226100165,393
8354-5747.701213323315300156,467
8253-5825.300520352810200143,200
8152-5910.30019273522610126,161
8051-603.1000315323215300106,685
7950-610.701621362781087,455
7849-620.1002113036183069,448
7748-630.000419373080052,624
7647-640.0001103139172038,578
7546-65Out0042041305026,858
7445-66Out0111364111018,701
7344-67Out005274819112,136
7243-68Out0218483027,586
7142-69Out110444054,569
7041-70Out05375082,675
6940-71Out032756141,548
6839-72Out1166517817
6738-73Out0116028445
6637-74Out85636185
6536-75Out44156111
6435-76Out524850
6334-77Out267423
6233-78Out386213
6132-79Out1003
6031-80Out50502
290-111Out100180
Total:63.2%31191514121087542102,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
29-140
Total: