New York Yankees Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Beat Angels 6-5, playoff odds up 4.9 to 56.2%
27-23   .540

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Angels 5 Yankees 6 +4.4
+0.3
Cleveland 3 Kansas City 6 +0.4
Texas 8 Seattle 21 -0.2
Tampa Bay 3 White Sox 4 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Yankees-3.3+3.9
-0.2+0.3
Angels vs Texas-0.5+0.5
Cleveland vs Minnesota-0.2+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
107-139In100200*
10679-33In93714
10578-34In94647
10477-35In93773
10376-36In919202
10275-37In8614427
10174-38In841500804
10073-39In7524001,356
9972-40In7128102,586
9871-41In6335114,417
9770-42In54432107,252
9669-43In44504311,614
9568-44In355465017,613
9467-45In2556108026,306
9366-46In175515130037,280
9265-47In105019191051,070
9164-48100.0%640242730067,062
9063-49100.0330263570085,301
8962-50100.011925401310104,867
8861-5199.8010214123400123,621
8760-5298.80415363310100140,858
8659-5395.70210263920400154,421
8558-5487.500514373111200163,417
8457-5571.60262637226100166,516
8356-5649.201214333315300164,533
8255-5727.0005213627910156,681
8154-5811.100110283520500143,279
8053-593.6000316343213200127,126
7952-600.80017233625710107,670
7851-610.2002123235162088,960
7750-620.00052138287070,838
7649-630.0002113238152053,785
7548-64Out0052242264039,837
7447-65Out021338389028,284
7346-66Out006304518119,021
7245-67Out003204728212,852
7144-68Out111434058,208
7043-69Out006374884,928
6942-70Out032854142,945
6841-71Out21958221,674
6740-72Out0145530921
6639-73Out075538498
6538-74Out83656232
6437-75Out33859126
6336-76Out2326656
6235-77Out257524
6134-78Out158513
27-60Out100185*
Total:56.2%28713131211108653102,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
27-139
Total: