Oakland Athletics Playoff Chances 2014-6

Losing to Mariners 0-1 (Top 4th), playoff odds down 0.8 to 91.5%
81-66   .551

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Angels 4 Athletics 0 -0.1
-0.3
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Angels 2 Athletics 0 -0.1
-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Athletics finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9615-0In119814,328
9514-1In0001000112,922
9413-2In0001000435,908
9312-3100.0%00099101,030,131
9211-4100.000097301,650,591
9110-599.4871311,913,545
909-695.76531401,653,861
898-782.5364717001,088,452
887-856.513444120550,278
876-926.6324621100213,146
865-107.40760294062,870
854-111.201384515114,030
843-120.0016423752,295
832-13Out4235320271
821-14Out44350428
810-15Out227692724
Total:91.5%0007318810008,743,380
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Angels 4 Athletics 0 +0.2
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Angels 2 Athletics 0 +0.2
Orioles 3 Twins 2 +0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9615-0254431
9514-103162600
9413-20136321200
9312-3034140142000
9211-4001435331430000
9110-502122933185101
909-60182334236140
898-7001519342041700
887-800031726104220
876-900313116310000
865-1000256127400
854-11001344119400
843-1201030352051
832-13162834245
821-144214332
810-15183347110
Total:021215161513116281000000