American League Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs										Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Texas	2	31	-	20	.608	79	99.4	%	-0.4	71	18	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			1.5	-0.20	4	.579	Texas Rangers
White Sox	2	29	-	22	.569	37	91.7		+2.6	14	31	38	3	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0			3.0	+0.32	8	.541	Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay	2	29	-	22	.569	10	63.8		-4.7	3	10	9	15	14	12	10	8	7	5	3	2	1	0			5.7	-0.34	3	.512	Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore	2	29	-	22	.569	8	63.2		-6.2	3	11	9	15	14	12	10	8	7	5	4	2	1	0			5.8	-0.44	2	.509	Baltimore Orioles
Toronto	2	27	-	24	.529	26	62.6		+4.8	3	10	9	15	14	12	10	9	7	5	4	2	1	0			5.8	+0.33	7	.528	Toronto Blue Jays
Yankees	3	27	-	23	.540	15	56.2		+4.9	2	8	7	13	13	12	11	10	8	6	5	3	1	0			6.2	+0.33	12	.516	New York Yankees

Boston	3	26	-	24	.520	22	53.9		+4.0	2	7	7	12	13	12	11	10	9	7	5	3	1	0			6.4	+0.27	11	.522	Boston Red Sox
Angels	1	26	-	26	.500	8	34.3		-5.2	1	1	1	11	10	11	12	12	12	11	9	7	3	0			7.8	-0.36	23	.510	Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland	3	27	-	23	.540	-24	28.5		-6.0	0	2	6	5	6	8	10	11	12	12	11	9	4	1			8.2	-0.53	15	.474	Cleveland Indians
Detroit	3	23	-	27	.460	-10	19.4		-4.3	0	1	4	3	4	6	8	10	12	14	15	13	7	2			9.1	-0.46	22	.489	Detroit Tigers
Seattle		23	-	30	.434	2	17.5		+9.2	0	0	0	5	5	7	9	10	12	14	15	13	8	2			9.2	+1.08	19	.502	Seattle Mariners
Kansas City	4	21	-	28	.429	-19	7.9		+2.2	0	0	2	1	2	3	4	6	9	12	16	21	16	6			10.5	+0.35	20	.479	Kansas City Royals
Oakland	2	22	-	29	.431	-38	1.4		-0.8	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	10	19	38	18			12.2	-0.41	25	.453	Oakland Athletics
Minnesota	3	18	-	32	.360	-74	0.1		+0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	19	70			13.5	+0.07	28	.423	Minnesota Twins

Wednesday
Angels 5 Yankees 6
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Yankees	+4.4		+0.3
Angels	-4.4		-0.3

Cleveland 3 Kansas City 6
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
White Sox	+0.3
Tampa Bay	+0.2
Baltimore	+0.3
Toronto	+0.3
Yankees	+0.4
Boston	+0.3
Angels	+0.3
Cleveland	-3.7		-0.3
Detroit	+0.3
Seattle	+0.1
Kansas City	+1.3		+0.2
Oakland	+0.1

Tampa Bay 3 White Sox 4
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
White Sox	+1.9		+0.2
Tampa Bay	-3.3		-0.2
Baltimore	+0.3
Toronto	+0.2
Yankees	+0.2
Boston	+0.3
Angels	+0.3
Seattle	+0.1

Toronto 4 Baltimore 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	*-0.1
Baltimore	-2.8		-0.2
Toronto	+3.1		+0.2
Boston	*-0.1

Boston 6 Detroit 4
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
White Sox	+0.1
Baltimore	*-0.1
Toronto	-0.1
Boston	+2.9		+0.2
Angels	-0.2
Detroit	-2.4		-0.2

Texas 8 Seattle 21
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texas	-0.1
Tampa Bay	-0.2
Baltimore	-0.2
Toronto	-0.2
Yankees	-0.2
Boston	-0.3
Detroit	-0.2
Seattle	+1.8		+0.3

Minnesota 4 Oakland 0
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Oakland	-0.4		-0.2
Minnesota			+0.1

Friday
Toronto vs BostonIf winner is:HomeAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Toronto	65.858.3		5.66.1
Boston	50.758.3		6.66.1

Tampa Bay vs BaltimoreHomeAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	66.959.7		5.56.0
Baltimore	60.167.4		6.05.5

Detroit vs YankeesHomeAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
White Sox	91.691.8
Tampa Bay	64.063.7
Baltimore	63.463.1
Toronto	62.862.4
Yankees	52.960.0		6.56.0
Boston	54.153.7
Angels	34.534.2
Detroit	21.816.5		8.89.4
Seattle	17.717.4

Angels vs TexasHomeAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texas	99.299.6		1.51.4
White Sox	91.691.8
Tampa Bay	63.464.2
Baltimore	62.863.6
Toronto	62.263.0
Yankees	55.756.6
Boston	53.554.3
Angels	37.631.2		7.68.1
Cleveland	28.228.8
Detroit	19.219.6
Seattle	17.317.7
Kansas City	7.88.0

Cleveland vs MinnesotaHomeAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
White Sox	91.592.1
Tampa Bay	63.664.2
Baltimore	63.063.7
Toronto	62.463.0
Yankees	55.956.6
Boston	53.754.3
Angels	34.134.7
Cleveland	30.725.0		8.08.5
Detroit	19.219.7
Seattle	17.417.8
Kansas City	7.88.0
Minnesota			13.613.4

White Sox vs SeattleHomeAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
White Sox	92.890.0		2.93.2
Tampa Bay	64.063.6
Baltimore	63.463.0
Toronto	62.862.4
Boston	54.153.6
Angels	34.534.1
Seattle	15.720.4		9.49.0

Kansas City vs OaklandHomeAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
White Sox	91.691.9
Kansas City	8.96.4		10.410.8
Oakland	1.11.8		12.312.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

American League Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

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