Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Beat Baltimore 4-1, playoff odds up 4.8 to 62.6%

27-24 .529

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Toronto 4 Baltimore 1	+3.1		+0.2
Cleveland 3 Kansas City 6	+0.3
Tampa Bay 3 White Sox 4	+0.2
Texas 8 Seattle 21	-0.2
Boston 6 Detroit 4	-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Toronto vs Boston	+3.1-4.3		+0.2-0.3
Angels vs Texas	-0.4+0.4
Cleveland vs Minnesota	-0.2+0.4
White Sox vs Seattle	+0.2-0.3
Detroit vs Yankees	+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

107	-138				In		100																211	*
106		79	-	32	In		96	4															26
105		78	-	33	In		98	2															84
104		77	-	34	In		94	6															152
103		76	-	35	In		89	11															318
102		75	-	36	In		85	14	0														680
101		74	-	37	In		81	19	0	0													1,179
100		73	-	38	In		75	25	0	0													2,252
99		72	-	39	In		69	31	0	0													3,852
98		71	-	40	In		60	38	1	1													6,486
97		70	-	41	In		51	46	2	2													10,658
96		69	-	42	In		42	52	4	3	0												16,259
95		68	-	43	In		32	57	6	5	0												24,548
94		67	-	44	In		23	58	10	8	0												35,194
93		66	-	45	In		16	57	14	13	0	0											48,345
92		65	-	46	In		10	51	19	19	1	0											64,453
91		64	-	47	100.0	%	5	41	23	27	3	0	0										82,485
90		63	-	48	100.0		2	31	26	34	7	0	0	0									102,066
89		62	-	49	100.0		1	19	25	40	13	1	0	0									121,624
88		61	-	50	99.8		0	11	22	41	22	4	0	0									139,786
87		60	-	51	98.9		0	5	16	36	33	10	1	0									154,041
86		59	-	52	95.9		0	2	10	26	39	19	4	0	0	0							163,797
85		58	-	53	88.0			0	5	15	37	31	10	2	0	0							167,955
84		57	-	54	72.2			0	2	6	26	37	22	6	1	0	0						165,965
83		56	-	55	50.3			0	1	2	14	33	33	14	3	0	0	0					158,015
82		55	-	56	27.8			0	0	0	5	22	36	26	9	1	0	0					145,883
81		54	-	57	11.8				0	0	1	10	29	35	19	5	0	0					129,374
80		53	-	58	3.8				0	0	0	4	17	34	31	13	2	0	0				110,791
79		52	-	59	1.0						0	1	7	24	36	24	7	1	0				91,290
78		51	-	60	0.2				0		0	0	2	13	32	35	16	2	0				72,707
77		50	-	61	0.0							0	1	5	22	38	27	7	0	0			55,604
76		49	-	62	Out								0	2	12	32	37	15	1	0			40,996
75		48	-	63	Out								0	0	5	22	41	26	5	0			29,177
74		47	-	64	Out									0	2	13	38	38	10	0			20,072
73		46	-	65	Out								0	0	0	6	29	46	18	1			13,190
72		45	-	66	Out										0	3	19	48	28	2			8,499
71		44	-	67	Out											1	11	43	40	5			5,035
70		43	-	68	Out											0	6	36	49	8			3,098
69		42	-	69	Out											0	3	28	54	15			1,752
68		41	-	70	Out												1	19	57	23			954
67		40	-	71	Out												1	11	56	33			491
66		39	-	72	Out													9	53	38			251
65		38	-	73	Out													4	46	50			110
64		37	-	74	Out													1	39	60			67
63		36	-	75	Out														36	64			28
62		35	-	76	Out														27	73			11
61		34	-	77	Out														20	80			5
27	-60				Out															100			184	*

Total:					62.6	%	3	10	9	15	14	12	10	9	7	5	4	2	1	0			2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

27	-138

Total: