Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Beat Detroit 6-4, playoff odds up 4 to 53.9%
26-24   .520

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Boston 6 Detroit 4 +2.9
+0.2
Cleveland 3 Kansas City 6 +0.3
Tampa Bay 3 White Sox 4 +0.3
Texas 8 Seattle 21 -0.3
Toronto 4 Baltimore 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto vs Boston-3.2+4.4
-0.2+0.3
Angels vs Texas-0.4+0.4
Cleveland vs Minnesota-0.3+0.4
White Sox vs Seattle+0.2-0.3
Detroit vs Yankees+0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
107-138In100185*
10680-32In94616
10579-33In98244
10478-34In92877
10377-35In928154
10276-36In86130309
10175-37In85150648
10074-38In782211,214
9973-39In7128002,136
9872-40In6236113,709
9771-41In5244226,380
9670-42In435043010,154
9569-43In345565015,493
9468-44In25561080023,352
9367-45In16561413033,671
9266-46In105019201046,607
9165-47In54123283062,063
9064-48100.0%330253570079,745
8963-49100.01192441141098,978
8862-5099.8010214123400117,962
8761-5198.8051535331010135,665
8660-5295.5029253920400151,289
8559-5387.200514363211200161,927
8458-5470.90262637236100166,857
8357-5548.901213333315300166,433
8256-5626.700052136279100159,319
8155-5711.0000110283520510148,350
8054-583.4000316343113200131,635
7953-590.800017243625710114,095
7852-600.1002133235162095,038
7751-610.0000522382770075,448
7650-620.0002113338151058,248
7549-63Out0052341264043,044
7448-64Out0021438379031,025
7347-65Out016304517121,638
7246-66Out003204728214,484
7145-67Out0112453849,134
7044-68Out006374975,637
6943-69Out032955133,513
6842-70Out12257191,955
6741-71Out01359281,092
6640-72Out085437553
6539-73Out34750273
6438-74Out35047152
6337-75Out396172
6236-76Out267427
6135-77Out208010
6034-78Out17836
26-59Out100184*
Total:53.9%27712131211109753102,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
26-138
Total: