Detroit Tigers Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Lost to Boston 4-6, playoff odds down 4.3 to 19.4%
23-27   .460

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Boston 6 Detroit 4 -2.4
-0.2
Cleveland 3 Kansas City 6 +0.3
Texas 8 Seattle 21 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Yankees+2.4-2.9
+0.2-0.3
Cleveland vs Minnesota-0.2+0.3
Angels vs Texas-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
102-135In100187*
10178-34In88138
10077-35In871330
9976-36In683250
9875-37In64351136
9774-38In563724307
9673-39In464726613
9572-40In3552491,062
9471-41In265461402,078
9370-42In1653111903,505
9269-43In11481724105,831
9168-44100.0%53923312009,558
9067-45100.0228283650014,891
8966-46100.01183139101022,056
8865-4799.701032371830031,710
8764-4898.504283027910044,571
8663-4994.8012320321851059,820
8562-5085.30171129291220077,942
8461-5167.50124193224810096,518
8360-5244.207192733185000115,514
8259-5323.2040316323013200133,475
8158-549.42017223525810148,854
8057-553.0100211293418400160,425
7956-560.800041835301110166,725
7855-570.20001827382140166,974
7754-580.0000031636341010161,343
7653-590.00001728422020150,164
7552-600.0000318423250134,361
7451-610.000193643110116,890
7350-62Out0004264919196,880
7249-63Out001174930277,932
7148-64Out0194540560,555
7047-65Out00436491045,341
6946-66Out0227541632,943
6845-67Out0118562522,392
6744-68Out012543415,090
6643-69Out0748449,539
6542-70Out0441555,914
6441-71Out232663,481
6340-72Out0128711,977
6239-73Out019801,074
6138-74Out1585541
6037-75Out892306
5936-76Out496136
5835-77Out59562
5734-78Out39732
23-56Out100207*
Total:19.4%01434681012141513722,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
23-135
Total: