Detroit Tigers Playoff Chances 2014-6

Beating Indians 5-4 (Bot 8th), playoff odds down 1.5 to 77.9%
81-66   .551

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
White Sox 1 Tigers 7 +5.5
+0.2
Mariners 3 Nationals 8 +3.5
Royals 1 Indians 6 +1.0
+0.1
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 6 -0.2
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
White Sox 6 Tigers 3 -6.0
-0.2
White Sox 4 Tigers 8 +5.4
+0.2
Mariners 1 Nationals 3 +2.9
Royals 2 Indians 3 +0.5
+0.1
Blue Jays 2 Yankees 0 +0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Tigers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9615-0In055442,796
9514-1In03466024,169
9413-2In0178200127,325
9312-3In079120414,800
9211-499.9%0290620920,355
9110-599.20771011101,488,618
909-694.30551128601,809,801
898-779.103164221001,681,368
887-852.201323745301,206,014
876-923.93020601510668,287
865-106.8006503670283,537
854-111.001264724290,727
843-120.100836461021,167
832-13Out116552803,364
821-14Out1339571314
810-15Out023734738
Total:77.9%01486231831008,743,380
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
White Sox 1 Tigers 7 -0.5
Mariners 3 Nationals 8 -0.1
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
White Sox 6 Tigers 3 +0.5
White Sox 4 Tigers 8 -0.5
Mariners 1 Nationals 3 -0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9615-0053452
9514-103059111
9413-20125528500
9312-303344219200
9211-40123436153000
9110-5021331321640010
909-6002102632205060
898-7001720301932100
887-800041524944400
876-900211105718200
865-100025413912100
854-110011538331110
843-12002163732121
832-130216373590
821-14042039352
810-1522357162
Total:00491214141393174100000