Detroit Tigers Playoff Chances 2015-2

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 81.2%
8-1   .889

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tigers vs White Sox+1.7-2.7
+0.1-0.2
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.2+0.2
Royals vs Athletics-0.1+0.1
Twins vs Indians+0.1-0.1
Rays vs Yankees-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Tigers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
117-160In100162,303*
116108-44In10006,174
115107-45In10013,088
114106-46In100026,851
113105-47In100052,788
112104-48In10000101,698
111103-49In1000188,713
110102-50In10000342,865
109101-51In10000602,739
108100-52In100001,029,063
10799-53In100001,705,673
10698-54In100002,746,635
10597-55In100004,294,665
10496-56In1000006,530,480
10395-57In10000009,658,011
10294-58In99000013,860,296
10193-59In99101019,357,038
10092-60In98101026,272,096
9991-61In96202034,680,535
9890-62In94303044,560,334
9789-63100.0%915040055,679,541
9688-64100.0877060067,686,434
9587-65100.08110090080,050,578
9486-66100.0731411200092,177,990
9385-67100.06319117000103,227,222
9284-68100.051242220000112,538,715
9183-69100.039284281000119,455,186
9082-7099.9273063420000123,391,154
8981-7199.71629939500000124,092,186
8880-7298.992513421110000121,487,503
8779-7396.7418154119300000115,795,209
8678-7490.81111635288100000107,497,705
8577-7578.80614253417400000097,115,961
8476-7659.602111432281120000085,456,856
8375-7736.6018623332271000073,193,955
8274-7817.400521127311851000061,045,394
8173-796.300204153029154100049,594,797
8072-801.90101518312713300039,192,446
7971-810.600001721312511200030,187,322
7870-820.20000029233223920022,623,315
7769-830.10000031226322061016,509,288
7668-840.000000014153030164011,731,283
7567-850.0000000162033271018,112,611
7466-860.000000021027352045,464,317
7365-870.000000014183532103,579,747
7264-88Out00002102940192,282,450
7163-89Out000142143311,419,029
7062-90Out00002134144856,030
6961-91Out000173556504,351
6860-92Out00042868289,201
6759-93Out0022177161,188
6658-94Out001158487,434
6557-95Out01108945,999
6456-96Out0079323,874
6355-97Out0059511,777
6254-98Out03975,698
6153-99Out2982,723
6052-100Out01991,302
5951-101Out298564
5850-102Out199234
8-57Out100157,506*
Total:81.2%3414619964322111001,898,928,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Tigers vs White Sox-0.3+0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-160100
118110-421000
117109-431000
116108-441000
115107-451000
114106-461000
113105-471000
112104-481000
111103-491000
110102-501000
109101-511000
108100-5210000
10799-5310000
10698-5410000
10597-5510000
10496-569910
10395-5799100
10294-5898200
10193-5996400
10092-60946000
9991-61919000
9890-6286131000
9789-63791920000
9688-647026400000
9587-6559337100000
9486-664639132000000
9385-6733412051000000
9284-682138281120000000
9183-69113032196100000000
9082-70519312614410000000
8981-712922292311410000000
8880-72031123272110310100000
8779-73014122226201030300000
8678-740014112025209281000000
8577-7500013918231971551000000
8476-760000026152115191451000000
8375-7700000151318152116831000000
8274-780000141261623201251000000
8173-790000151514222317931000000
8072-800000201391823211462000000
7971-81000010002512202319114100000
7870-8200000000138162223168310000
7769-83000000000151119242012510000
7668-840000000013816232316820000
7567-85000000002613222519103100
7466-860000000141121252111410
7365-87000000014112127221130
7264-8800000141122282292
7163-890000015142630195
7062-9000002618323011
6961-9100000311273821
6860-9200015204133
6759-930002133846
6658-9400173358
6557-9500042670
6456-960022078
6355-97011485
6254-98001090
6153-990693
6052-1000496
5951-1010496
5850-1020100
8-57100
Total:221410876543232222111111100000000