St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Lost to Atlanta 7-10, playoff odds down 2 to 90.9%

27-24 .529

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta 10 St. Louis 7	-1.3		-0.2
Giants 1 Arizona 4	+0.1
Colorado 13 Houston 5	+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Mets vs St. Louis	-1.7+1.5		-0.2+0.2
Giants vs Cubs	-0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

109	-138				In		100																853	*
108		81	-	30	In		100	0															666
107		80	-	31	In		100	0															1,290
106		79	-	32	In		99	1		0													2,399
105		78	-	33	In		99	1		0													4,251
104		77	-	34	In		98	2		0													7,261
103		76	-	35	In		97	3	0	0													11,632
102		75	-	36	In		95	5	0	0													18,208
101		74	-	37	In		92	8	0	0													27,192
100		73	-	38	In		88	12	0	1													38,558
99		72	-	39	In		82	16	0	1													52,815
98		71	-	40	In		75	22	1	2	0												70,838
97		70	-	41	In		66	29	2	4	0												89,762
96		69	-	42	In		55	36	3	6	0	0											109,746
95		68	-	43	In		44	42	6	8	0												130,100
94		67	-	44	In		32	46	10	12	0	0											147,064
93		66	-	45	In		22	46	16	16	1	0											159,567
92		65	-	46	In		13	41	23	21	2	0											167,372
91		64	-	47	100.0	%	7	34	29	26	4	0	0										169,659
90		63	-	48	100.0		3	24	34	29	8	1	0	0									165,251
89		62	-	49	99.8		1	15	37	29	15	3	0	0									155,764
88		61	-	50	99.1		0	8	35	26	23	7	1	0	0								140,831
87		60	-	51	96.5		0	3	30	19	29	15	3	0	0								121,797
86		59	-	52	89.4		0	1	24	11	28	25	9	1	0	0							102,874
85		58	-	53	75.0			0	17	5	22	31	19	5	1	0	0						83,683
84		57	-	54	54.4			0	11	2	13	29	29	14	3	0	0						65,602
83		56	-	55	31.9			0	6	0	5	20	33	25	9	2	0						49,400
82		55	-	56	14.4			0	3	0	1	10	26	33	20	6	1	0					35,876
81		54	-	57	5.2				1	0	0	4	15	30	30	15	4	0	0				25,184
80		53	-	58	1.4				1	0	0	1	6	21	33	26	10	2	0	0			16,751
79		52	-	59	0.3				0			0	2	10	26	33	21	7	1	0			10,985
78		51	-	60	0.1				0			0	0	3	14	31	32	16	3	0			6,950
77		50	-	61	Out								0	1	6	20	34	27	10	1	0		4,222
76		49	-	62	Out									0	2	10	28	35	20	4	0		2,474
75		48	-	63	Out										0	4	16	35	32	11	1		1,417
74		47	-	64	Out											2	8	29	37	21	3		772
73		46	-	65	Out											0	4	19	38	31	7		359
72		45	-	66	Out													7	34	46	12	0	214
71		44	-	67	Out												1	4	21	58	14	2	104
70		43	-	68	Out													3	11	50	36		36
69		42	-	69	Out															43	48	10	21
68		41	-	70	Out														17	8	58	17	12
67		40	-	71	Out																100		5
66		39	-	72	Out																	100	1
64	-65				Out																100		2	*
27		0	-	111	Out																	100	180

Total:					90.9	%	23	23	18	14	8	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

27	-138

Total: