Detroit Tigers Playoff Chances

Lost to Rays 5-7, playoff odds down 7.6 to 41.9%

14-11 .560

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Rays 7 Tigers 5	-3.0		-0.2		-0.2
Guardians 0 Red Sox 8	-0.5
Yankees 7 Athletics 3	-0.3
Angels 5 Orioles 6	-0.2
Twins 6 White Sox 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Yankees vs Athletics	-0.3+0.4
Guardians vs Red Sox	+0.3-0.4
Twins vs White Sox	-0.2+0.3
Royals vs Blue Jays	-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Tigers finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

109	-151				In		100															7,800	*
108		94	-	43	In		100	0		0												626
107		93	-	44	In		99	0		1												1,233
106		92	-	45	In		99	0		0												2,690
105		91	-	46	In		99	1		1												5,324
104		90	-	47	In		97	1		2												10,171
103		89	-	48	In		96	1		3												19,189
102		88	-	49	In		94	2		4	0											34,305
101		87	-	50	In		90	4	0	6	0											59,565
100		86	-	51	In		85	6	0	9	0											99,933
99		85	-	52	In		78	8	0	13	0											161,706
98		84	-	53	In		70	12	0	18	0	0										256,482
97		83	-	54	In		60	15	0	23	1	0										391,889
96		82	-	55	100.0	%	49	19	0	30	2	0	0									581,190
95		81	-	56	100.0		37	22	1	36	4	0	0									834,637
94		80	-	57	100.0		26	23	1	42	7	0	0									1,166,226
93		79	-	58	100.0		17	23	2	45	13	1	0	0								1,574,507
92		78	-	59	99.9		9	20	3	46	19	2	0	0								2,062,827
91		77	-	60	99.6		5	16	4	43	28	5	0	0								2,623,043
90		76	-	61	98.7		2	11	4	36	35	10	1	0	0							3,233,700
89		75	-	62	96.7		1	7	4	27	40	18	3	0	0	0						3,873,517
88		74	-	63	92.3		0	4	3	18	40	27	7	0	0	0						4,495,562
87		73	-	64	84.2		0	2	2	10	34	35	14	2	0	0	0					5,067,411
86		72	-	65	71.5		0	1	2	5	25	39	24	5	0	0	0					5,547,585
85		71	-	66	55.1		0	0	1	2	15	36	33	10	1	0	0	0				5,882,291
84		70	-	67	37.4		0	0	0	1	8	28	39	19	4	0	0	0				6,064,305
83		69	-	68	21.8			0	0	0	3	18	38	29	9	1	0	0				6,062,745
82		68	-	69	10.7			0	0	0	1	9	31	36	18	4	0	0	0			5,886,643
81		67	-	70	4.3			0	0	0	0	4	21	36	28	10	2	0	0			5,545,858
80		66	-	71	1.4			0	0	0	0	1	11	30	34	18	4	0	0	0		5,075,056
79		65	-	72	0.4			0	0	0	0	0	5	20	35	28	10	2	0	0		4,504,081
78		64	-	73	0.1				0		0	0	2	11	29	34	19	4	0	0		3,881,201
77		63	-	74	0.0				0		0	0	1	5	20	35	28	10	1	0		3,242,772
76		62	-	75	0.0				0		0	0	0	2	11	29	35	18	4	0	0	2,632,472
75		61	-	76	0.0							0	0	1	6	21	36	28	8	1	0	2,070,703
74		60	-	77	Out								0	0	2	13	32	36	15	2	0	1,582,847
73		59	-	78	Out								0	0	1	6	24	39	25	5	0	1,172,207
72		58	-	79	Out									0	0	3	16	38	34	9	0	843,013
71		57	-	80	Out									0	0	1	9	32	41	16	1	587,305
70		56	-	81	Out									0	0	0	5	24	45	25	1	398,399
69		55	-	82	Out										0	0	2	16	44	35	3	260,510
68		54	-	83	Out										0	0	1	10	39	45	5	165,739
67		53	-	84	Out											0	0	5	32	53	9	102,551
66		52	-	85	Out											0	0	3	24	58	15	61,455
65		51	-	86	Out												0	1	17	61	21	35,468
64		50	-	87	Out												0	1	12	59	29	20,069
63		49	-	88	Out													0	7	56	36	10,655
62		48	-	89	Out													0	4	49	46	5,797
61		47	-	90	Out													0	2	42	56	2,926
60		46	-	91	Out														1	38	61	1,389
59		45	-	92	Out														0	30	70	672
58		44	-	93	Out															24	76	324
57		43	-	94	Out														1	20	79	141
56		42	-	95	Out															6	94	65
55		41	-	96	Out															3	97	31
54		40	-	97	Out															20	80	5
14	-53				Out																100	7,307	*

Total:					41.9	%	3	3	1	9	12	14	15	13	10	8	6	4	2	1	0	88,218,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Tigers finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Guardians	Orioles	Royals	Yankees	Red Sox	Rangers	Mariners	Blue Jays	Angels	Twins	Rays	Athletics	Astros	White Sox

109	-151				11.1	%	Yes
108		94	-	43	11.5		100			0	0
107		93	-	44	10.5		99		0	0	0	0		0	0			0
106		92	-	45	10.8		100		0	0	0	0
105		91	-	46	9.5		99	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
104		90	-	47	10.4		98	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
103		89	-	48	10.7		97	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
102		88	-	49	10.3		96	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
101		87	-	50	10.6		94	1	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
100		86	-	51	10.0		91	1	1	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
99		85	-	52	9.8		87	1	2	4	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
98		84	-	53	9.6		82	2	3	6	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
97		83	-	54	9.3		76	3	4	8	4	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
96		82	-	55	8.8		68	5	5	10	5	4	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
95		81	-	56	8.3		60	6	6	13	6	5	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
94		80	-	57	7.6		50	8	8	15	8	7	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0
93		79	-	58	7.0		41	9	9	17	9	8	1	1	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
92		78	-	59	6.3		32	10	11	19	10	9	1	1	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
91		77	-	60	5.5		24	11	11	20	11	10	1	1	2	0	2	1	0	0	0
90		76	-	61	4.7		17	11	12	19	12	10	1	1	2	0	2	1	0	0	0
89		75	-	62	3.9		11	10	11	18	11	10	1	1	2	0	2	1	0	0	0
88		74	-	63	3.0		7	9	10	15	10	8	1	1	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
87		73	-	64	2.1		4	6	7	12	7	6	1	1	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
86		72	-	65	1.4		2	4	5	8	5	4	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
85		71	-	66	0.8		1	2	3	5	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
84		70	-	67	0.4		1	1	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
83		69	-	68	0.1		0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
82		68	-	69	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		67	-	70	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		66	-	71	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		65	-	72	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
78		64	-	73	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
77		63	-	74	No		0		0		0				0
76		62	-	75	No		0	0
14	-75				No

Total:					1.6	%	6.9	3.2	3.5	5.8	3.5	3.0	0.3	0.4	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs