Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Beat Cincinnati 2-1, playoff odds up 2.2 to 10%

25-25 .500

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh 2 Cincinnati 1	+1.4		+0.2
Giants 1 Arizona 4	+0.1
Atlanta 10 St. Louis 7	-0.1
Colorado 13 Houston 5	+0.1
Miami 5 Washington 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh	-1.3+1.9		-0.2+0.3
Giants vs Cubs	-0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

101	-137				In		100																193	*
100		75	-	37	In		89	11															18
99		74	-	38	In		75	22		3													32
98		73	-	39	In		82	12		6													82
97		72	-	40	In		58	33		8	1												148
96		71	-	41	In		55	28	4	12	1												340
95		70	-	42	In		42	33	6	18	1												568
94		69	-	43	In		29	37	8	24	1	0											1,142
93		68	-	44	In		19	34	10	33	3	0											2,048
92		67	-	45	100.0	%	11	31	13	38	6	0	0										3,595
91		66	-	46	99.9		5	23	16	41	13	1	0										5,803
90		65	-	47	99.7		2	15	17	42	20	3	0	0									9,339
89		64	-	48	99.2		1	8	16	38	29	7	1	0									14,813
88		63	-	49	97.2		0	4	13	29	36	15	3	0	0								22,031
87		62	-	50	91.8		0	1	10	19	37	25	7	1	0								31,390
86		61	-	51	80.4		0	0	6	10	30	34	16	3	0	0							43,946
85		60	-	52	61.7			0	3	4	20	35	27	10	1	0	0						58,823
84		59	-	53	39.0			0	2	1	9	27	35	21	5	1	0	0					76,890
83		58	-	54	19.7			0	1	0	3	16	33	31	14	3	0	0					95,301
82		57	-	55	7.5				0	0	1	6	22	35	25	9	1	0	0				114,251
81		56	-	56	2.1				0	0	0	2	11	29	34	19	5	1	0				132,783
80		55	-	57	0.4				0		0	0	4	17	33	30	13	2	0	0			148,667
79		54	-	58	0.1				0		0	0	1	8	24	35	24	7	1	0			160,260
78		53	-	59	0.0						0	0	0	3	13	31	33	17	3	0			166,510
77		52	-	60	0.0				0			0	0	1	5	21	35	28	9	1	0		167,798
76		51	-	61	Out								0	0	2	11	29	36	19	4	0		161,581
75		50	-	62	Out								0	0	0	4	19	37	31	9	0	0	151,216
74		49	-	63	Out								0	0	0	1	10	30	39	18	2	0	135,681
73		48	-	64	Out										0	0	4	20	42	29	4	0	117,706
72		47	-	65	Out										0	0	1	12	36	40	10	0	97,872
71		46	-	66	Out										0	0	0	5	27	47	18	1	78,679
70		45	-	67	Out												0	2	18	49	28	3	60,894
69		44	-	68	Out											0	0	1	11	44	39	6	45,505
68		43	-	69	Out												0	0	5	36	48	11	32,767
67		42	-	70	Out													0	2	27	53	18	22,739
66		41	-	71	Out													0	1	19	54	26	15,160
65		40	-	72	Out													0	0	11	52	36	9,642
64		39	-	73	Out														0	7	47	46	5,965
63		38	-	74	Out															4	39	57	3,519
62		37	-	75	Out															2	32	66	1,959
61		36	-	76	Out															1	26	73	1,062
60		35	-	77	Out															0	20	80	558
59		34	-	78	Out															0	15	85	287
58		33	-	79	Out																8	92	139
57		32	-	80	Out																6	94	66
56		31	-	81	Out																10	90	29
25	-55				Out																	100	203	*

Total:					10.0	%	0	0	1	2	3	4	6	8	10	11	12	13	13	10	5	1	2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

25	-137

Total: