Chicago White Sox Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Beat Tampa Bay 4-3, playoff odds up 2.6 to 91.7%
29-22   .569

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay 3 White Sox 4 +1.9
+0.2
Cleveland 3 Kansas City 6 +0.3
Boston 6 Detroit 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
White Sox vs Seattle+1.1-1.7
+0.1-0.2
Cleveland vs Minnesota-0.2+0.4
Kansas City vs Oakland-0.1+0.2
Detroit vs Yankees-0.1+0.1
Angels vs Texas-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the White Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
109-140In100416*
10879-32In982303
10778-33In991579
10677-34In9731,071
10576-35In9641,990
10475-36In9553,703
10374-37In9286,172
10273-38In8911010,023
10172-39In8416015,790
10071-40In78220023,560
9970-41In71290034,440
9869-42In63361047,503
9768-43In54441063,717
9667-44In45523082,146
9566-45In365860102,177
9465-46In27631000122,145
9364-47In19641610139,973
9263-48In126126200154,086
9162-49In75338300164,462
9061-50100.0%342504100168,500
8960-51100.01296262000167,220
8859-5299.90187173100159,057
8758-5399.6097477200146,643
8657-5498.204726106200130,461
8556-5593.80166411125100110,863
8455-5683.705629161240091,915
8354-5766.70451516201130072,572
8253-5846.903402102321910055,199
8152-5929.402401518281951040,765
8051-6016.51502102730142028,926
7950-619.3900418332681019,919
7849-624.540192836194013,209
7748-632.02031735321018,426
7647-640.610018274121305,037
7546-650.3003183933603,123
7445-660.201931441501,793
7344-67Out032250232985
7243-68Out11644355454
7142-69Out07354810267
7041-70Out4294819140
6940-71Out412562857
6839-72Out16582619
6738-73Out1443437
6637-74Out80205
6536-75Out50502
290-111Out100180
Total:91.7%143138333322110002,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
29-140
Total: