Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Lost to Colorado 5-13, playoff odds down 6.5 to 12.2%
22-28   .440

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colorado 13 Houston 5 -2.1
-0.2
Giants 1 Arizona 4 +0.2
Pittsburgh 2 Cincinnati 1 +0.1
Atlanta 10 St. Louis 7 -0.1
Miami 5 Washington 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Cincinnati+1.8-2.1
+0.2-0.3
Giants vs Cubs-0.2+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
102-134In100184*
10179-33In89119
10078-34In811932
9977-35In8315259
9876-36In68291299
9775-37In612729212
9674-38In50335110425
9573-39In37397171857
9472-40In264182511,611
9371-41In1736133132,856
9270-42In9311638604,760
9169-43100.0%423194111108,159
9068-4499.92142043193012,526
8967-4599.30718392961018,928
8866-4697.2031530351430027,984
8765-4791.9011018372571039,304
8664-4879.906930341630054,278
8563-4961.100441935271010070,552
8462-5038.60219273520510089,363
8361-5119.4010315333114300107,911
8260-527.400162235258100127,467
8159-532.1000211293418510143,685
8058-540.50000418343012200156,724
7957-550.10018253523710165,538
7856-560.0000314313316300167,312
7755-570.00016213527910163,892
7654-58Out0021130361830155,038
7553-59Out0005203729900140,615
7452-60Out0021031381720122,850
7351-61Out000521412940104,636
7250-62Out0021237409085,263
7149-63Out006284718166,672
7048-64Out002184928350,456
6947-65Out01114439636,895
6846-66Out00636481026,194
6745-67Out0227531717,665
6644-68Out0119542711,699
6543-69Out01152377,301
6442-70Out0746474,414
6341-71Out440562,509
6240-72Out0232661,397
6139-73Out12376753
6038-74Out11980400
5937-75Out1387166
5836-76Out59581
5735-77Out69453
22-56Out100216*
Total:12.2%0012357911121212119412,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
22-134
Total: