Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Lost to Colorado 5-13, playoff odds down 6.5 to 12.2%

22-28 .440

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Colorado 13 Houston 5	-2.1		-0.2
Giants 1 Arizona 4	+0.2
Pittsburgh 2 Cincinnati 1	+0.1
Atlanta 10 St. Louis 7	-0.1
Miami 5 Washington 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston vs Cincinnati	+1.8-2.1		+0.2-0.3
Giants vs Cubs	-0.2+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

102	-134				In		100																184	*
101		79	-	33	In		89	11															9
100		78	-	34	In		81	19															32
99		77	-	35	In		83	15		2													59
98		76	-	36	In		68	29	1	2													99
97		75	-	37	In		61	27	2	9													212
96		74	-	38	In		50	33	5	11	0												425
95		73	-	39	In		37	39	7	17	1												857
94		72	-	40	In		26	41	8	25	1												1,611
93		71	-	41	In		17	36	13	31	3												2,856
92		70	-	42	In		9	31	16	38	6	0											4,760
91		69	-	43	100.0	%	4	23	19	41	11	1	0										8,159
90		68	-	44	99.9		2	14	20	43	19	3	0										12,526
89		67	-	45	99.3		0	7	18	39	29	6	1	0									18,928
88		66	-	46	97.2		0	3	15	30	35	14	3	0	0								27,984
87		65	-	47	91.9		0	1	10	18	37	25	7	1	0								39,304
86		64	-	48	79.9			0	6	9	30	34	16	3	0	0							54,278
85		63	-	49	61.1		0	0	4	4	19	35	27	10	1	0	0						70,552
84		62	-	50	38.6			0	2	1	9	27	35	20	5	1	0	0					89,363
83		61	-	51	19.4			0	1	0	3	15	33	31	14	3	0	0					107,911
82		60	-	52	7.4				0	0	1	6	22	35	25	8	1	0	0				127,467
81		59	-	53	2.1				0	0	0	2	11	29	34	18	5	1	0				143,685
80		58	-	54	0.5				0	0	0	0	4	18	34	30	12	2	0	0			156,724
79		57	-	55	0.1				0			0	1	8	25	35	23	7	1	0			165,538
78		56	-	56	0.0				0			0	0	3	14	31	33	16	3	0	0		167,312
77		55	-	57	0.0							0	0	1	6	21	35	27	9	1	0		163,892
76		54	-	58	Out								0	0	2	11	30	36	18	3	0		155,038
75		53	-	59	Out								0	0	0	5	20	37	29	9	0	0	140,615
74		52	-	60	Out									0	0	2	10	31	38	17	2	0	122,850
73		51	-	61	Out									0	0	0	5	21	41	29	4	0	104,636
72		50	-	62	Out										0	0	2	12	37	40	9	0	85,263
71		49	-	63	Out											0	0	6	28	47	18	1	66,672
70		48	-	64	Out											0	0	2	18	49	28	3	50,456
69		47	-	65	Out												0	1	11	44	39	6	36,895
68		46	-	66	Out												0	0	6	36	48	10	26,194
67		45	-	67	Out													0	2	27	53	17	17,665
66		44	-	68	Out													0	1	19	54	27	11,699
65		43	-	69	Out														0	11	52	37	7,301
64		42	-	70	Out														0	7	46	47	4,414
63		41	-	71	Out															4	40	56	2,509
62		40	-	72	Out														0	2	32	66	1,397
61		39	-	73	Out															1	23	76	753
60		38	-	74	Out															1	19	80	400
59		37	-	75	Out																13	87	166
58		36	-	76	Out																5	95	81
57		35	-	77	Out																6	94	53
22	-56				Out																	100	216	*

Total:					12.2	%	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	11	12	12	12	11	9	4	1	2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

22	-134

Total: