Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Lost to Miami 3-5, playoff odds down 3.7 to 79.4%

29-21 .580

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Miami 5 Washington 3	-2.2		-0.2
Giants 1 Arizona 4	+0.3
Atlanta 10 St. Louis 7	-0.2
Colorado 13 Houston 5	+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Washington vs Atlanta	+2.3-3.2		+0.2-0.3
Giants vs Cubs	-0.3+0.4
Mets vs St. Louis	-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

108	-141				In		100																406	*
107		78	-	34	In		100	0															280
106		77	-	35	In		98	2															509
105		76	-	36	In		98	2															1,029
104		75	-	37	In		97	3		0													1,855
103		74	-	38	In		96	4															3,188
102		73	-	39	In		93	7	0	0													5,484
101		72	-	40	In		89	11	0	0													9,143
100		71	-	41	In		84	15	0	0													14,167
99		70	-	42	In		77	21	1	0													21,608
98		69	-	43	In		69	28	2	1	0												31,009
97		68	-	44	In		60	35	3	1	0												43,752
96		67	-	45	In		49	42	6	2	0												59,287
95		66	-	46	In		38	47	10	4	0												76,445
94		65	-	47	In		27	49	16	7	0												94,855
93		64	-	48	100.0	%	18	47	23	11	1	0	0										114,549
92		63	-	49	In		11	41	30	16	2	0											133,274
91		62	-	50	100.0		5	32	36	22	5	0	0										148,900
90		61	-	51	100.0		2	22	38	26	10	1	0										160,165
89		60	-	52	99.8		1	13	36	29	18	3	0	0									166,815
88		59	-	53	99.0		0	6	31	26	27	8	1	0	0								167,306
87		58	-	54	96.5		0	2	23	20	34	17	3	0	0								160,343
86		57	-	55	89.2		0	1	14	12	34	28	9	1	0	0							150,755
85		56	-	56	74.4		0	0	8	6	26	35	20	5	1	0							135,144
84		55	-	57	53.0			0	3	2	15	33	31	13	3	0	0						117,195
83		54	-	58	30.2			0	1	0	6	22	35	25	9	1	0	0					97,657
82		53	-	59	12.9				0	0	2	11	28	34	19	5	1	0	0				79,425
81		52	-	60	4.1				0	0	0	4	16	32	30	14	3	0	0				61,339
80		51	-	61	0.9				0	0	0	1	6	21	34	26	10	2	0				46,270
79		50	-	62	0.2							0	2	10	27	33	20	6	1	0			33,555
78		49	-	63	0.0						0	0	0	3	15	31	31	15	3	0			23,206
77		48	-	64	Out								0	1	7	22	35	26	8	1	0		15,748
76		47	-	65	Out								0	0	2	11	30	35	18	3	0		10,283
75		46	-	66	Out									0	1	5	20	37	28	8	0		6,288
74		45	-	67	Out										0	1	11	29	39	17	2		3,810
73		44	-	68	Out											0	4	21	41	31	3	0	2,152
72		43	-	69	Out											0	1	11	37	40	9	0	1,267
71		42	-	70	Out												1	6	29	46	17	1	707
70		41	-	71	Out													3	21	46	29	2	346
69		40	-	72	Out														13	51	35	1	149
68		39	-	73	Out														8	39	45	8	76
67		38	-	74	Out														4	24	47	24	45
66		37	-	75	Out															32	42	26	19
65		36	-	76	Out															17	42	42	12
64		35	-	77	Out																100		2
29	-62				Out																	100	181	*

Total:					79.4	%	10	17	18	12	12	10	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	None

Friday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

29	-141

Total: