Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Lost to Miami 3-5, playoff odds down 3.7 to 79.4%
29-21   .580

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Miami 5 Washington 3 -2.2
-0.2
Giants 1 Arizona 4 +0.3
Atlanta 10 St. Louis 7 -0.2
Colorado 13 Houston 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Washington vs Atlanta+2.3-3.2
+0.2-0.3
Giants vs Cubs-0.3+0.4
Mets vs St. Louis-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
108-141In100406*
10778-34In1000280
10677-35In982509
10576-36In9821,029
10475-37In97301,855
10374-38In9643,188
10273-39In937005,484
10172-40In8911009,143
10071-41In84150014,167
9970-42In77211021,608
9869-43In692821031,009
9768-44In603531043,752
9667-45In494262059,287
9566-46In3847104076,445
9465-47In2749167094,855
9364-48100.0%18472311100114,549
9263-49In1141301620133,274
9162-50100.05323622500148,900
9061-51100.022238261010160,165
8960-5299.8113362918300166,815
8859-5399.0063126278100167,306
8758-5496.50223203417300160,343
8657-5589.201141234289100150,755
8556-5674.40086263520510135,144
8455-5753.003215333113300117,195
8354-5830.20106223525910097,657
8253-5912.900211283419510079,425
8152-604.100041632301430061,339
8051-610.900016213426102046,270
7950-620.2021027332061033,555
7849-630.00003153131153023,206
7748-64Out01722352681015,748
7647-65Out002113035183010,283
7546-66Out015203728806,288
7445-67Out011129391723,810
7344-68Out04214131302,152
7243-69Out01113740901,267
7142-70Out162946171707
7041-71Out32146292346
6940-72Out1351351149
6839-73Out83945876
6738-74Out424472445
6637-75Out32422619
6536-76Out17424212
6435-77Out1002
29-62Out100181*
Total:79.4%10171812121075321100002,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
29-141
Total: