Los Angeles Angels Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Lost to Yankees 5-6, playoff odds down 5.2 to 34.3%
26-26   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Angels 5 Yankees 6 -4.4
-0.3
Tampa Bay 3 White Sox 4 +0.3
Cleveland 3 Kansas City 6 +0.3
Boston 6 Detroit 4 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Angels vs Texas+3.2-3.1
+0.2-0.2
Cleveland vs Minnesota-0.3+0.4
White Sox vs Seattle+0.1-0.2
Detroit vs Yankees+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Angels finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
104-136In100198*
10377-33In94617
10276-34In10048
10175-35In922698
10074-36In8929193
9973-37In79417406
9872-38In734022758
9771-39In6760261,452
9670-40In54903702,641
9569-41In431104504,498
9468-42In321415307,547
9367-43In22142611011,989
9266-44In13143692018,409
9165-45100.0%71147440026,929
9064-46100.03947491038,344
8963-4799.915570172052,444
8862-4899.6034592860069,807
8761-4998.201343371320087,443
8660-5094.0002274123600108,111
8559-5184.20114353413200126,854
8458-5266.80152338257100143,329
8357-5344.200111313517400157,192
8256-5423.2000419362910200166,190
8155-559.40018263622610168,340
8054-562.800031433331530165,980
7953-570.70016223627810156,863
7852-580.100021130361830141,933
7751-590.000004193830800124,811
7650-600.00011031391720104,849
7549-61Out0042142285085,928
7448-62Out0111374010067,103
7347-63Out005284719150,891
7246-64Out02194830237,261
7145-65Out01114441425,620
7044-66Out053751717,526
6943-67Out0328581211,288
6842-68Out11962187,175
6741-69Out01261264,209
6640-70Out0859332,385
6539-71Out0452441,331
6438-72Out14851739
6337-73Out13564352
6236-74Out13069178
6135-75Out277390
6034-76Out118937
5933-77Out49623
5832-78Out1008
5731-79Out50502
26-55Out100181*
Total:34.3%1111110111212121197302,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
26-136
Total: