Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 2012-3WC

Beat Mets 10-6, playoff odds up 7.4 to 41.5%
27-25   .519

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets 6 Phillies 10 +3.7
+0.3
Giants 1 Arizona 4 +0.4
Atlanta 10 St. Louis 7 -0.3
Colorado 13 Houston 5 +0.2
Miami 5 Washington 3 -0.2
Pittsburgh 2 Cincinnati 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies vs Miami+3.2-4.4
+0.2-0.3
Giants vs Cubs-0.3+0.6
San Diego vs Arizona+0.2-0.2
Houston vs Cincinnati+0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
103-137In100313*
10275-35In964164
10174-36In919374
10073-37In891100842
9972-38In8415011,398
9871-39In7522122,484
9770-40In6727234,308
9669-41In56354607,319
9568-42In4441790011,601
9467-43In324411131017,913
9366-44In214217191026,449
9265-45100.0%1237222530037,319
9164-46100.0628263271050,944
9063-4799.921927351520068,569
8962-4899.611125342450087,091
8861-4998.40520293312200106,198
8760-5094.40213203722500125,845
8659-5185.100811333313200143,353
8558-5268.400452337247100156,650
8457-5346.1011123134163000166,459
8356-5425.1000420352810200168,816
8255-5510.600192735216100165,513
8154-563.2000315323215300156,312
8053-570.8001622342610200142,913
7952-580.100211283420510126,069
7851-590.000417333013200105,995
7750-600.0001824352471086,912
7649-61Out0031432331630068,638
7548-62Out0162237267051,999
7447-63Out02133336151037,625
7346-64Out0162441263026,533
7245-65Out0021539376017,803
7144-66Out018314713011,600
7043-67Out0321532127,357
6942-68Out0114513134,480
6841-69Out08463962,679
6740-70Out053648111,437
6639-71Out2285417799
6538-72Out1205326397
6437-73Out1125037185
6336-74Out11543592
6235-75Out505044
6134-76Out307020
6033-77Out1338508
5932-78Out1001
270-110Out100180
Total:41.5%2468111212111087532002,200,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 12 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
27-137
Total: